Black Death 'Is Lying In Wait'

MrPresident

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The Black Death, which killed 23m people in the middle ages, could be lying dormant and could strike again, say researchers.
Their claim is based on the theory that the pandemic was triggered not by bubonic plague but by another virus.

The theory is outlined in a new book by Professor Christopher Duncan and Dr Susan Scott of Liverpool University.

"We believe this virus is merely lying in wait, ready to strike again," said Professor Duncan.

The Black Death is thought to have caused the deaths of up to 200m people worldwide over the past 1,500 years.

In the 14th century alone, around 23m people are thought to have died after the disease ravaged much of Asia and Europe.

Globally the disease still affects between 1,000 to 3,000 people a year. However, if caught early it can be cured with antibiotics.

As part of their research, Professor Duncan and Dr Scott studied original parish records, wills and diaries to create a profile of the killer disease.

They examined eyewitness accounts as well as accounts by several famous figures who escaped infection, including Henry VIII and William Shakespeare.

This research led them to conclude that the deaths were not caused by bubonic plague but by some other viral disease.

Professor Duncan said the virus may still exist somewhere in the world.

"Although the last known outbreak of plague occurred over three centuries ago, we believe the virus is merely lying in wait, ready to strike again."

He also suggested that the disease if it does emerge again could turn into a major killer.

"Globalisation and our increasingly mobile population make rapid transmission of infectious disease unavoidable - as demonstrated in the recent outbreaks of Sars.

"These factors, combined with the increased threat of bio-terrorism, may allow for the re-emergence of the virus as an even more ruthless killer."

However, Dr Michael Smith, a leading expert on plague, played down the claims.

"For many years, there have been queries about whether the bubonic plague was responsible for the Black Death," he told BBC News Online.

"However, much of the clinical descriptions certainly fit bubonic plague. A paper, published by French researchers recently, based on DNA tests on the remains of two people who died during this time also found evidence that it was bubonic plague.

"The body of evidence suggests that it was bubonic plague."

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Hmm... I don't think it would be as bad as last time around, but it'd still be pretty bad... Then again, with mass subway systems, it could wipe out alotta people...
 
This one's been floating around for a while, and doesn't seem to be gaining acceptance in the medical and historical communities.

Meanwhile, bubonic plague will continue to kill a few people every year, AIDS and malaria will kill in the millions, and new respiratory diseases will pop-up in SE Asia.
 
I thought it was carried by fleas? Despite the travels, few people carry fleas ;)

Idea for a terrorist attack in there somewhere... :(
 
I think it's about time! We could use a nice plague to thin out the population a bit. Lung cancer & heart disease are just too slow!

Even since I read "The Stand" (Stephan King) I've often fantasized about how nice it would be to share the world with only a handful instead of the teeming masses.

- Narz :king:
 
Viruses waiting dormant planning there attack on humans to once again try and rule the world, I laugh at their pitiful plan for vengence. First off viruses need hosts be they humans or whatever, if this virus hasn't showed up in any humans all these centuries it is likely that it is gone for good. Of course that is assuming it wasn't the bubonic plague of which the kind scientist has only hersay and conjecture to argue against, in fact he should be given a nobel prize for his efforts... right to the head. Worry about a disease that is harming society now, instead of one centuries past which was caused by not keeping place clean.
 
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