French presidential election 2024

Some elections were very close, and as it happens the left was only 25-50k votes from getting more members of Parliament than Macron's party (and be the biggest block in the assembly). Some elections were literally decided by 3 or 4 votes. It's strange that so much of that narrative could have drastically changed with so little change in how people voted (the coalition of the left got around 6 million votes overall)
 
Some elections were very close, and as it happens the left was only 25-50k votes from getting more members of Parliament than Macron's party (and be the biggest block in the assembly). Some elections were literally decided by 3 or 4 votes. It's strange that so much of that narrative could have drastically changed with so little change in how people voted (the coalition of the left got around 6 million votes overall)
Mmh, Ensembles got 38 % of the valid votes, and NUPES 31 %. That's a wider gap than 50k votes (unless you mean that these 50k votes would have allowed NUPED to get more elected people if they had been distributed over the closest cases).

I feel that the actual significant change in narrative is how the far right got a lot less votes this turn, with NUPES being the main beneficiary. This is part of what makes me think that Mélenchon is holding back votes for the left, as I surmise that a number of people voted for MLP rather than him, but voted NUPES rather than RN because it had less his mark upon it than LFI.
 
Mmh, Ensembles got 38 % of the valid votes, and NUPES 31 %. That's a wider gap than 50k votes (unless you mean that these 50k votes would have allowed NUPED to get more elected people if they had been distributed over the closest cases).

Yes a lot of seats were very close, and with only a few tens of thousands of votes it would have given NUPES more seats than Ensemble (although of course it's not that simple). The voting total for the second round are misleading because they're very dependent on who was qualified for the second round.
 
So today there were a bunch of internal votes in the assembly. The new president of the assembly supports Macron (it was expected, they have the biggest number of MPs). The expected distribution for the other roles was :
Questure (those who overlook the parliament's finances) : 2 for Macron's people, 1 for the opposition, of which the largest voting block is the left.
Vice presidents (who preside the assembly when the president is busy doing other stuff, for example in very long sessions) : 2 for the left, 2 for Macron's people, 1 for the classic right, 1 for the far right.
Instead the right made a deal with the far right to get their candidate elected to the questure, and in exchange didn't try to get a vice president spot : which means that the left didn't get a questure and the far right got 2 vice president spots. All of this was validated by Macron's party in order to weaken the left, ending up strengthening the far right in the process.
 
So today there were a bunch of internal votes in the assembly. The new president of the assembly supports Macron (it was expected, they have the biggest number of MPs). The expected distribution for the other roles was :
Questure (those who overlook the parliament's finances) : 2 for Macron's people, 1 for the opposition, of which the largest voting block is the left.
Vice presidents (who preside the assembly when the president is busy doing other stuff, for example in very long sessions) : 2 for the left, 2 for Macron's people, 1 for the classic right, 1 for the far right.
Instead the right made a deal with the far right to get their candidate elected to the questure, and in exchange didn't try to get a vice president spot : which means that the left didn't get a questure and the far right got 2 vice president spots. All of this was validated by Macron's party in order to weaken the left, ending up strengthening the far right in the process.

Thanks for the update.
I'm not surprised at the deal against the left. I am surprised that whatever Le Pen's party is now called didn't demand that financial oversight job. It should give access to more important information than the one the vice-presidents have, and that would be politically useful.
 
The guy from the right that got the financial oversight position would be classified as far right in any civilized country, so it's kind of a win-win for them.
 
Last update until Macron dissolves the assembly, the left managed to get the finance commission presidency (there was no agreement between the right and far right this time). The far right is now saying that the left wants to destabilize the country by proposing a vote of no confidence next week. The government is confident that enough MPs from the right will abstain in a no confidence vote so that the government will hold.
 
Top Bottom