CFC betting game - Survivor S8G2

[Fippy]

Round 2 with some of the most popular AIs on board
This time everybody gets 3000 to spend.
Along with what you already have from game 1:
Keler now has 3750 - Nick723 4000 - Eauxps 9000 - ManiaMuse 9000 - Kaitzilla 10200 - Lymo 6000 - Sittindown 5800 - My 4800 - Gumbo 8000 - Saxo 5400

And now your offers for this one:

Which AI will win?
Justi +400
Gilga +450
Genghis +550
Bismarck +650
Toku +700
Cathy +800
Wang +1000

Who comes in second?
Gilga +500
Toku +550
Genghis +550
Bismarck +600
Cathy +650
Justi +700
Wang +900

First to die?
Bismarck +400
Wang +500
Cathy +600
Justi +600
Genghis +700
Toku +700
Gilga +900

Victory condition?
Domination +250
Space +250
Culture +1500
Diplo +4000

Specials
Dogpile (3+ AIs) is back on popular demand..but only at +250
Vultures: 5 or more AIs against 1 poor Civ +2000
IND move: Bismarck builds TGW +350
Oracle me something new: it's not Mona or MC +1000
Troll King: Wang's first dow will be on Cathy, Justi or Toku +600
(if Wang never declares on anyone this will be refunded )
Dangerous crowd: 16 or more wars +700
Stunning victory: less than 280 turns +1300

Good luck

 

[lymond]

Lol...I love the Troll King option ..def gotta put something on that one

 

[urbestfriend]

I mean, I do think there will be 5 or more vultures against an AI in this game

 

[NickGabben]

Interesting to have a vulture bet in a game with Gilgamesh I'd have gone all-in on Gilgamesh builds at least 5 vultures - the offered option, hmm, I'll have to think about it!

 

[ManiaMuse89]

I will have please:

1st:
- Cathy 3000g

FTD:
- Wang Kong 3000g

Victory:
-Culture 1000g

Specials:
- Dangerous Crowd 2000g

 

[ManiaMuse89]

Interesting to have a vulture bet in a game with Gilgamesh I'd have gone all-in on Gilgamesh builds at least 5 vultures - the offered option, hmm, I'll have to think about it!

I would want better odds for a 5 v 1. Basically means that there can't be any other conflicts going on in the world with at least 6 leaders who are still alive, relevant and who can plot/be bribed and that the victim holds the fort long enough for all the DOWs to happen. Pretty unlikely imo.

 

[Fippy]

Better than +2000 with 7 AIs?
I think it can def. happen in 1/20 games.

 

[elmurcis]

All in (3000) for TokuCowa masterclass of sneaking in for 2nd place!

 

[Nick723]

1000 on Cathy to win
1000 on Justinian for second
1000 on Space
500 on dangerous crowd
500 on dogpile

 

[urbestfriend]

1000 on dogpile. Do I have to pick a specific target?
1000 on Wang Kon FtD

 

[Plains-Cow]

Betting it all on Troll King!

 

[Fippy]

1000 on dogpile. Do I have to pick a specific target?
1000 on Wang Kon FtD

Nope no target needed.
You have 3000 to spend if you want

 

[urbestfriend]

Nope no target needed.
You have 3000 to spend if you want

Oh thanks for pointing that out. I'll be boring and put the last 1k on Domination victory.

 

[Keler]

Want to see some boring bet? No problem

500 gold on Justinian wins
500 gold on Justinian first to die
500 gold on Wang Kon first to die
1500 gold on Industrious move, Bismarck builds The great walls wonder.

 

[Fippy]

You also have 750 more if you want, @Keler

 

[Eauxps I. Fourgott]

Despite my official prediction, I really do think Gilgamesh is the heavy favorite in this game, so I'll bid my new 3000 gold on him to win.

I'll play relatively conservative with my existing 6000 gold, looking to maintain or moderately increase it by spreading it across all the likely second-place candidates. 1200 each on Gilgamesh, Toku, Genghis, Justin, and Bismarck, please. (I really don't like Cathy and Wang's starts here, but this is so totally tempting them to find a way to squeeze by in second place anyway...)

Don't feel that confident about any of the other categories (maybe Domination victory but the payout on that isn't good enough), so I'm all-in on those two.

 

[Keler]

Sure, 750 gold on Gilgamesh winning why not

 

[Kaitzilla]

10000 on Gilgamesh!!!

200 on Troll King

 

[NickGabben]

Oh Bismarck, my German buddy
I know the ground seems muddy
To keep the barbs away
From your empire this sunny day
Hurry up and finish tee-gee-dub
And join the wonder builders' club

(3000 on Bismarck to finish the Great Wall)

 

[lymond]

1st:
Giggles - 300
Genghis - 400
Toku - 500

2nd -
Toku - 500
Justi - 250

FTD-
Wangster - 800

VC-
Dom - 250
Diplo - 500
Culture - 300

Crazy My Specials :

Troll King - 1000
Oracle Me - 500
Biz builds - 350
Dogpile - 350