I don't think that is super unlikely honestly. It actually be the single most likely outcome.
the "bet two bottles of whiskey" thread
- Thread starter holy king
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I don't think that is super unlikely honestly. It actually be the single most likely outcome.
Dreadnought
Deity
House is easy, but Senate is tougher to say.
It's quite possible that it'll be a 50-50 tie after November, which of course means the VP breaks the tie. Thus, it depends on who controls the White House.
I'd say the odds are fairly low that the GOP loses the Presidential election but gains the four seats needed to take the Senate.
The odds are, the GOP gets 3 Senate seats this round.
Maybe two to one in favor of this not occurring.
Save_Ferris
Admiring Myself
I will find something we disagree on the results of!
rugbyLEAGUEfan
Deity
This thread needs a deal to be struck to give it some traction and something to follow. Any takers on my 2 bottles to 1 offer and I take the GOP?
Core Imposter
Felon
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Price of good whiskey varies a lot state to state.
rugbyLEAGUEfan
Deity
Oh come on. By taking the bet it is assumed one knows what they will have to pay if unsuccessful. If it's beyond ones means, don't bet.
Core Imposter
Felon
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I am just saying it affects the odds. I am a conservative. We do the math.
GhostWriter16
Deity
I actually just might prefer this to a Romney victory. Obama wins but can't do anything useful and we get a new President in four years? There are things to like about this, and possibly it would be better than being stuck with Romney or worse for 8.
Then again, that would depend whether we actually can get someone better in 2016 or not.
Eh, I don't think Dr. Paul will be too old in 2016
(I'd elect the 80-year old guy
)(What kind of odds can I get on that happening? I'd imagine at least thirty to one.)
(Although I won't really bet..)
Oh, and is this a real thread? How will you enforce payment if you win?
rugbyLEAGUEfan
Deity
To quote Jerry Seinfeld "I'm sure we're comfortable working within the confines of the honor system"
Besides, would many people here trade their good name for a bottle of whiskey?
50-50 or 51-49 would be pretty likely; I think both sides have 45 or 46 seats either safe or not up for election. If the tossups get split pretty evenly, this is what we'll expect.
Wait, were you serious? Let me laugh even harder.
NickyJ
Retired Narrator
Would "everyone" be considered "many"?
rugbyLEAGUEfan
Deity
Well if anyone has a bet worth taking, I know I'll pay if I lose and I'm extremely confident in the reverse.
So if Obama wins, you give me 1 bottle, and if Romney wins, I give you 2 (working on 700mL bottles, with forms of payment flexible and negotiable)? You're on.
The problem identified by MisterCooper should not be an issue, so long as you buy the stuff in Sydney, rather than Indonesia.
rugbyLEAGUEfan
Deity
So if Obama wins, you give me 1 bottle, and if Romney wins, I give you 2 (working on 700mL bottles, with forms of payment flexible and negotiable)? You're on.
The problem identified by MisterCooper should not be an issue, so long as you buy the stuff in Sydney, rather than Indonesia.
And it's on
However I believe the loser does need to go to the trouble of purchasing, gift wrapping and posting the goods (cash would be lame). Winner names his poison, doesn't need to be expensive and immediate cash flow can determine payment time. Sweet?
rugbyLEAGUEfan
Deity
Ima rallying Cooper, Ghostwriter, VR, Mobboss et al to the polling booth and we're gonna take Mittens all the way to the White House. (which is a shame really cause ordinarily I'd want Obama to win, just not as much as I like free booze).
TheLastOne36
Deity
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No more imperialistic scotch-whiskey!
GhostWriter16
Deity
Of course you say that since you're in Australia and so don't care anyway
That said, I'm too young to vote. Still 17
Of course, that means I can't buy whiskey either
If I could though, what odds would you give me if I said Ron Paul was going to become President in 2016?
Ailedhoo
wonderer
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Then why do you commence the deregulation which help cause the ecomonic crisis?
Well I am please you using a science that was well developed in Arabia, demonstrating cultural enlightment.
I bet that a fanatic will realise that their fanatical idealogical leaded illogical ways are only leading to self-destruction.
I also bet Hillary Clinton may one day seek the role of President. As a Brit I will be glade to see a US President with grand foreigh affairs skills. Romney has proven when visiting London and Israel to... be ill-equiped in diplomatic affairs.
IdiotsOpposite
Boom, headshot.
No money, but I'll do something involving avatars and signatures for the bet that Obama will win by at least 8%.
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