Last roll of the dice: 34k extra troops for Afghanistan

RedRalph

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From CNN

Washington (CNN) -- Pentagon planners expect orders to send about 34,000 more troops to Afghanistan, a defense official told CNN, a day after the president's final meeting to decide the next moves in Afghanistan.

The military has planning under way to send three U.S. Army brigades, totaling about 15,000 troops; a Marine brigade, about 8,000 troops; a headquarters element, about 7,000 troops; and between 4,000 and 5,000 support troops -- a total of approximately 34,000 troops, according to a defense official with direct knowledge of Pentagon operations. CNN reported last month that this was the preferred option within the Pentagon.

Pentagon planners have been tasked with preparing for this option with the expectation that is the number the president is leaning toward, said the defense official with direct knowledge of the process. The official insisted Tuesday there is no final word yet.

The troops would be divided up in various locations around the country, mainly focusing in the south and southeast parts where much of the fighting is.

Currently, brigades from Fort Drum in New York and Fort Campbell in Kentucky are among those that are next in line to deploy.

Obama is expected to announce his Afghanistan strategy "early next week," senior Pentagon officials told CNN on Tuesday.

The officials would not speak on the record because there has not been an official announcement.

Several media reports have said the announcement will be on Tuesday, December 1.

Thoughts, opinions?
 
So I guess pretty soon we're gonna pull Osama Bin Laden out of where ever we've been keeping him so we credit Obama with the save and Bush with the win. Otherwise this is just pathetic.

georgewobama.jpg

"Let's kill more people and waste more money YEAH!"
 
Thoughts, opinions?

I think most people are going to hold opinions until they hear the strategy announcement. 34,000 troops are going is all that seems to be known right now.

I would say its a good sign though, it sends a strong signal that they're not going to take a piecemeal aproach to it by going for one of the lower troop number options.
 
Obama wants to "finish the job" in Afghanistan. What job? Decimating Al Qaeda? Already done. The US National Security Council estimates there are only about 100 Al Qaeda operating in Afghanistan. More are in Pakistan. But nobody in their right mind advocates an invasion of Pakistan.

Establishing Western-style democracy in Afghanistan? Not gonna happen, and more importantly, not our job. Afghan leadership and/or masses of the people have to decide to take on that job, and so far they show no real inclination. (Lip service =/= reality.)

American leadership has no clear vision of its goals in a conflict, nor any coherent realistic plan for achieving its vague idea of a goal. A recurring theme.
 
Obama wants to "finish the job" in Afghanistan. What job? Decimating Al Qaeda? Already done. The US National Security Council estimates there are only about 100 Al Qaeda operating in Afghanistan. More are in Pakistan. But nobody in their right mind advocates an invasion of Pakistan.

Establishing Western-style democracy in Afghanistan? Not gonna happen, and more importantly, not our job. Afghan leadership and/or masses of the people have to decide to take on that job, and so far they show no real inclination. (Lip service =/= reality.)

American leadership has no clear vision of its goals in a conflict, nor any coherent realistic plan for achieving its vague idea of a goal. A recurring theme.

I would agree that liberal democracy will never be established in Afghanistan. However they haven't finished the job until they've established some sort regime that can crack down on Islamic terror groups without foreign help. NATO has to say that liberal democracy is their goal but in reality any stable liberal pro-western autocracy would do too. Just because theres only 100 AQ operatives in Afghanistan now doesn't mean they can't just set up shop there again if NATO were to just cut loose and give up.
 
Obama wants to "finish the job" in Afghanistan. What job? Decimating Al Qaeda? Already done. The US National Security Council estimates there are only about 100 Al Qaeda operating in Afghanistan. More are in Pakistan. But nobody in their right mind advocates an invasion of Pakistan.

I thought we wanted to dismantle the Taliban?

Establishing Western-style democracy in Afghanistan? Not gonna happen, and more importantly, not our job. Afghan leadership and/or masses of the people have to decide to take on that job, and so far they show no real inclination. (Lip service =/= reality.)

It would help if the US would not undermine their attempts at democracy by supporting whoever that guy is who won the recent election by massive electoral fraud.
 
I would agree that liberal democracy will never be established in Afghanistan. However they haven't finished the job until they've established some sort regime that can crack down on Islamic terror groups without foreign help. NATO has to say that liberal democracy is their goal but in reality any stable liberal pro-western autocracy would do too. Just because theres only 100 AQ operatives in Afghanistan now doesn't mean they can't just set up shop there again if NATO were to just cut loose and give up.

How long would you expect that to take?
 
I thought we wanted to dismantle the Taliban?

If the Taliban isn't fighting, I can't really see why they shouldn't be part of the government. Not that I like the idea.

Wonder how this impacts Obama politically. The Senate ads I've seen out of Boston have a candidate campaigning against an Afghan surge.
 
I thought the idea was to send 40,000? 34,000 is far too small a number!
 
How long would you expect that to take?

I'm not sure if its even possible, but at least its not impossible. All I'm saying is that must be the realistic objective, establishing a liberal democracy is just a pipe dream and I'm pretty sure none of the real power brokers actually believe that is possible. They'd be happy with some superficially liberal autocracy that is not sympathetic to Islamic terror groups. And rightly so.

You're right in calling it the last roll of the dice, if this doesn't produce results within a year or so I can't see there being any public support at all left.
 
Afghanistan must not return to a theocratic regime hostile to the United States. It would only embolden our enemies and precipitate more terrorist attacks on our country and interests abroad.

Unfortunately, media cameras and public opinion are against tougher tactics.
 
The Europeans and others are supposed to ante up another 10K.

What are you talking about? This is just another example of Obama not having the balls to take the war to the enemy.

...

But seriously, yes the NATO supplement is what I am led to believe "Defence Secretary Robert Gates" wanted. Nevertheless it still goes against the wishes of "Gen Stanley McChrystal" who apparently wanted 40,000 American troops. Same difference to me, but I was alluding to the probable way this news will be handled by the press. Sending less than 40,000 will be seen by some as a sensible compromise solution, by others as practically revolutionary defeatism.
 
About time. But I think the choice had more to do with this:

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2009-11-24-Poll_N.htm

His extended deliberations may be taking a toll: 55% disapprove of the way he is handling Afghanistan and 35% approve, a reversal of his 56% approval rating four months ago.

His numbers have flipped because of the perception he isnt doing anything in Afghanistan. Him taking so long to approve this certainly didnt help.
 
With extra spams on the ground, hopefully a few of them will be going spare to give us brits a hand where we need it (aside from giving us kit - but they are very good for that. The first time we deployed together to that part of the world (nearly twenty years ago now, Christ!) I managed to get a ticket out, and my squadron were in a base with a large contingent of americans, and we must have traded at least enough rations to feed all of us for their stuff, especially the stuff the children send them - deoderant galore!)
 
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