But wouldn't total sales be more important than what is sold each month? The 360 is still the top-selling next-gen, but Wii will soon surpass it. And I meant the PS3 sold more in its first three months than the 360, over 50,000 more units.
No, you're still missing the point. Comparing launch numbers doesn't really tell much of the story. Heck, the Dreamcast had an amazing launch in the United States, but it didn't make a difference because sales fell catastrophically afterwards. No one cares if the PS3 sold more than the 360 did in their respective first three months on the market. (Although this is also untrue; the 360 sold 1.86 million units in this timeframe compared to 1.68 million for the PS3.) What matters is that ever since the two have been on the market together, the 360 has consistently outsold the PS3 (everywhere except Japan, that is). Just for discussion's sake:
November 2006
360: 5.11 million worldwide
PS3: 0 million (had not launched yet)
Difference: 5.11 million
June 2007
360: 9.91 million worldwide
PS3: 3.37 million
Difference: 6.54 million
The PS3 is further behind now than it was before it started! THAT'S why this whole "comparing launches" thing doesn't mean jack. Conversely, since you brough up the Wii, let me add those numbers too:
November 2006
360: 5.11 million worldwide
Wii: 0 million (had not launched yet)
Difference: 5.11 million
June 2007
360: 9.91 million
Wii: 7.95 million
Difference: 1.96 million
Total install base IS important, but the most important thing that publishers look at is which platforms are moving the most hardware and software. That's why the 360 is in relatively good shape in America; the Wii is doing better at moving hardware, but the 360 consistently sells more software. Whether this will continue to hold true as the Wii's install base inches closer to that of the 360 is an open question.
PS3 is far from dead, but definitely needs to improve hardware and software sales significantly. This holiday season will be critical.
And actually the PS3 is being discriminatory media. "The media is just plain stupid" says Michael Pachter, analyist with Wedbrush Morgan Securities.
People say the PS3 is a failure, because they haven't met the outworldly expectations in sales. Negative perception of the PS3 happened because of scarcity of PS3s that were mostly being sold at outrageous prices on eBay. Then, those auctions stopped, and a surplus of PS3s appeared in stores. Also, great PS2 games are still appearing. (God of War II)
Michael Pachter is a moron and has no idea what he's talking about. He was predicting a worldwide victory for the PS3 as recently as four weeks ago, before the April NPD figures came out and showed just how big of a fool he'd made of himself.
People saying that the PS3 is a failure are definitely being harsh, I'd agree. But those claims aren't too far off the mark either, especially compared to the PS2. Again, just to throw out one example: in its entire lifetime (2001 to present), the PS2 has only sold less than 200k consoles twice in the official NPD data. Twice! Over the last six years! And the PS2 has NEVER sold less than 100k consoles in America, at any point in time. Yet the PS3 has been under 200k for the last three months running (February, March, and April) and it was under 100k last month, only selling a paltry 82k units. All signs are that it will be even less than that for May, which would be very, very bad news for Sony.
Maybe the bar was set unfairly high after the runaway success of the PS2, but these are still historically low number for the Playstation brand. You have to go all the way back to 1995-96, when the original PS1 was getting on its feet, to find numbers this low. I'm not trying to bash the PS3, just report on the sale figures here.
And I believe that the PS3 fanbase will grow higher and surpass the 360 and Wii by the end of the decade, mainly because by then, Nintendo and Microsoft will work on the Xbox 460 and Wii 2 or Super Wii (Or if going Japanese numbers, Wii Ni).
That's certainly possible, but why would the most successful systems be abandoned first? That makes no sense. The "losers" are almost always the ones who rush new nex-gen systems to market. (See: Sega Master System -> Genesis/Megadrive, Saturn -> Dreamcast, Microsoft XBox -> 360.) The most successful systems always have the longest lifespans, surviving long after they've become graphically outdated due to their huge install bases. (See: Nintendo NES, SNES, Gameboy, GBA; Sony Playstation 1 and the continuing success of PS2.)
Anything can happen, but if the Wii hits 50% market share, I'd bet that it lasts longer than the third place console, whichever one that happens to be. It's all about the money, after all.