Brace up for new Crimean War

Winner said:
I give it about 5 years. The tensions are rising, the Russian nationalism is growing, the need to find new foreign enemies is getting more pressing in Russia.

First they'll give Russian passports to ethnic Russians, then they'll provoke the Ukrainian gov. into some sort of reaction which they can paint as "aggressive" and then they'll try to take Crimea from Ukraine (officially it will become independent, in practice it will be annexed by Russia just as the two Georgian separatist provinces).

This is one possible scenario, the other one is that they re-establish pro-Kremlin puppet government in whole Ukraine.

The West will do nothing, since major Western players are currently in appeasement mood.
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How very prescient and perfect timing. I am quite impressed.

Formaldehyde said:
Russia is clearly no longer interested in imperialism and warmongering. They have far too many domestic problems to be looking for more in other countries.
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Perhaps that is exactly why they invaded?

Huayna Capac357 said:
I don't think Russia would invade Crimea outright. They'd be much subtler in their control of it.
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:)

So, how far does this go? Will the Russians be back in Киев? I'd like to hear from Winner the most, he was right.
 
Well, by the looks of it, Iron Maiden won't have a re-branded version of the Trooper in which cavalry is replaced by Russian tanks and a lone soldier is holding the ground with an anti-tank gun.

In short, I am very, very disappointed.
 
Even I'm kind of amazed at the timing. Lucky guess on his part.
 
From a retrospective point of view, 2017 is the end of lease of Crimea naval base, so Russia would have act before that year, however, Winner precisely hit the bull's eye on the timing. Congratulations!

Also Russia did try Winner's No.2 scenario, but it didn't work out, so Russia just tried direct invasion using naval base troops. It's even less subtle than Winner's suggestion. Boo to Putin's lack of originality!
 
I predict that the US economy will implode again once the Republicans seize power.
And another botched up war, Republicans love themselves some botched wars.
 
Winner, maybe you should change your nick to Nostradamus? :)

I also predicted that things were going to escalate into a war, but in 2013, when protests started.

It's even less subtle than Winner's suggestion. Boo to Putin's lack of originality!
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What if Putin reads this forum or employs people / agents who do it for him?

What if he found this thread back in period 2009-2013 ??? :)
 
Maybe Winner is Putin?

I think that would explain much. And make his foresight less impressive.
 
Nah, that's improbable. :) But one statement from this thread is a lesson for the future:

Winner said:
Seriously - after comments like this, does anybody wonder why I sometimes rant about ignorant Westerners?
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How must all these ignorant Westerners who did not believe Winner feel now ??? :smug:

Westerners, stop being so ignorant and respect what we - Centralers and Easterners - have to say. :)

=========================================

BTW - Winner predicted this war accurately, but the causes of it are much more deeply rooted in history than he was willing to admit.
 
Godwynn said:
Will any games be hosted in Danzig
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In Danzig great Dancings are being hosted each weekend. Hence the name.

Snorrius said:
The problem with your prophecy is that existence of Ukraine as it is now is itself a big question. If we are to evaluate different predicitions about Ukraine - the scenario where Ukraine is dissolute into 2, 3, n parts is much more probable. Ukraine economy is nearing its end, so there will be tensions between Kiev (central government) and eastern parts of Ukraine which will consider that living withing Russian Commonwealth is much better. Ukrainians easily can change their colors and become Russians as there is not this much difference, except Western Ukrainians who are closer to Poles by mentality, so they should go to Poland.
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And - ultimately - this prediction by Snorrius will probably also come true.
 
I prophetise that in the year 2020, Bulgarians will be eating burgers served by American forces in Crimea.
 
Does it matter? Prophecies are all great so long as they're vague and scary. Now, the fact that they probably won't happen, well, c'est a ville, right?
 
So the new Crimean war is going to be with zombies? Or is that just the thread?
 
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