This is a much better poll, FM. There are more options and that will make this a good preliminary poll to narrow the race. I do have a few comments I would like to share as this is now an official disscussion thread.
#5 is a waste of a good hill in this situation. If you had put the 5 one tile to the SW, you would have turned that wasteland of a tundra tile into a bonus grassland tile (under the city), plus you would have had the furs and the iron within the city boundries without expansion. This is not a negative comment, only an observation. One I hope will help you in choosing location options in the future.
#7 will get us the iron quicker than either one of the afore mentioned locations. You can build a city on a strategic resource and use it. Therefore, I vote for #7. Slide that settler down the road and plant her on that hill. Instant Iron (well, not really. You need to stop that worker south of Bavaria immediately and build road to the east of the game) and instant swordsman.
I did notice #2 and I thank you for that, but I feel that #3 should be one tile to the NW.
Life in the big leagues can be tough, I know. Don't let all this bother you too much. Keep your head up and do what you feel is right. You ARE the Domestic Leader.