Sovereign Wealth Funds

Whomp

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Some of you may have heard me discuss Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs)recently. I'd like to start topic on them and pulled from a variety of sources to explain them and some of the issues regarding them. I know this is a bit long so I've tried to highlight the key parts for those that are ADD challenged.

Though you may not be aware of what they are, (think of the Abu Dhabi ports deal) these . .government-owned funds have been getting more attention in the financial press and among the world's top central bankers and finance ministers.

What are they? A Sovereign wealth fund (SWF) is a fund owned by a country (usually its central bank) composed of financial assets such as stocks, bonds, property or other financial instruments. SWFs differs from foreign exchange reserves by maximizing long term return and are not created or used for short term currency stabilization. They're based on current account surpluses and will become less important only if the countries with large surpluses begin to run prolonged current account deficits.

So what's the deal? Sovereign Wealth Funds are huge and I mean enormous. Their estimated $2.5 trillion in assets exceeds the sum invested by the world's hedge funds. Moreover, Morgan Stanley, in a widely cited study, projects that these investment funds could surpass global foreign reserves by 2011 when they each reach $6.5 trillion and be valued at a staggering $17.5 trillion in 10 years. It's said the Abu Dhabi Investment firm takes in $2 billion a day. Putting them in context.... The total value of all traded securities (all bonds and stocks) denominated in US dollars is $50 trillion. For the world, it's $165 trillion. The total value of traded securities in Africa, the Middle East, and emerging Europe combined is about $4 trillion; this is also roughly the size of these markets in all of Latin America.

In the past few months, the SWFs have injected about 29 billion dollars into US financial firms, such as a 10-billion-dollar investment in the UBS by the Singapore Investment Corporation, a 7.5-billion-dollar investment in Citigroup by the Abu Dhabi Authority, a stake of up to 5 billion dollars in Merrill Lynch by Singapore's Temasek and a stake of 5 billion dollars in Morgan Stanley by the newly-founded China Investment Corporation. Two Middle Eastern government funds now own 33% of the London Stock Exchange.

Issues arise...Many remember the issues with the ports deal. Probably the most political turbulence caused by a sovereign wealth fund occurred when Temasek Holdings, the state-owned investment branch of Singapore, purchased a stake in the company owned by the prime minister of Thailand, Thaksin Shinawatra. The deal fed anti-government demonstrations that led to his ouster in a military coup in 2006.

In further response to the perceived threat, a transatlantic defense is gradually mounting. In August 2007, the European Commission launched a probe into the role of SWFs in the European Union (EU). The investigation came after German chancellor Angela Merkel urged the EU to start screening foreign-controlled investments. These concerns have led the EU to consider whether to allow its members to use "golden shares" to block certain foreign acquisitions

A Senate Banking Committee heard lengthy testimony on them in December. The worry is that, beyond the possibility of foreign funds pushing up prices on bonds, stocks and real estate, they might exercise inappropriate control politically or in the private sphere. A government is a different type of animal in the investing world," he said. "We call them sovereign wealth funds, but once you're operating outside your own borders, you're not sovereign in the same sense." A U.S. government agency has begun an investigation of foreign state-run investment funds at the request of a Senate panel, as lawmakers examine whether the much-needed capital infusions being provided to major banks pose economic or security concerns.

So what would happen if China took over a U.S. pharmaceutical company and pressed for changes in prescription drug programs?
What would the reaction be if an Arab government demanded a bailout or tax break for its company in return for supporting peace talks in Iraq or Israel?
Russia buying a stake in Boeing?
How will Australian or Canadian governments respond if their resource companies are acquired?
Could more coups occur because of this influence?
Protectionist bunk?
If hedge funds dont' require transparency should SWF?
Thoughts? Ideas?

Interesting piece on the topic...
http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=1868

Estimated size of some of the funds.
Spoiler :

Country Fund Assets, $bn Inception year
UAE Abu Dhabi Investment Authority $875 1976
Singapore Government of Singapore Investment Corporation $330 1981
Saudi Arabia Saudia Arabian funds of various types $300 na
Norway The Government Pension Fund of Norway $300 1996
China State Foreign Exchange Investment Corp. + Central Hujjin $300 2007
Singapore Temasek Holdings $100 1974
Kuwait Kuwait Investment Authority $70 1953
Australia Australian Government Future Fund $40 2004
US (Alaska) Alaska Permanent Fund $35 1976
Russia Stabilization Fund of the Russian Federation $32 2003
Brunei Brunei Investment Agency $30 1983
South Korea Korea Investment Corporation $20 2006
 
Let me see if I understand this correctly.

These governments have so much extra cash lying around that they can invest them on behalf of the government. The government gets a larger amount of revenue if times are good in the market, and take an extra hit when the times are bad?

This stinks of corruption.
 
They've handled much of their short term needs so they're increasing risk and as you see with Abu Dhabi their daily cash flow is enormous. IE even with a downturn in oil prices they have more than enough liquidity in other reserves to inject into their system.

They are now looking to increase risk quite significantly. The Singapore SWF got a 12% discount on the share price of Merrill Lynch for their 9.7% stake in the company.
 
What are the ultimate goals of these SWFs? To eventually have so much money to lower taxes on the population? A vast expansion of services?

What are the drawbacks? A loss of immediate infrastructure and revenue to inject cash into these?
 
I don't see the problem with this. Doesn't a government investing in the economy both help the economy and make it so the growth of the economy is an even better thing for the government?
 
I don't see the problem with this. Doesn't a government investing in the economy both help the economy and make it so the growth of the economy is an even better thing for the government?

No, because it gives them a controlling stake which allows them to manipulate important aspects of other countries.
 
Godwynn said:
What are the ultimate goals of these SWFs? To eventually have so much money to lower taxes on the population? A vast expansion of services?

What are the drawbacks? A loss of immediate infrastructure and revenue to inject cash into these?
Greater returns and more for the population. I believe the Norway fund is their pension system. The Alaska one is for people who reside in the state (no felons) and they're given a dividend every year (usually between $600 and $1500 a year). The Abu Dhabi fund equals ~$1,529,000 per citizen and in comparision Iran's ~$174 per person. :smoke: :mischief:
 
No, because it gives them a controlling stake which allows them to manipulate important aspects of other countries.

Don't they do that anyways? ;)

Besides, I was thinking more of within a government's own country, not in other countries. I can see the problem with other countries, I suppose...
 
Don't they do that anyways? ;)

Besides, I was thinking more of within a government's own country, not in other countries. I can see the problem with other countries, I suppose...

All of the "food for thought" questions that Whomp asked had to do with using the SWFs to manipulate affairs in other countries.
 
Fuschia---it's not an issue how a country supports their companies in their own country but they're looking to enhance their returns outside of their local market (IE think of it as diversification).
 
Fuschia---it's not an issue how a country supports their companies in their own country but they're looking to enhance their returns outside of their local market (IE think of it as diversification).

I can see where that would be an issue. I just wasn't thinking very straight, mostly because I was recovering from laughing at all of the water boarding threads... ;)
 
This seems bad. It seems like a throw back to colonial days.
 
I actually don't know as much about as SWFs as I would like, so I'm going to have to take some time to do some reading before I feel ready to discuss. If you could provide other useful links, Whomp, that'd be great.

And hooray for a fun topic!
 
In the past few months, the SWFs have injected about 29 billion dollars into US financial firms, such as a 10-billion-dollar investment in the UBS by the Singapore Investment Corporation, a 7.5-billion-dollar investment in Citigroup by the Abu Dhabi Authority, a stake of up to 5 billion dollars in Merrill Lynch by Singapore's Temasek and a stake of 5 billion dollars in Morgan Stanley by the newly-founded China Investment Corporation.
Just a small correction - it's called the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (commonly referred to as GIC). ;)

I believe they have divested their China holdings prior to the market selldown in Dec and have been looking to invest elsewhere. Discounted purchases of stable Western financial institutions seem a good choice. They also invest a lot in properties all over the world...
 
A lot of these are designed to invest the windfall gains from selling resources, oil, ores or whatever. Selling oil and using the revenues to reduce taxes is grand until the oil runs out. Then you have a public sector used to getting cash hand outs but no money coming in.

Saving and investing windfalls now to cope with reduced revenues in the future makes sense.

Saying that I don't know where the Singapore and China SWFs get their money.
 
A lot of these are designed to invest the windfall gains from selling resources, oil, ores or whatever. Selling oil and using the revenues to reduce taxes is grand until the oil runs out. Then you have a public sector used to getting cash hand outs but no money coming in.

Saving and investing windfalls now to cope with reduced revenues in the future makes sense.

Saying that I don't know where the Singapore and China SWFs get their money.

Due to China's huge trade surplus they have large amounts of foreign capital lying around (because they get more money from abroad than they spend there). They could allow spending it domestically, but they fear it will drive up demand for the Renminbi, and thus its price, undercutting China's competitive edge. Don't know where Singapore gets its foreign capital, but it's probably similar.

Certainly SWFs have provided American financial institutions with much-needed capital. And the more they do things like that, the more the fates of the SWFs mother nations become intertwined with those of their "target-nations". So while countries like China could use the power they gain through SWFs to wreck the US or EU economy, it becomes less attractive to do so with every investment they make.

Having said that, it might not be a wise decision by a lot of EU governments to bar SWF-investments in "strategic sectors" (e.g. energy or infrastructure). You just never know.
 
I think Australia's is basically formed out of the budget surplus of the last few years.
 
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