1. We have added a Gift Upgrades feature that allows you to gift an account upgrade to another member, just in time for the holiday season. You can see the gift option when going to the Account Upgrades screen, or on any user profile screen.
    Dismiss Notice

[RD] Clinton vs. Trump - USA Presidential race.

Discussion in 'Off-Topic' started by onejayhawk, Mar 23, 2016.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. JollyRoger

    JollyRoger Slippin' Jimmy Supporter

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2001
    Messages:
    42,965
    Location:
    Chicago Sunroofing
    Yeah - he has had Ohio at 538 for a while and Florida has been considered as a true toss up.
     
  2. Thedrin

    Thedrin Deity

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2002
    Messages:
    2,650
    Location:
    London
    The Clinton firewall doesn't include those states.
     
  3. Kyriakos

    Kyriakos Alien spiral maker

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2003
    Messages:
    59,094
    Location:
    Thessalonike, The Byzantine Empire
    Lol. Sorry for taking the opportunity to rub this in, but you did a Comey u-turn there m8 :D

    Anyway, would a REALLY REALLY REALLY close vote be more trouble or not?
    I mean i think neither will immediately concede then.
     
  4. CaptainF

    CaptainF The Professional Poster

    Joined:
    Nov 29, 2005
    Messages:
    9,514
    Location:
    541 Oregon
    Oh absolutely, no argument there. White americans are violent, stupid and racist, by and large. I say this as a white person.
     
    JohannaK, Quintillus and Phrossack like this.
  5. Camikaze

    Camikaze Administrator Administrator

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    27,234
    Location:
    Sydney
    Ohio yes, 538 had Trump ahead in Florida until Monday, then Clinton edged in front in their prediction to have a 53% chance of winning. Without Florida, Trump loses 95% of the time, so while it's a must win for him, Clinton has more options without Florida.

    Those options, though, involve winning Michigan & Wisconsin, which are looking surprisingly competitive in a way which the polls didn't really pick up.
     
  6. BirraImperial

    BirraImperial Pura Vida!

    Joined:
    Dec 14, 2004
    Messages:
    4,311
    Location:
    San Jose, Costa Rica #fiftychat
    Polls definitely failed big time on this election, and on Brexit...What's going on?
     
  7. GoodEnoughForMe

    GoodEnoughForMe n.m.s.s.

    Joined:
    Nov 1, 2006
    Messages:
    5,445
    Location:
    new alhambra
    No need to qualify your statement, it's 100% true to those who bother to realize.
     
  8. Camikaze

    Camikaze Administrator Administrator

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    27,234
    Location:
    Sydney
    Not really - the polls aren't that far off the national vote. There might be a bit of variance in a couple of states, like Michigan & Wisconsin, but overall the polls aren't showing massive error.
     
  9. Phrossack

    Phrossack Armored Fish and Armored Men

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2008
    Messages:
    6,045
    Clinton must win VA, WI, and MI to win.
     
  10. JollyRoger

    JollyRoger Slippin' Jimmy Supporter

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2001
    Messages:
    42,965
    Location:
    Chicago Sunroofing
    Georgia and Arizona still not called should be a worry to Trump
     
  11. Camikaze

    Camikaze Administrator Administrator

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    27,234
    Location:
    Sydney
    Georgia hasn't been called because, although Trump has a very healthy lead, the vote is being counted slowly.

    Results only just started coming in for Arizona.
     
  12. JollyRoger

    JollyRoger Slippin' Jimmy Supporter

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2001
    Messages:
    42,965
    Location:
    Chicago Sunroofing
    That is the same for a lot of Clinton states such as MN, PA, and WI
     
  13. Camikaze

    Camikaze Administrator Administrator

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    27,234
    Location:
    Sydney
    Yeah, that's true too. Which means I think the upshot is that neither camp should really be worrying too much at the moment. It's not particularly productive, and is based on quite scarce information.
     
  14. dutchfire

    dutchfire Deity

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2006
    Messages:
    14,106
    Location:
    -
    This looking like the best map for Clinton. Need to win MI and WI and PA.
    edit: ARGH, can't get the map to work.
     
  15. JollyRoger

    JollyRoger Slippin' Jimmy Supporter

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2001
    Messages:
    42,965
    Location:
    Chicago Sunroofing
    Yeah - this feels much like a typical election night to me. Probably clear up in about an hour.
     
  16. AlpsStranger

    AlpsStranger Jump jump on the tiger!

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2009
    Messages:
    5,820
    Holy ****, this is a weird night. Brexit, Trump, seriously?

    I'm not super partisan but I don't even know. This isn't healthy, somewhat respectable conservatism here. It's something ****tier.
     
  17. Camikaze

    Camikaze Administrator Administrator

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    27,234
    Location:
    Sydney
    Re 538's live prediction - it appears they might have two forecasts - one is what updates in the right-hand column of their live blog whenever a state is called. The other appears to periodically be posted in their blog feed, e.g. there was one just posted which says the 'model' now predicts a 55% chance of victory for Clinton in Michigan.

    Edit: actually it appears it's the one model, but they've fed 'too close to call' into it as a call, which they haven't done for Florida. That drops the overall chances of Clinton to 60%.
     
  18. Phrossack

    Phrossack Armored Fish and Armored Men

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2008
    Messages:
    6,045
    No offense, but that's easy to say for someone who doesn't have to live here.
     
  19. Camikaze

    Camikaze Administrator Administrator

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    27,234
    Location:
    Sydney
    There's an argument that the US President has more power in the rest of the world than they do in the US, but yeah, fair enough, that's probably why. I'm invested, but it's probably easier for me to watch from the sidelines.
     
  20. CaptainF

    CaptainF The Professional Poster

    Joined:
    Nov 29, 2005
    Messages:
    9,514
    Location:
    541 Oregon
    This just adds to the reasons why I hate the Midwest.
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page