CFC Picking Game - Survivor Playoffs 2

[Fippy]

What an exciting (peaceful) finish last game,
can this one live up?

I think we need lots of fresh points here so those with fewer have new hope.
5000 which brings us to:

Maybeyou: 5000
Eauxps: 7400
Plains-cow: 8300
Elite: 8500
Saxo: 9650
My: 10.000
Chalybion: 10.700
Lymo: 11.225
Sittindown: 12.600
Keler: 12.925
Thrasy: 21.900
Kaitzilla: 23.800
Gumbo: 26.600


Which AI will win?
Augustus: x4
Justi: x4
Ramsy: x5
Gandhi: x6
Freddy: x8
Brennus: x9

Who comes in second?
Ramsy: x4
Augustus: x5
Justi: x5
Brennus: x6
Freddy: x7
Gandhi: x9

First to die?
Gandhi:x4
Freddy: x5
Brennus: x5
Justi: x7
Ramsy: x7
Augustus: x8

Victory condition?
Culture: x2
Space: x3
Domi: x5
Diplo: x9

Specials:
Oracle is not built by a SPI leader: x4
First war is declared on Gandhi, or he declares it: x3
Smart teching - Augustus & Freddy both research Agri first: x5
Justi gets gems with his first settle (2nd ring okay): x2
Nukes are back: x8

Catch-up specials:
No AI dies: x100
Gandhi wins but not by culture: x25
Less than 260 turns: x30
Exactly 4 wars: x50
Neither Gandhi, Brennus or Justi found the first religion: x40

 

[Thrasybulos]

Justi 1st: 2,000
Justi 2nd: 3,000
FTD Brennus: 5,000
FTD Ramsy: 4,000
Space: 4,000
Smart teching: 3,000

Less than 260 turns: 900

@Fippy: I've refrained from betting on all three Justinian 1st, Augustus 1st, Rammy 1st but with those odds, that would seem the smart choice, with a 99% garanteed win?

 

[Fippy]

Only if you think one of those 3 will absolutely win

 

[Thrasybulos]

That seems to be the consensus.
Of course, we could all be wrong.

 

[Keler]

1500 Justinian win
1500 Ramesses win

1500 Justinian second
1500 Ramesses second

2000 Brennus FTD
2000 Gandhi FTD

500 Smart agri techers
500 Oracle by not Spi
1000 Nukes are back

925 Non myst starter finds first religion

 

[Eauxps I. Fourgott]

This is a tricky board to bid on! No really good looking choices with big payoffs. I considered going all in on Gandhi FTD to try to maximize earnings, but even that is so little it's not worth it.

So I'll hedge and go for what I hope is pretty safe increase, if not a lot. Splitting everything between Augustus second and Justin second.

 

[Plains-Cow]

All-in on Domination win! Let's see some WWWWWAAAAAAARRRRRRRSSSSSSS!!!!

 

[elitetroops]

Space - 5000
Domi - 3000
GWbnbC - 500

 

[lymond]

I think I'm not going to spread the wealth as much this time.

Justy Wins - 2000

Ghando Second - 2000

Space - 5000

Culture - 225

McOracle - 2000

 

[Plains-Cow]

I think I'm not going to spread the wealth as much this time.

Justy Wins - 2000

Ghando Second - 2000

Space - 5000

Culture - 225

McOracle - 2000

If you put all of your eggs in one basket, then you only have to carry one basket.

 

[SittinDown]

6300 on Gandhi FTD
6300 on Brennus FTD

 

[Kaitzilla]

12000 - Space Win
9400 - Gandhi 1st to die
2400 - Diplomatic Win

 

[Gumbolt]

Sorry running out of time here. Will try and post before 5 but I may not make it.

 

[Fippy]

1000 Freddy wins
2000 Augi second
2000 Brennus FTD
1000 Diplo
1000 Smart Teching
1000 Justi gems
500 each on Gandhi wins but not - under 260t - 4 wars - reli founding shock

 

[Chalybion]

1000 - Gandhi 1st
1700 - Justy 2nd
1000 - Brennus FTD
1000 - Culture
2000 - Diplo
1000 - Smart Teching
1000 - Nukes!
1000 - No AI Dies
1000 - Gandhi wins, but not by culture

 

[Saxo Grammaticus]

600 Ramesses first
550 Justinian first
450 Augustus first

650 Brennus second
550 Justinian second

950 Brennus first-to-die
600 Frederick first-to-die
550 Gandhi first-to-die

850 Domination

750 Nuclear end-game
550 Something about Gandhi
450 Byzantine gems

950 No Mysticism needed
600 4 Wars
600 No AI Dies

 

[Fippy]

Sorry running out of time here. Will try and post before 5 but I may not make it.

Why are you always keeping it for last day?

 

[Gumbolt]

7000 space
2600 diplo
5000 just 1st
5000 brennus Ftd
2000 Freddy 2nd
5000 Ftd gandhi

 

[Chalybion]

Smart teching is a win!

 

[Fippy]

Shocking, can we trust AIs to be smart in this game