I've got a stack of 10 armies all of which contain 4 veteran cossacks (6.3.3) going up against cities with pop gt 6 that are most likely defended by veteran infantry (6.10.1). What do you think the likelihood will be that each attack will succeed in destroying an infantry?
On average I think the needed hit points I'll are (4/(6/(10+6))) * 1.5 or (10.66 X 1.5 = 16. Because my armies have 24 hit points, they should win in
24/(24+16) or 60% of the battles described above.
Is my calculation close? Would you risk it? I really want to destroy China's two largest cities (or more). My plan: Conquer, heal, raze, and go to the next. Without artillery support I'll will the cossack armies be slaughtered? The AI to this point avoids my armies, like they don't exist.
On average I think the needed hit points I'll are (4/(6/(10+6))) * 1.5 or (10.66 X 1.5 = 16. Because my armies have 24 hit points, they should win in
24/(24+16) or 60% of the battles described above.
Is my calculation close? Would you risk it? I really want to destroy China's two largest cities (or more). My plan: Conquer, heal, raze, and go to the next. Without artillery support I'll will the cossack armies be slaughtered? The AI to this point avoids my armies, like they don't exist.