mabraham
Deity
sorry previous posts confused me. I think we should take a close look at how we can modify the the war plan. I think it makes sense to have 2 catapults and 2 swords perhaps go to the forest North of London and have the other 2 catapults walk with the rest of the stack other than the axes headed to destroy the iron.
Sure, scrutinize away! I just don't see what those two swords are doing for us. We're forcing them to attack across rivers later, and not picking up much safety.
We should test the stuff below, but if we have cats+swords on that forest and Vicky is smart enough to attack around the corner using her roads...
- if Vicky attacks with a sword (and she does have a C1+C2 promoted sword around), our sword would defend at 6*(1+0.5-0.2)=7.8 against 6 (and our cat would have been 5*(1+0.5-0.2)= 6.5 against the sword at 6... that's over 50% to kill the sword, which is better odds than we'd have gotten for surviving attacking this sword fortified in the city with a CR1 cat...)
- if Vicky attacks with a C1 axe, the cat would defend 5*(1+0.5-0.1)=7 against 5
- if Vicky attacks with a horse unit, the sword would defend
Do we really think she'd have three big units around to throw at our cats (or is smart enough to dodge the river)?
One contingency we might have to deal with is Vicky fortifying the fort on the eastern iron with a unit. It will be hard for a single axe to deal with that.
That'd suck - we'd have to go "all-in" on London and hope to hold it in time to sue for peace.