UKIP have firmly established themselves as the fourth party in British politics. Recent estimates have put UKIP far ahead of the Liberal Democrats but I'm sceptical they will beat the LDs in 2015. Lets have a look at the polls this time four years ago: September 2010: 2-3% September 2014: 9-19%. Spoiler : Where Red = LABOUR, Blue = CONSERVATIVES, Yellow = LIBERAL DEMOCRATS, Purple = UKIP The surge in UKIP support has been unprecedented. Farage is the public face and appeals to an Englishman's common sense and honesty. Whilst the other leaders give you a bullcrap answer, Farage is direct. He will actually give you his thoughts to a question. There is no doubt that Nigel Farage's charisma has brought about much of the success for the party. Prior to the European election, UKIP were battered relentless by the government, Labour and the Liberal Democrats. Even the typical right wing press were doing their best to harm UKIP. This smear campaign backfired spectaculaly. It strengthened UKIPs position outside the establishment, free from the scandels of benefit-gate and child abuse-gate. UKIP have also benefitted from two defections from the Tory Party. Douglas Caswell is likely to win his seat for UKIP (their first ever); whilst Mark Reckless has a good chance but is by no means certain to win. The Conservatives are frightened and even Cameron addressed UKIP in his keynote speech: "On election night, you may go to bed with Nigel Farage and wake up with Ed Miliband". The most amusing Conservative reaction has been William Hague's. A former Tory donor, Arron Banks, switched to UKIP. He pledged £100k to the cause, Hague then called Mr Banks a nobody, Banks then raised his donation to £1m... UKIP have also tapped into the poor, ex-labour voter pool too. They have even made attempts to court this vote in their latest conference (which was held in the North). No longer a right-wing spliter faction they are contesting in traditional Labour areas and doing well. So, in conclusions UKIP are doing fantastic. What do you think about that?