Psyringe
Scout
Just out of curiosity, how many of you think steam could actually get away with pulling your access to titles you buy through them in the eyes of game developers?
In your scenario Steam is still staying in business, meaning they'd still be interested in keeping their business relations with said developers/publishers. Under these conditions, the risk that Steam pulls those games without their consent should be very small. I can see some scenarios which could lead to this result nevertheless, but I don't consider these as very likely (or as only likely in special cases):
1. The devs/publishers could see the pulling of their old game as a good thing. At first sight, this probably sounds pretty odd - after all, old games produce revenue for very little cost, they can be sold cheaply to people who want to check out a series and who might then be interested in buying newer games of the same series, etc. However, consider a game series with high release frequency, and few changes between releases - the EA sports series is a prime example. Here, the "old" game can be seen as competing against the "new" game. Example: Many people who had already bought Football Manager 06 were disappointed with the changes proposed for FM 07, so they decided to keep playing FM 06, skip FM 07, and wait for FM 08. This meant lost revenue for EA. In such (and similar) cases, the publisher would actually profit if the old game were pulled by a third-party distributor.
However, this example is probably a special case. I don't expect it to be a model for the gaming market in general, for several reasons (including technical progress, and the limited replayability of most games; ask if you want me to elaborate). Slightly off-topic addition: I do think that EA would immediately change the distribution of its sports series to a yearly subscription fee if it could get away with it, for the reasons you stated in your previous posts abouts businesses and markets, with which I agree btw.
2. As variation of the above: I'm not entirely sure whether or not the publishers are paying continuously (and per game) for the services that Steam provides. If they do, then pulling a game that doesn't sell anymore, but still costs maintenance, may be in the publisher's interest.
3. The pulling of the old game may have been fixed in the contract between Steam and the publisher from the beginning. In this case the publishers would have already agreed to the pulling and can't object to it later. Even if the publishers would prefer their games to stay in Steam, Steam currently dominates its market in a way that it probably could get away with forcing such a clause on publishers - accepting it would still be more profitable for the publishers than foregoing Steam as a platform.
The question is if Steam would actually _want_ to shrink their catalogue. If there are enough games which cost them maintenance without bringing in new sales, then they might eventually consider this, but even then they'd probably not do it by pulling individual titles. The more "acceptable" way (for the market) is to change the platform to something like "Steam 2.0", improve it slightly, and inform players that the new and better Steam unfortunately can't support a couple of older games that "no one plays anyway".
But as I said, I don't consider these scenarios as particularly likely. I think the people who are concerned about the long-term availability of their games, mostly think about different scenarios, like:
- Steam going under (discussed extensively on the previous pages)
- Steam "upgrading" their platform and "losing" games that create more expenses than revenue (as described above)
- Steam changing their license in a way that makes it undesirable to stay with it (example: If Steam ever thinks that their quasi-monopoly is strong enough to enforce a monthly subscription fee on its users, then the current license allows them to do so - customers who disagree with that have, according to the license they agreed to already, 30 days to either accept the change, or leave Steam and all their games with it)