2024 US Presidential Election Watch Party

[Gori the Grey]

Do we want a separate thread for together watching returns come in, and commenting as they do?

Before 7 pm ET, post your predictions.

Who will win? Harris or Trump?

Which states will they carry to get that victory?

What will be the margin of the popular vote?

Will the networks be able to call it this evening? Early tomorrow morning? Not for several days?

What about the House and Senate?

Harris wins, rather handily. Wins PA, MI, and WI. Wins GA and NC. Even wins IA. Beats Biden's popular vote: 82,484,131. Trump doesn't reach his 2020 mark: 72 million. The networks can call by a little after midnight. (Not Fox; they keep pretending they've been hearing about "irregularities.") But everyone really knows it by the time we see the margins by which GA goes.

 

[JollyRoger]

The popular vote is wider than 2020 but the electoral vote is closer than 2020. Harris wins PA, MI, and WI. Trump calls race around 10 p.m. on Tuesday night. Media calls race Wednesday afternoon. Supreme Court calls race the week before Thanksgiving.

 

[Birdjaguar]

Harris wins popular and electoral vote. House goes Democratic and Senate GOP. Trump calls rampant voter fraud in PA and the other swings states he loses, but not in any he wins.

IA and NC go blue.

 

[Klaus Hergersheimer]

wooo party

 

[Gori the Grey]

First calls: Kentucky to Trump, Vermont to Harris.

Indiana to Trump.

 

[Kyriakos]

Florida doesn't look close either, so I suppose it will be called sooner rather than later.

 

[Gori the Grey]

Chris Hayes (I watch on MSNBC) had an interesting take on FL. Trump might win big there, but a big win be to his disadvantage. A retiree from MI runs up his score in FL, but that does him no extra good; costs him a vote in MI, where it could do him good.

 

[danjuno]

Just noticed this thread. Reposting from old one:

CNN Exit Poll in Georgia says Trump flipped Independents. Interesting, but I was fairly sure GA and AZ would flip back to Trump. Waiting until the Great Lakes report in.

 

[Kyriakos]

Trump is +9% in Florida, with 70% of the votes counted, so I guess there's no return from that.

 

[Marla_Singer]

Trump is +9% in Florida, with 70% of the votes counted, so I guess there's no return from that.

Florida wasn't considered a swing state this year so that's hardly a surprise.

 

[danjuno]

Yep, stick a fork in Florida's swing state status.

 

[danjuno]

Florida wasn't considered a swing state this year so that's hardly a surprise.

Basically confirms 2020 wasn't a fluke.

 

[Kyriakos]

Florida wasn't considered a swing state this year so that's hardly a surprise.

Just demonstrating that it will be called sooner instead of later.

 

[Ajidica]

Repeating my projection: Harris wins popular vote, loses electoral vote. Blue wall splits with WI going Harris, with MI and PA going Trump.

EDIT: Watching PBS live coverage.

 

[danjuno]

Wouldn't surprise me, though it'll be a new record for 3 splits in 24 years. Last was was 64 between 1824, 1876, 1888.

 

[Gori the Grey]

Multiple bomb threats at polling sites in GA.

 

[Voidwalkin]

The popular vote is wider than 2020 but the electoral vote is closer than 2020. Harris wins PA, MI, and WI. Trump calls race around 10 p.m. on Tuesday night. Media calls race Wednesday afternoon. Supreme Court calls race the week before Thanksgiving.

This is how I see it more or less exactly.

Harris sweeps above the Mason Dixon, Trump sweeps below.

 

[Marla_Singer]

Multiple bomb threats at polling sites in GA.

It's been reported that the FBI did not consider these threats serious and that several of these calls originated from Russia.

 

[Kyriakos]

Cnn isn't very punctual; their coverage was supposed to have started two minutes ago.

 

[Gori the Grey]

Several others since then, not all from Russia. Polling places cleared. Vote times extended, but if you had a short window, it could cost you your vote.

FL called for Trump. DC called for Harris, despite Lex's defection.

Black Nazi gov candidate in NC defeated.