That wasn't the point though. The point was that it was possible for the East to intervene in the West in a decisive fashion which makes Cap Bon's failure look less like an inevitability and more like a case of bad luck. I'm also a bit lost as to how Justinian's campaigns which were forty years in the past had much to do with the final war against the Sasanians?
You have to be a hit more specific than that, I think. The HRE didn't have much 'actual power', as it was an elective empire with little in the way of any central institution or power.
JEELEN said:First, there was no final war against the Sassanians. Not by Byzantium anyway.
I think it's pretty well accepted that Justinian's acquisitions in the West were self-funding and probably generated a surplus? Treadgold for example notes that: "The treasuries of the Vandals and Ostrogoths by themselves probably covered the expense of taking and defending Africa and Italy up to 541" and concludes that "Justinian's stupendous reconquests... appeared affordable, defensible and altogether beneficial".JEELEN said:Second, having acquired territories far to the West of the actual base of Byzantine power means stretching resources. And, as I said, as it turned out the East was capable of holding on to those Western territories only by dangerously stripping their Eastern base of resources. Until Justinian's campaigns some territory might be lost and gained and vice versa, but overall the situation was under control.
JEELEN said:(Also keep in mind that the Eastern effort to recapture Africa was called off because of Hun incursions into the Balkans.)
Why? Treadgold again notes that the sole break on further expansion after Justinian's reconquest was not the reconquests but the plague and that even then "the reconquests did little to aggravate the effects of the plague and even compensated for them somewhat by adding new lands and people to tax".JEELEN said:The empire, neither East nor West, simply didn't have the resources anymore for grandiose expansionist policies.
JEELEN said:It's hard to see how the Sassanians could have overrun all of Syria and Egypt (temporarily, to be sure) if the East hadn't spent resources far in the West.
I think securing Africa which was a rich province and easily defensible has a pretty compelling strategic logic. Italy and Spain can be defended on much the same grounds.JEELEN said:So while Justinian's conquests looked great on the map, they served no overall strategic purpose.
It wasn't particularly centralised, but then nowhere was until comparatively late into the time when the HRE was relevant as a concept. Before about 1200 it was indistinguishable from any other state, but others like France increasingly centralised while the HRE remained a tight alliance more than a single country. However, as late as the Thirty Years' War there were still moments when the emperor could enforce his will on the empire - in 1629 he controlled all of the HRE except the port city of Stralsund and was secure enough to issue the Edict of Restitution. Had Gustav Adolf and the Swedes not intervened, things might have gone very differently.
I think the fact that the Sassanians ceased to exist not longer after the war in question ended in 628 suggests that it was. But I could be wrong?
I think it's pretty well accepted that Justinian's acquisitions in the West were self-funding and probably generated a surplus? Treadgold for example notes that: "The treasuries of the Vandals and Ostrogoths by themselves probably covered the expense of taking and defending Africa and Italy up to 541" and concludes that "Justinian's stupendous reconquests... appeared affordable, defensible and altogether beneficial".
Why? Treadgold again notes that the sole break on further expansion after Justinian's reconquest was not the reconquests but the plague and that even then "the reconquests did little to aggravate the effects of the plague and even compensated for them somewhat by adding new lands and people to tax".
I don't think this is the case and if it was why didn't the Empire collapse in the wars of 572–591 or the War of 526-532 both of which were much closer to Justinian's supposed overreach?
I think securing Africa which was a rich province and easily defensible has a pretty compelling strategic logic. Italy and Spain can be defended on much the same grounds.
I'm not sure what the plague would do, except further diminish available soldiery and taxable peasantry.
I didn't say anything about Justinian overreaching anything, so I can't comment on that.
You have to count his gain against the loss of Syria and Egypt. It seems to me that the balance than would be negative, or at best zero.
I think you are confusing two issues here: the Empire and the Catholic Habsburgs, who from late medieval times on managed to monopolize the position of emperor. The power of the emperor rested primarily on his dynastic lands. Also, especially in the Thirty Years War, it is stretching the truth to call the empire 'a tight alliance'. For most of the time it was a loose alliance at best, and the Western part of it was heavily influenced by France and French money, which found little trouble in adding nominally imperial land to France proper, a process which extended over centuries.
But failed to cover all this after 541, I presume?"The treasuries of the Vandals and Ostrogoths by themselves probably covered the expense of taking and defending Africa and Italy up to 541"
It is important to remember that when the Vandal's took over North Africa, they weren't going up against a Roman Field Army -that had been smashed to bits in various civil wars. A foreign military elite came in and set up shop. A few decidedly middling kings didn't help matters either. When Justinian's army showed up it was an experienced army that was largely comprised of veterans from the Eastern Field Army.Also, how significant was the difference between Vandalic Kingdom of 460'ies and it in 530'ies? It seemed to have declined somewhat during this time, although Halsall notes that the result of Justinian's reconquest of it wasn't a completely preordained affair.
If I understood correctly, I believe Masada's point is that Justinian conquest, resulting in surplus, aren't the reason why they later lost Syria and Egypt, but that the plague was. Because, as you disingenously pointed out, all it could do is diminish available soldiery and taxable peasantry.
A tight alliance in conception - I'm stretching for a model which comes somewhere between 'Switzerland' and 'Somalia', though I suppose it oscillated between those at times. It wasn't a coherent or monolithic country at all, but it's a mistake to write it off as a state too early in its history. As I pointed out, central authority could enforce itself on unwilling provinces and noblemen in 1629, so something of the 'state' had survived until then.
This is contradictory: either the HRE was an alliance (ether loose or tight) or it was a state. The point is, none of the constituent parts of the HRE lost any of its independence because of it; the only actual parts of the empire were the Free Cities, which were guaranteed by the empire. It seems to me it is already a stretch to call the HRE a state: what government functions there were, were primarily represented by the dynasty which happened to hold the title of emperor. also, the empire did not have any provinces, as you seem to think. If 'central authority' pressed its will, then it did so on the member states. And your example is particularly ill-chosen, as the Edict had a disastrous effect, extended the Thirty Years War, and was effectively revoked in 1635.
I remember reading that the whole thingy went largely satisfactorily for the ERE in this war until the Heraclii started this rebellion of theirs. This issue seems sort-of-guesswork to me.If Justinian hadn't reconquered Africa, there would have been no Exarchate of Carthage from which Heraclius could bring a Field Army to save the Empire.
You misread then because it's quite obvious that I was saying it was the final war between the Eastern Roman Empire and the Sassanian Empire.JEELEN said:Or you could have misread. Either way, as I said, it was the Arabs that finished off the Sassanian empire. So Byzantium did not wage any final war.
What do you think tax revenues are?JEELEN said:I was speaking of military resources. As said, most of Justinian's conquests lasted quite awhile; the core of the empire, not so much.
That was clearly the gist of what you think Justinian did. Here's some examples:JEELEN said:I didn't say anything about Justinian overreaching anything, so I can't comment on that.
JEELEN said:The empire, neither East nor West, simply didn't have the resources anymore for grandiose expansionist policies.
JEELEN said:It's hard to see how the Sassanians could have overrun all of Syria and Egypt (temporarily, to be sure) if the East hadn't spent resources far in the West.
JEELEN said:So while Justinian's conquests looked great on the map, they served no overall strategic purpose.
JEELEN said:So, in hindsight, the East would have done better to keep its soldiery where it was. Which, again, would be my point. The net result would still be negative to zero at best. Not to mention that most of Justinian's conquests were taken over by Arab armies anyway, notwithstanding any supposed surplus. So in the end he thinned defenses instead of concentrating them. That's not to say that if Justinian had not gone West the East would be secure, just that they would have a better chance of keeping the East as intact as possible instead of losing their richest territories.
At which point tax revenues took over.Lone Wolf said:But failed to cover all this after 541, I presume?
I think it was more or less the same entity. I also agree with Halsall, Belisarius' forces were not that much larger than the Vandals. It was just his side fought well and the Vandals not so much. Where the Roman's didn't roll so well, like in the Gothic Wars, things could get hairy but even so Rome's superior resources won out.Lone Wolf said:Also, how significant was the difference between Vandalic Kingdom of 460'ies and it in 530'ies? It seemed to have declined somewhat during this time, although Halsall notes that the result of Justinian's reconquest of it wasn't a completely preordained affair.
Lone Wolf said:I don't understand where all that stuff about measuring Justinian's conquests vs Levant and Egypt is, though. By the time the latter two were lost completely, the Visigothic kingdom had already taken Eastern Roman Spania and Byzantine mainland Italy was reduced to Ravenna and the Pentapolis, semi-autonomous Rome and Apulia-Calabria. On the other hand, neither Justinian himself nor his 6th-century successors suffered any large-scale loss in Egypt or Levant.
Yeah. It didn't help. And it weakened the central government. But having said that, Phocas' performance was not fantastic and was a major reason for the Heraclii rebelling. Had Phocas won more often, his regime wouldn't have begun to crack as it did.Lone Wolf said:I remember reading that the whole thingy went largely satisfactorily for the ERE in this war until the Heraclii started this rebellion of theirs. This issue seems sort-of-guesswork to me.
I don't have Treagold's Byzantium and its Army handy, but one of his conclusions was that initially the Byzantium Field Armies in the East were enlarged (which included creating an Army of Armenia) in preparation for a Western Reconquest to ensure a decisive blow against the Sassanid Empire, allowing for a transfer of troops to the west. While the number of troops in the Eastern Field Armies did go down during that transfer, the Byzantine forces in the region during Justinian's reign maintained a pretty heavy superiority to whatever the Sassanids could muster short-term. (Long term, the Empire would be able to shift the Field Armies around to regain superiority over the Sassanids).Can you provide evidence that Justinian's conquests actually resulted in a net reduction in the Empire's forces in the East? This is also a good example of an overreach argument.
If Justinian hadn't reconquered Africa, there would have been no Exarchate of Carthage from which Heraclius could bring a Field Army to save the Empire.
Trying to predict what would have happened had Justinian not done something (keeping in mind he was a product of his time) is a bit silly, to be honest.
You misread then because it's quite obvious that I was saying it was the final war between the Eastern Roman Empire and the Sassanian Empire.
What do you think tax revenues are?
And if you aren't arguing Imperial overreach and tracing it back to Justinian's conquests, what are you arguing exactly?
Can you provide evidence that Justinian's conquests actually resulted in a net reduction in the Empire's forces in the East? This is also a good example of an overreach argument.
At which point tax revenues took over.
I don't think the Edict actually did extend the Thirty Years' War; yes, it was unpalatable, but it was what the emperor had been going for all along. It was something like the Emancipation Proclamation in that by issuing it he was demonstrating that he felt strong enough to enforce it. What prolonged the war was the intervention of Sweden - in other words, the upset of that superiority of power of which the Edict was the mark. Hubristic, perhaps. I'm also not sure that 'provinces' is a worse term than 'member states', to be honest, though the latter is certainly more appropriate in later periods - what matters is distribution of power rather than nomenclature, and the HRE was certainly not conceived as less of a coherent polity than any other. Granted, actually using the word 'provinces' means you have to accept that Texas and California are those in practice.