Recent content by luiz

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    2020 US Election (Part Two)

    Biden is now tied with Trump on the betting markets. A dramatic change from two weeks ago, when Sanders was the huge favorite to win the democratic nomination and Trump had over 60% odds of winnning the presidency. Of course, we don't know know how much of the change is due to betters thinking...
  2. L

    Which television shows are you watching? Series 4

    I think they should have made it more light-hearted. Saul Goodman is a great character, but he's not being used in a way to make the show really interesting.
  3. L

    Iraq protests

    What is New Turkey? When was it born, and how does it differ from old Turkey?
  4. L

    Iraq protests

    Well, he was beaten militarily and the EU didn't give in to his migrant blackmail (Greece actually blocked migrants coming in quite effectively, showing it's not "impossible" as we were told by Brussels and the previous Greek government). So I guess he didn't have a lot of cards to play.
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    2020 US Election (Part One)

    They give no reason, all factors played a role. And indeed if the economy tanks due to Corona hysteria, Trump is screwed.
  6. L

    2020 US Election (Part One)

    FWIW, Trump's odds or winning on the betting markets dropped from 64% last week (when everyone thought he'd face Sanders) to 58% now (when everyone thinks he will face Biden).
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    2020 US Election (Part One)

    How do white Californians vote nowadays? Didn't it rather turn blue because it went in just a few decades from 80% white to minority-majority? And the biggest minority in Cali (Mexicans) votes Dem in the US. Seems to be the same driving force making Texas purple.
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    [RD] News Thread of the Americas

    Looks like you did.
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    [RD] News Thread of the Americas

    I thought you kept referring to some French comedian, like Coluche or someone along those lines.
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    [RD] News Thread of the Americas

    Both him and Chavez were certainly very much anti-market. They were praised by leftists such as Chomsky and Corbyn for their policies - the so-called bolivarian cooperatives in particular gave this crowd many boners. But now that their policies reduced Venezuela to pauper status, Maduro might...
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    [RD] News Thread of the Americas

    Who is this Pinoche fella you keep referring to? Did he drive out more than 10% of his country's population like Maduro did? Did he make the GDP contract by more than 50%? Did he reduce the real median wage to just a few dollars per month? I never heard of Pinoche but he sounds terrible.
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    [RD] News Thread of the Americas

    Because he's doing such a superb job feeding the existing population...
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    2020 US Election (Part One)

    Why is everyone assuming Sanders is finished? He should finish with a gap of 89 delegates to Biden, give or take. Many things can still happen. I think the debate on the primaries has been contaminated by 538 / other polling sites. According to their models, whoever won the last primary or came...
  14. L

    Another Feminist Movie Crashes and Burns

    If you are sure or almost sure that a fascist coup is coming to the US and soon Trump will be führer, would you consider selling me all you US property at lets say a 90% discount? I can arrange your escape to a non-fascist country of your choosing. Can't put a price on your safety, you know...
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    Another Feminist Movie Crashes and Burns

    My understanding is that packing the courts means changing the number of sitting judges so you can name the ones you like and effectively control the judiciary. FDR did it.
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