Want to bet that the disinformation machines here will manage to turn around the narrative over the next couple of weeks from a "Russia is losing, its army is about to collapse" to an "we will prevent Putin from annexing more than half of Ukraine"?
They will also not bother justifying all the weapons dumping, pressing the ukranians to fight to the last ukranian, talking about bleeding Russia for years, etc. All will be memory holed and the resident chickenhawhs here will pretend they never believed any of it.
Then the narrative will be shifted again to "Ukraine is so wrecked that
Russia should have it all, hey look they're taking it all over,
that's what we really wanted all along. See the stupid russians are falling into our trap, we're geniuses".
Next year: "By the way, please please take back these 10 million refuges because our population is lacking housing and food, and protesting that we're giving both to foreigners instead".
Pathetic. Out warmongering idiots did all they could to set up a war, failed to actually prepare to win the war they succeeded in bringing about (there was never any interest in fighting, it was stupid), pressed the ukranian government to refuse to negotiate early and cut losses, and will finally dump Ukraine like a spent broken toy.
I will be crystal clear: Ukraine is already utterly defeated. There is no way it can win, it will run out of soldiers way before Russia could - and still Russia isn't even
bothering to mobilize. While Ukraine mobilized everyone who couldn't bribe their way out of being recruited. Lots of people keep people dying uselessly because peace negotiations have been repeatedly torpedoed. Heads of state that have no real commitment to the war keep making processions to tell the ukranian government to drag it on, act like Hitler ordering its generals to stay put in face of overwhelming odds. But reassure them that unlike Hitler a path will be provided for safe exit. I wouldn't trust that promise but Zelensky isn't a bright one.
On gas: there are still no gas cuts. The other pipeline is taking the flows, as arranged between Gazprom and ukranian authorities.
Does no one here think it
odd that gas keeps being pumped into Ukraine even though officially there's a state of all-out war going on? That both belligerents cooperate to maintain that gas flowing? Can you imagine Hitler and Stalin doing something like that after Barbarrossa began?
No.
That tells you everything you need to know about what this war is about, how much the stakeholders, inside and outside Ukraine, are
invested on it, and the long-term prospects for its resolution.
The americans fume at the situation on the ground but dare not intervene because an outright defeat would instantly crumble their influence worldwide. The US cannot win a conventional limited war against Russia in eastern Ukraine. It
might in western Ukraine, but that explains the whole russian strategy. Ukraine as a state, all its military strength holding it together still, will be destroyed in the east.
The europeans don't really want to defeat, let alone destroy, Russia. They're not really in it, just fell they have to go along with american pressure to use Ukraine to "weaken Russia".
The ukranian government wants to keep the money falling into bank accounts. Thew dreadful "war criminal monsters" money, with whom they happily continue to do business.
The russians know a puppet show for what it is and play along.
And the cannon fodder die while
their betters pose for photo-ops. War as usual. Let's all in in CFC cheer for and encourage more war. Years of war. Yay.