1. We have added a Gift Upgrades feature that allows you to gift an account upgrade to another member, just in time for the holiday season. You can see the gift option when going to the Account Upgrades screen, or on any user profile screen.
    Dismiss Notice

Trump's Chances

Discussion in 'Off-Topic' started by onejayhawk, Jul 19, 2019.

?

What are the Chances Trump will be Reelected

This poll will close on Dec 31, 2019 at 1:37 PM.
  1. Statistical Certainty > 95%

    2 vote(s)
    3.2%
  2. Money in the bank - 75%-95%

    6 vote(s)
    9.7%
  3. Solid choice - 55%-75%

    18 vote(s)
    29.0%
  4. Pick 'em - 45%-55%

    17 vote(s)
    27.4%
  5. Not good - 25%-45%

    11 vote(s)
    17.7%
  6. Sucker bet - 5%-25%

    3 vote(s)
    4.8%
  7. Not Happening <5%

    3 vote(s)
    4.8%
  8. Glacier melt floods Washington

    2 vote(s)
    3.2%
  1. Berzerker

    Berzerker Warlord

    Joined:
    Dec 30, 2000
    Messages:
    16,828
    Location:
    the golf course
    the President has to be weak with the base for a challenge, Trump's their darling
     
  2. hobbsyoyo

    hobbsyoyo Warlord

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2012
    Messages:
    20,110
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    The pale blue dot.
    I know but some campaigns have been eviscerated by intra-party challengers. I was just trying to point out that they are setting it up so there can't be said challengers even if they were capable campaigners and if there were mass unrest in the party. And there's not mass unrest in the party either so even if there was a strong challenger and even if the rules weren't changed to effectively disbar them from the convention, they won't stand a chance at actually unseating him from the ticket.
     
  3. Cloud_Strife

    Cloud_Strife Chieftain

    Joined:
    Nov 24, 2018
    Messages:
    1,111
    Location:
    Midgar
    Trump has aligned himself with the fascists, whilst condemning those who fight against them, in a normal country that would hopefully spell his end but not in America.
     
  4. Zardnaar

    Zardnaar Chieftain

    Joined:
    Nov 16, 2003
    Messages:
    4,505
    Location:
    Dunedin, New Zealand
    2020 see what happens.
     
  5. onejayhawk

    onejayhawk Afflicted with reason

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2002
    Messages:
    13,348
    Location:
    next to George Bush's parents
    Not really. It just says that they are solidly behind him.

    This is an understatement. Trump is polling almost 90% with Republicans.

    J
     
  6. Estebonrober

    Estebonrober Warlord

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2017
    Messages:
    1,922
    Gender:
    Male
    That is not a healthy relationship in any setting. 90% approval is sad no matter the situation.
     
    cardgame likes this.
  7. FriendlyFire

    FriendlyFire Codex WMDicanious

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2002
    Messages:
    18,268
    Location:
    Sydney
    Trump is the "Choosen one"
    Leading the faithful to the MAGA
    Blessed are the poorly educated
     
    cardgame likes this.
  8. mitsho

    mitsho Chieftain

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2003
    Messages:
    6,882
    Location:
    Europe, more or less
    The interesting data point would then be whether the number of self-identified Republicans has gone down in the last 3 years. Anybody has data on that?
     
  9. Cloud_Strife

    Cloud_Strife Chieftain

    Joined:
    Nov 24, 2018
    Messages:
    1,111
    Location:
    Midgar
    Then there is something seriously wrong with Republicans.
     
  10. Broken_Erika

    Broken_Erika Nothing

    Joined:
    Dec 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,182
    Location:
    Glasgnopolis, Grottland
    All the moderates have been driven out. Only the crazies remain.
     
    Cloud_Strife and rah like this.
  11. Estebonrober

    Estebonrober Warlord

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2017
    Messages:
    1,922
    Gender:
    Male

    both parties trend lines are down, republicans more so. As @Phrossack and @hobbsyoyo like to point out though, it does not matter since their game plan is to subvert the representative system. Thus making old and white a winning strategy anyways.

    https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2018/06/14/trump-owns-a-shrinking-republican-party/
     
    mitsho and hobbsyoyo like this.
  12. onejayhawk

    onejayhawk Afflicted with reason

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2002
    Messages:
    13,348
    Location:
    next to George Bush's parents
    You mean former Democrat voters?

    Or the Trump haters. Since Trump has done a very good job, I am going with the haters being wrong.

    That's a fact. Democrats have jumped off the bridge without a bungie cord.

    J
     
  13. onejayhawk

    onejayhawk Afflicted with reason

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2002
    Messages:
    13,348
    Location:
    next to George Bush's parents
    Interesting read. It shows the Brooking institutes known liberal bias, but very factual. The real issue with the analysis is that it assumes basically static affiliations. In the 1970s many Tea Party members were Democrats. Then, they became Reagan Democrats, eventually core Republicans, even right wingers. One thing Trump has done is attract support from the disinterested and sometimes from former Democrats.

    J
     
  14. FriendlyFire

    FriendlyFire Codex WMDicanious

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2002
    Messages:
    18,268
    Location:
    Sydney
    I look forward to another 14 more years of "winning"

     
  15. Cloud_Strife

    Cloud_Strife Chieftain

    Joined:
    Nov 24, 2018
    Messages:
    1,111
    Location:
    Midgar
    Have fun doubling down on your support for a brain worm riddled, senile racist who has been credibly accused of rape multiple times, who spouts anti semetic bs, lusts after his own daughter, who can't bring himself to condemn white supremacists, who believes climate change is a lie even as the evidence shows otherwise, who boasts about sexually assaulting women, who lies with the same ease that one breathes, who failed his way upwards, a man so far removed from any sort of reality or decency etc.

    He's your man and you love and support him. Now what does that say about you, that you are more than willing to give him a mulligan for all of his many, incredibly concerning flaws? It doesn't look good and it doesn't speak well of who you are willing to tolerate next so you can "win".
     
    cardgame and Birdjaguar like this.
  16. Fippy

    Fippy Micro Junkie Queen

    Joined:
    Mar 17, 2013
    Messages:
    10,497
    Gender:
    Female
    I wonder what would actually happen, if they drop a bomb into a hurricane?
    Not that i think this sounds intelligent lol (stupid rather), but curious about the results.
     
  17. onejayhawk

    onejayhawk Afflicted with reason

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2002
    Messages:
    13,348
    Location:
    next to George Bush's parents
    Just four. That will be enough to really change things around.

    That's not the fun part. Watching people think they are smarter than he is, is the fun part.

    Someone calls Trump anti-semitic? Where did you dig that up? Whomever it is must be brain dead. The rest are the usual lies and exaggerations, but that one is really wrong.
     
  18. Cloud_Strife

    Cloud_Strife Chieftain

    Joined:
    Nov 24, 2018
    Messages:
    1,111
    Location:
    Midgar
    Do i need to post the access hollywood clip? Do i need to quote what he said about his daughter? Do i need to quote what he said about China inventing climate change? Do i need to point out the fact that he lies multiple times a day off and online? Do i need to point out that multiple women have accused the man of rape and sexual asssault? Do i need to point out the fact that he lost money whilst running a casino? Do i need to point out the fact he got sued TWICE precisely for racist practices when it came to his businesses? Do i need to point out his comments bout ****-hole countries, Mexicans, etc? Do i need to point out the fact he implied the American Jews have dual loyalty to both Israel and America, which is an anti-semetic trope?

    You are no different than a flat earth believer and you and your opinions can be safely dismissed as being just as removed from reality.
     
  19. onejayhawk

    onejayhawk Afflicted with reason

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2002
    Messages:
    13,348
    Location:
    next to George Bush's parents
    No, it isn't.

    Haters will hate, but calling Trump anti-semitic is far removed from reality.

    J
     
  20. Cloud_Strife

    Cloud_Strife Chieftain

    Joined:
    Nov 24, 2018
    Messages:
    1,111
    Location:
    Midgar
    Ah yes, calling the man who has said that he only wants small men with yarmulkes to count his money, anti-semetic is far removed from reality.

    Truly.
     
    Lexicus likes this.

Share This Page