I'm a bit more pessimistic.
Told the wife in March to expect a depression. I don't think it will be a great depression but yeah end of next year being optimistic, pessimistic 5-10 years, civil unrest, war, widespread riots etc.
I try to be realistic, optimism cannot be a false positive. President Trump kept saying the Covid virus is under control, no it is not, under control = less than 2,000 national cases per day in the United States like the per capita cases of South Korea.
Many Americans are very disappointed after realizing the U.S. per capita deaths turn out to be higher than Italy and still keep going. Trump's optimistic comment in July: "United States handles the pandemic better than France and Italy", not any more. Some people have gone to the riot because they felt being cheated.
Wife's Ego is just temporary, the World History will be remembered forever. Temporary optimistic ego that results in a huge later cry is really not worth the effort.
I won't be surprised if my local city got a lockdown for the 2nd time, I have to be ready to face the real world, anything can happen during the winter season. Being pessimistic during the pandemic or other disasters cannot be blamed as we all should prepare the best and expect that the worst may happen.
If Victoria stamps down hard enough that's about a month or so to get near zero.
I hope this strategy works as long as the citizens are obedient there. I believe 6 weeks should be long enough according to the Tokyo, Japan example back in April, 2020.
The Japanese people have to wear the masks whenever they go out to the public space that has more than 10 people. They seem to follow the health guidelines pretty well.
[Old Normal] life base = before Covid
[New Normal] life base = Covid without Vaccine
Don't go to the beaches during the holidays, it's not absolutely essential. Avoid the crowds is smart. Working at Home if possible. Some essential jobs such as the restaurants will require their workers to be present, they'll have to be tested frequently to stay safe, but indoor customer dining should be totally avoided.
I'm waiting to see what will happen a month after this -
https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/14/politics/donald-trump-coronavirus-indoor-rally-wildfires/index.html