I ask all that because I have very little knowledge of ww2. I have to assume that since russians already felt safe from Germany in the Urals, they wouldn't bother much with an attack by Japan that had to literally reach the opposite edge of the largest continent.the famed Siberians . Two front war keeps Russia from concentrating on Nazis , the existantial threat thing , allowing the Japanese to make a little show and get things . Siberia is too large and too tough . But if Japan manages to gain a foothold it can be a really useful addition to Manchuria ... Letting Japan to declare a truce with China . So that China can be invaded and destroyed later , say , by 1950 or 60 . Except the Russians in the Nomonhan Incident totally crushed the Japanese Army , which was a second rate force when you omit the fanaticism of the troops . On the other hand the IJN was indeed a major naval power , perhaps the best in the world , before the US defence industry got into high gear . Adolf wants a distraction , might even give parts of Siberia to America to make a peace in the West .
Though I suppose US wouldn't as easily send them supplies if the Barents sea ports had fallen (after a fall of St. Petersburg).