Hurricane Ivan

Quasar1011

Quasar1011

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The latest from the National Hurricane Center on Hurricane Ivan:

HURRICANE IVAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 05 2004

SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL AGENCIES SUGGEST THAT IVAN
CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND IS NOW A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM WINDS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 115 KT. CONVECTION IS REMARKABLY STRONG IN THE CORE REGION WITH PEAK CLOUD TOPS APPROACHING -80 DEG C. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS STRONG IN ALL QUADRANTS.
 

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I guess the thursday and friday predictions are quite speculative at this time. So let us hope it does a big right turn at some point eh?
 
Yes annother one is coming. But what people have to worry alot about now is whether Hurricane Frances will pickup spead in the Gulf of Mexico and hit the gulf coast or disipate.
 
How large is this one compared to the last?
 
Category 4 is the second highest level in terms of windspeed. I guess it's still so far away that much can change in the following days. But windspeed isn't all, the total energy of the hurricane can also be measured in the width of the system. And I guess Frances was quite unprecedented in that regard.
 
Is this number three?
 
Charlie, Frances, and now Ivan.

No, it isn't normal, but to be honest, I don't think there Is a 'normal' season for hurricanes, every year its something different. This is very bad though, because when they're back to back, this close to each other, the ground is so saturated from the previous storms, the water has nowhere to go. On top of that, people are trying to rebuild and collect their things from the previous storm, all those efforts are lost when the winds come in.

If there's one small consolation, it's that our technology now is advanced enough that we can (fairly) accurately predict times, directions, severities of these types of storms and get people evacuated in time. Nothing like the nightmare hurricane that slammed into Galveston, Texas in 1900. Those folks were all out watching the waves because they were bigger than anyone had ever seen. Right up until the storm swept them away. 8,000 dead. Some estimates were as high as 12,000 but records weren't as accurate then.

In any case, our prayers are with the folks in Florida and the neighboring states, as well as the island dwellers. This is a real mess.

-Elgalad
 
Ivan still has a lot of open water to cross. Good chance this one will hit Category 5 before hitting the continent.

Early this summer the storm dudes were saying that hurricane seasons with the first named storm appearing in August are often the roughest. Looks like they might be right.
 
Snoopy said:
Is this normal?
Click to expand...
I dont know if this is an unusual hurricane season or not, but it stands to reason that if you add more heat to the system (global warming), the severity and frequency of hurricanes will increase. Hurricanes get their energy from warm waters. The warmer the waters, the more powerful the hurricanes.
 
Hey Dumb pothead,
You'll get to see some more of you favorite newscasters standing around in Florida this week, knowing how much you enjoy their reports. :lol:
 
Snoopy said:
Is this normal?
Click to expand...

Usually there's only one big hurricane per season, if any. Three is unusual, but not impossible. It's if this one ends up landing as Category 5 that would make it extraordinary -- only two Category 5 hurricanes have ever made landfall (Camille in 1969 and Andrew in 1992).
 
ManOfMiracles said:
Ivan still has a lot of open water to cross. Good chance this one will hit Category 5 before hitting the continent.

Early this summer the storm dudes were saying that hurricane seasons with the first named storm appearing in August are often the roughest. Looks like they might be right.
Click to expand...
It will hit other land masses on the way, I doubt it can be a Cat.5
 
CIVPhilzilla said:
Hey Dumb pothead,
You'll get to see some more of you favorite newscasters standing around in Florida this week, knowing how much you enjoy their reports. :lol:
Click to expand...
I think by the time Ivan has taken over the U.S. newsmedia like Frances did, I'll be in the process of moving to a new apartment, so I'll be without cable TV, and pretty busy. With my luck though, my cable will be connected on the day Ivan is about to make landfall:eek:
 
Did we skip G and H for the names, or did I miss out on two minor storms in the last week?
 
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