He could be wrong insomuch as his data smoothing is inaccurate, although yes, the election results won't by themselves demonstrate that. But we probably can and should try to decide if 538's model using weights (which are sadly not very transparent) or a more straight-shooter model like Princeton are more accurate for the future once we have more results. Also you took my post way seriously than I thought anyone would lol, it was sort of silly but I wanted to do it because it seems like this site is entirely in the 538 model basket and there are plenty out there. Irrespective of which one finds better. I understand probability forecasts and "wrongness."