Be sure, Russia wont turn into Communism again. There's even no real communistic party - KPRF (Communistic Party of Russian Federation) - its just a mob of clowns in alliance with oligarchs (in any case, it looked so on last elections...) Their electors are dying. (usually only old peeps voting for them....) I think, there will be a mix of republic/democracy with strong central power. And It wont turn into ultra-right nationalism - because it will be death for Russia.... (it has more then 150 nationalities)
About Russian Army - yep, It has a lot of problems at the moment, but every year Russia increases its outlay on Ministry of Defense. 5 years ago Russia was near to declare mobilization for the war in Chechnya, and thats with 1.350.000 army
. Now the situation greatly changed. Russian army regularly makes manoeuvres, and there's new re-arming programm until the year 2015....
New weaps are developed and developing... even
. (hmm, need to post a message in Russian UU topic -about Russian mobile ICBMs... sry for offtopic)
Russia restoring its power in CIS. The new economical alliance soon will be created (Russia, Ukraine, Byelorussia, Kazakhstan). In year 2006 Russian ruble will became the main money in Byelorussia (and it is going to create the union state - but ther is only 1 problem - Lukashenko and his regime... But in military cooperation all is going much better.). Russia creating new military alliance - between Russia, Byelorussia, Kazakhstan and else some republics im Middle asia (like Tadzhikistan, Uzbekistan etc... ) About Ukraine - it depends on who will win in the coming elections - Yushenko (pro-western nationalist) or Yanukovich (pro-eastern, but not communist). In any case, Kuchma said that joining NATO and EU is not anymore the strategic task in Ukraine
About Russia vs. China - their huge man potential doesnt matter anything in war with Russia - its rocket launchers can easily stop Soviet - WW2 style invasion. But I dont think they'll fight with Russia - 1) they're not suiciders
2) Russia sells its weaps to China. And chinese scientists are not very good - they cant create something really new, but they are masters of copying (Their space rocket is copy of Proton - it even hard to distinguish one from the other...) ...
Did I say about everything?
P.S. Sry for my english, dont think its very good...