UK Politics VI - Will Britain Steir to Karmer Waters?

Not really answering the question here.

Well now, there is the system for electing the members of the Scottish Parliament.


The Scottish Parliament uses an additional member system (AMS), designed
to produce approximate proportional representation for each region.
There are 8 regions, each sub-divided into smaller constituencies.

There is a total of 73 constituencies.

Each constituency elects one MSP by the plurality (first past the post) system of election.
Each region elects 7 additional MSPs using an additional member system.
 
Yes there are people who push for change, no they don't just complain, but the political situation has been setup so that it's very hard to actually change.
I might have been unclear, but I'm mainly wondering if it's actually a significant subject in the electorate, or more of a background noise.
There was a referendum on changing the voting system in 2011.


I voted for the change.

But the majority voted to keep the existing arrangement.
I wonder if the choice of a proportional system rather than AV would have been more popular, or if it's just a sign that the majority simply prefer (either due to habit, or because they like it) the FPTP.
 
I wonder if the choice of a proportional system rather than AV would have been more popular, or if it's just a sign that the majority simply prefer (either due to habit, or because they like it) the FPTP.
PR was/is the generally preferred option among electoral reformists, but it wasn't offered as a choice in that referendum, which was binary between FPTP and AV -- with the (generally right-wing) tabloid media shilling for the status quo, and in at least one case, flat-out lying about how AV works ("the loser's vote gets counted twice").
 
I wonder if the choice of a proportional system rather than AV would have been more popular, or if it's just a sign that the majority simply prefer (either due to habit, or because they like it) the FPTP.

It is difficult to say.

Historically people in the UK wanted to elect an MP to represent where they lived,
and also to have some choice in selecting their preferred party's candidate.

That is arguably, in these days, of the delocalising Internet, and nationalised parties,
assessed as less important by younger electors.

So there is probably a trend towards more support for PR.

But having nationalised parties top down managed by the leader hardly encourages that.

And yes, regarding habit, I think that there is a tendency to want to stick to the status quo.
 
PR was/is the generally preferred option among electoral reformists, but it wasn't offered as a choice in that referendum, which was binary between FPTP and AV -- with the (generally right-wing) tabloid media shilling for the status quo, and in at least one case, flat-out lying about how AV works ("the loser's vote gets counted twice").

The liberal democrats wanted proportional representation and were so
disappointed that the coalition government specified AV as the alternative
to the existing FPTP, and some even seemed to convince themselves that
AV would preclude PR for ever, so they didn't really bother to campaign for it.

In my opinion, that was a major strategic mistake.

Because I rather think that many voters took the view that if the liberal democrat
party, that supposedly wanted electoral reform, wasn't itself prepared to actively
campaign for it, they certainly couldn't be bothered to vote for it.

And I think that was more significant than the right wing tabloid nonsense.

The turnout in 2011 was only 42.2%

ChoiceVotes%
Yes6,152,60732.10%
No13,013,12367.90%
Valid votes19,165,73099.41%
Invalid or blank votes113,2920.59%
Total votes19,279,022100.00%
Registered voters/turnout45,684,50142.2%
 
The liberal democrats took the view that simple PR calculated on a national vote
would give them the third largest number of MPs and put them permanently in a
coalition government playing the conservatives off against labour to be their partner.

AV would have given them more MPs but not enough to be certain of that.

Rather than accepting that David Cameron had out-manoeuvred Nick Clegg and
campaigned for AV as better that FTP, and if successful benefit from it, and use that
as an intermediary position to press for more electoral reform, they went into a sulk.

And that didn't do them much good with the UK electorate in 2015.
 
For reference the UK introduced PR-STV in the Government of Ireland act 1920.
https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/Geo5/10-11/67/section/14/enacted
104 years later it doesn't seem any closer to being implemented for UK general elections.

The vote went ahead in 1921 using PR-STV but, other than a few unionists, the elected members met as the 2nd Dáil rather than as the house of Commons of Southern Ireland. The were all elected unopposed so PR wasn't actually used.
The same act also created Northern Ireland.
 
The Tory leadership race goes from 6 to 4 this week. It does not seem like there will be any surprises, Mel Stride is at 45 and Priti Patel 29.

Spoiler Odds :
 
Half of them pay lip service to "detoxifying the party and reclaiming the Tory vote", whilst Badenoch and Patel seem convinced that they lost because they weren't sufficiently lunatic to capture the Farage vote.
 
Neither approaches will work.

Nigel Farage captured nearly half the conservative vote in 2024.

I suspect he stands a good chance of capturing even more in 2029.
 
First off I am not sure that Nigel Farage can sink the conservatives at will.

But that is hardly necessary as they appear to be self destructing.

Most of the conservative donors already jumped ship, and that was to Labour.
 
Why not? All he has to do is keep being there as a distinct alternative and they'll shatter under the stress. Almost any change is in Farage's favour in his game plan.
 
See, I wasn't sure about that. Farage was getting a lot of what he wanted and very little of the blame when he could make the Tory party adopt his positions in exchange for him not stealing their voters. What is his plan now?
 
See, I wasn't sure about that. Farage was getting a lot of what he wanted and very little of the blame when he could make the Tory party adopt his positions in exchange for him not stealing their voters. What is his plan now?
I think he can do that more effectively now. If they go "left" he runs in all constituencies and guarantees their loss. If they go right he does not run in constituencies where it would hurt them but does where it would help them, and so helps them win. If they let him in he gets even more power.
 
See, I wasn't sure about that. Farage was getting a lot of what he wanted and very little of the blame when he could make the Tory party adopt his positions in exchange for him not stealing their voters. What is his plan now?

There is no benefit to Nigel Farage in getting the conservative party to adopt his policies now because:

(a) the conservatives are in opposition now and until 2029
(b) such adoption would reduce support for voting Reform.

I am not sure what his plan is now.

Probably to wait the outcome of the US election and events in the UK and the world.
 
Are you thinking in terms of Nigel Farage bribing sitting conservative MPs to defect to Reform ?
I do not know what different ways he can use his wealth to subvert democracy and/or leverage the various parliamentary privileges for personal profit, but I am sure he does.
 
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