Two. The New Civilization Contact Forecasting Market

Provolution

Sage of Quatronia
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Jul 21, 2004
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Two. The New Civilization Contact Forecasting Market


Babylonians
ODDS: 30:!, adjusted for multiple bets to 27:1

Tim Bentley - 10
MOTH - 10
SAAM - 20
Octavian X - 20

Hittites
ODDS: 30:!, adjusted for multiple bets to 28:1

Tim Bentley - 10
MOTH - 10
Scary Worker - 10

France
ODDS: 30:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 28:1

Provo - 10
Pete - 10
Paul Fish - 10

Greece
ODDS: 30:1 adjusted for multiple bets to 29:1

Ash - 10
Magnificent Cow - 10

Spain
ODDS: 30:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 29:1

YNCS - 10
Paul Fish - 10

Portugal
ODDS: 30:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 29:1

Ash - 10
YNCS - 10

Germans

ODDS: 30:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 29:1


Noldodan - 10
Scaryworker - 10

Japan
ODDS: 30:1

Civgeneral -20

Netherlands
ODDS: 30:1

Provo - 10

Celts
ODDS: 30:1

Pete - 10

Vikings
ODDS: 30:1

Noldodan - 10

Russia
ODDS: 30:1

Black Hole - 10

Carthage
ODDS: 30:1

Black Hole - 10

China
ODDS: 30:1

Double Stack - 10

Inca
ODDS: 30:1

Double Stack - 10

Arabs
ODDS: 30:1

Magnificent Cow -10
 
INDIANS DISCOVERED AS FIRST CIV!. Now deduct one odds from each Civ to estimate odds for second Civ to meet. No Winners for Phase One.
 
Mr Casino manager,
I'd like to point out that the Judiciary has essentially ruled that F10 can be used to determine our opponents (assuming one had C3C of course). This means that many more civs can now be eliminated. I'm not sure what this does to the odds or payouts, so I thought I'd bring it to your attention.
 
MARKET STRIKE

Provolutions wins with a payout of odds of 29:! for a 10 gold bet!
290 Gold to the coffers of Provolution. House of Provolution richest company in the realm.

Doublestack wins with China, for a full payout to of odds 27:1 for a 10 gold bet.
270 Gold to the coffers of Double Stacks Company.
 
Two. The New Civilization Contact Forecasting Market- 2900 BC


Babylonians
ODDS: 26:!, adjusted for multiple bets to 23:1

Tim Bentley - 10
MOTH - 10
SAAM - 20
Octavian X - 20

Hittites
ODDS: 26:!, adjusted for multiple bets to 24:1

Tim Bentley - 10
MOTH - 10
Scary Worker - 10

France
ODDS: 26:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 24:1

Provo - 10
Pete - 10
Paul Fish - 10

Greece
ODDS: 26:1 adjusted for multiple bets to 25:1

Ash - 10
Magnificent Cow - 10

Spain
ODDS: 26:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 25:1

YNCS - 10
Paul Fish - 10

Portugal
ODDS: 26:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 25:1

Ash - 10
YNCS - 10

Germans

ODDS: 26:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 25:1


Noldodan - 10
Scaryworker - 10

Japan
ODDS: 26:1

Civgeneral -20

Netherlands-2900 BC
ODDS: 29:1

Provo - 10

Celts
ODDS: 26:1

Pete - 10

Vikings
ODDS: 26:1

Noldodan - 10

Russia
ODDS: 26:1

Black Hole - 10

Carthage
ODDS: 26:1

Black Hole - 10

China-2800 BC
ODDS: 27:1

Double Stack - 10


Inca
ODDS: 26:1

Double Stack - 10

Arabs
ODDS: 26:1

Magnificent Cow -10
 
Persians found, no wins, Odds go down with 2 more points.
 
Portugal 23:1

Ashburnham 230
YNCS 230

Base goes down 2 to 21:1

Byzantines, No winners

Base goes down 2 to 19:1

Japan

Civgeneral wins with 18:1 with 20 bet
Civgeneral wins 360 Gold

Base goes down to 16:1
 
Two. The New Civilization Contact Forecasting Market- 2900 BC


Babylonians
ODDS: 17:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 14:1

Tim Bentley - 10
MOTH - 10
SAAM - 20
Octavian X - 20

Hittites
ODDS: 17:, adjusted for multiple bets to 15:1

Tim Bentley - 10
MOTH - 10
Scary Worker - 10

France
ODDS: 17:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 15:1

Provo - 10
Pete - 10
Paul Fish - 10

Greece
ODDS: 17:1 adjusted for multiple bets to 16:1

Ash - 10
Magnificent Cow - 10

Spain
ODDS: 17:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 16:1

YNCS - 10
Paul Fish - 10

Portugal
ODDS: 23:1

Ash - 10
YNCS - 10


Germans

ODDS: 17:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 16:1


Noldodan - 10
Scaryworker - 10

Japan
ODDS: 18:1

Civgeneral 20


Netherlands-2900 BC
ODDS: 29:1

Provo - 10

Celts
ODDS: 17:1

Pete - 10

Vikings
ODDS: 17:1

Noldodan - 10

Russia
ODDS: 17:1

Black Hole - 10

Carthage
ODDS: 17:1

Black Hole - 10

China-2800 BC
ODDS: 27:1

Double Stack - 10


Inca
ODDS: 17:1

Double Stack - 10

Arabs
ODDS: 17:1

Magnificent Cow -10
 
Two. The New Civilization Contact Forecasting Market- 2300 BC

BYZANTINES FOUND (DOWN 1) HITTITES FOUND (DOWN 2)

Babylonians
ODDS: 14:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 11:1

Tim Bentley - 10
MOTH - 10
SAAM - 20
Octavian X - 20

Hittites
ODDS: 14:, adjusted for multiple bets to 12:1

Tim Bentley - 10
MOTH - 10
Scary Worker - 10


France
ODDS: 14:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 12:1

Provo - 10
Pete - 10
Paul Fish - 10

Greece
ODDS: 14:1 adjusted for multiple bets to 13:1

Ash - 10
Magnificent Cow - 10

Spain
ODDS: 14:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 13:1

YNCS - 10
Paul Fish - 10

Portugal
ODDS: 23:1

Ash - 10
YNCS - 10


Germans

ODDS: 14:1, adjusted for multiple bets to 13:1


Noldodan - 10
Scaryworker - 10

Japan
ODDS: 18:1

Civgeneral 20


Netherlands-2900 BC
ODDS: 29:1

Provo - 10

Celts
ODDS: 14:1

Pete - 10

Vikings
ODDS: 14:1

Noldodan - 10

Russia
ODDS: 14:1

Black Hole - 10

Carthage
ODDS: 14:1

Black Hole - 10

China-2800 BC
ODDS: 27:1

Double Stack - 10


Inca
ODDS: 14:1

Double Stack - 10

Arabs
ODDS: 14:1

Magnificent Cow -10
 
Tim Bentley 120 Gold Payout for Hittites
MOTH 120 Gold Payout for Hittites
Scary Worker 120 Gold Payout for Hittites
 
Provolutions wins with a payout of odds of 29:! for a 10 gold bet!
290 Gold to the coffers of Provolution. House of Provolution richest company in the realm.

Doublestack wins with China, for a full payout to of odds 27:1 for a 10 gold bet.
270 Gold to the coffers of Double Stacks Company.

Portugal 23:1

Ashburnham 230
YNCS 230

Base goes down 2 to 21:1

Byzantines, No winners

Base goes down 2 to 19:1

Japan

Civgeneral wins with 18:1 with 20 bet
Civgeneral wins 360 Gold

Base goes down to 16:1

Tim Bentley 120 Gold Payout for Hittites
MOTH 120 Gold Payout for Hittites
Scary Worker 120 Gold Payout for Hittites

Provolution 290 Gold Payout for Dutch
Doublestack 270 Gold payout for China
Ashburnham 230 Gold Payput for Portugal
YNCS 230 Gold Payout for Portugal
Civgeneral 360 Gold Payout for Japan
Tim Bentley 120 Gold Payout for Hittites
MOTH 120 Gold Payout for Hittites
Scary Worker 120 Gold Payout for Hittites

3 Civilizations to go, 11 bets to fall , 8 or more got to lose.
 
Mayas discovered, no payouts. Only two undiscovered Civ left.
Base Odds fall 2 to 12:1 Odds.
 
Spanish discovered

YNCS and PaulFish each receive 110 Gold.

Last Odds are now down to 10 to one, flat out.
 
France found as last Civ

Provolution, Truckingpete and Paulfish get 100 Gold Each.
 
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