Hmm, I think if you moved the northern warrior 1W, 1NW might be good, for meeting the northern neighbor, and I hear meeting people is good (can give a 5% discount on research for example).
Building the settler at size 3 was probably the right choice, but as mentioned above, extra commerce from the lake boosts your beaker rate by 22% and slows the settler by 10% (at least once you start building settler), so it seems worth it to get the cottages online faster.
Building the settler at size 3 was probably the right choice, but as mentioned above, extra commerce from the lake boosts your beaker rate by 22% and slows the settler by 10% (at least once you start building settler), so it seems worth it to get the cottages online faster.