Akka
Moody old mage.
Wut ? It's the entire point of your post, to describe how conservative are supposed to think and assign moral value.I don't really know how you got this from post.
That's one part. Humans tend to overestimate personal responsibility and underestimate outside factors. But that's just one of several aspects.I don't actually disagree. It seems, for want of a better word, natural that human s But that doesn't mean it true. It's a kind of magical thinking, a conviction that because the world should be ordered in a certain way, it must be; that because certain actions should produce certain outcomes, they must produce certain outcomes.
Another part is simply perception bias - until you've actually lived through something, you just infer how it happens or work through how you imagine it does.
Yet another part is just psychological defense mechanism : if something is bad, you try to find reasons why it shouldn't happen to you - inversely, if something is good, you try to find reasons why it should happen to you.
My message you quoted initially was in fact mainly about this third point.