If you posit it as "the Jew" conceptual figure, that is in fact just an invention, that makes anti-semitism inevitable, I agree in a way. It seems political movements will almost always inevitably find an "other" to fight against, but I would say that today in Europe "the Muslim" is the new "Jew", "the Catholic" used to be in Britain, "the Irish", "the Mexicans", "the blacks" through US history and so on.
Putting it in that way, I don't think anti-semitism is inevitable, you just have to find someone else (non-semitic I suppose) to be "the Jew". Unfortunately.
I agree, but I think there's a couple of things that make anti-Semitism different.
The first is that the figure of "the Jew" is something more than just the Other. Most Others are imagined as having
bad culture: primitive, simplistic, decadent. But it's at least a culture, and the barbarian form of the Other is at least part of a Nation, however contemptible his nation is. "The Jew", on the other hand, is imagined to be defined by his
lack of culture: the "rootless cosmopolitanism" which allows him to move between nations, taking up and slewing off languages and nationalities like a cloak. "The barbarian" is only as much of a menace as his numbers allow him to be, and is no fundamental threat to the nation so long as he is kept firmly Over There. But "the Jew", by his nature, is a permanent and ever-present threat to the Nation. "The Jew" is almost unique as a racial caricature in their consistent portrayal as powerful and sophisticated. And in that sense, I think the figure of "the Jew" supplies something crucial to the European political imagination that sets him apart from "the barbarian", which requires "the Jew" to remain a figure distinct from the Irishman, the Mexican or the Muslim.
The second point is that the Jews themselves have, by historical accident, provided an incomparable vehicle on which to project "the Jew". There's no other ethnic group which is so widely spread as to be recognised across Europe, so thinly spread as to be vulnerable, yet also so well-established as to be a credible as a shadowy menace eating at the heart of society. The only comparable diaspora are the Roma, and they're too obviously impoverished and marginal to bear that kind of scape-goating. If the figure of "the Jew" has to be identified with a particular ethnic group, it's almost natural that it should fall on Jews.
The question there, I suppose, is whether it does have to fall on a particular ethnic group. Most contemporary hostility to "the Jew" doesn't invoke his ethnicity explicitly: it's enough that he's cosmopolitan and educated and un-nation-like. But is that really enough for the latent anti-Semite? It's hard to convince people out of convinced nationalist circle that, for example, Jeremy Corbyn is "not really English" just because he doesn't share their particular chauvinism. He speaks English, he looks English, he's of English descent: even casual racists are just going to see him as "an Englishman I don't like". And if all of England's woes can be traced to Bad Englishman, what does that say about England? It's much more convenient for the source of the contagion to be identified
outside of the national body. And, historically, the obvious scapegoat has been Jews. Perhaps in future it won't be: perhaps there'll be a large enough population of mixed descendant and language and identity in enough positions of power to provide the newscape. For the "rootless cosmopolitanism" to become an actual describe and not just a crude euphemism for "Jew". That remains to be seen.
So I suppose I think that anti-Semitism is and is not inevitable. Conceptual anti-Semitsm, hostility towards "the Jew" as an abstract figure, is inevitable so long as European political thought does not undergo some drastic shift away from its ethnic and quasi-ethnic preoccupations. Actual anti-Semitism, hostility towards Jews and those of Jewish descendant, is not inevitable, because it's not necessary to identify "the Jew" with actual Jews- but I still think it's hugely probable that the identification will be made, and even where it isn't made explicitly, it will still float under the surface. Taking another Labour Party figure, it was even easier for the right to portray Ed Miliband as "the Jew": cosmopolitan, urban, educated, the son of immigrants, and not at all coincidentally, an actual Jew.
Now, I'm not as pessimistic as Mouthwash: I don't expect his five unhappy years which will see the last of the diaspora driven to the Homeland. And, if I'm quite honest, my wariness of anti-Semitism is as much because it's a disease which eats political cultures from within, as because I'm concerned about any imminent threat to Jewish people. But I think the basic ingredients of European anti-Semitism remain, that most of them are still active, and that it's not a huge leap of imagination see its resurgence.
Why not? Fifty years from now I can imagine a large Jewish diaspora, but what about a hundred? Two hundred, assuming we haven't all been uploaded into Omega by then? Jews have always had good lives in America, but all it takes is a few bad years to get them to emigrate and they're gone for good; just look at what happened to Soviet Jewry. In that distant a time-scale, I don't think it's unreasonable to conclude that 'Jew' might once again become synonymous with a nationality, like Judean.
It's indeed possible that there may be a time where Western Jews feel like Israel is the only place they will be safe or accepted. But Israel itself is a small and perpetually-imperiled country in a chronically unstable corner of the globe, kept above the turmoil mostly by its ability retain unusually strong bonds with Western allies. So, in the first place, how many Western Jews are likely to see migration as preferable to combating anti-Semitism at home? What might seem normal to Israelis often strikes Europeans and North Americans as extremely precarious, and unlike the citizens of the former USSR, it's unlikely they'd be facing any sort of major economic or political upheaval that would somehow leave Israel unscathed. And in the second place, if we saw a resurgence of anti-Semitism in the West capable of encouraging large numbers of Jews to abandon ship, would Israel, an emphatically Jewish state, be capable of sustaining the strong bonds which have contributed so heavily to its stability and prosperity? It's possible that popular anti-Semitism might run contrary to official policy, but if anti-Semitism in the West became so prevalent as to make life difficult for Jews, it's hard to see support for Israel- and not even military support, but simply strong economic bonds- remaining a popular position among Western governments, a serious blow to Israel's prosperity that would make it a far a less obvious target for migration than it would have been for a Russian Jew in 1991.
So while I think that Zionism had its historical moment, that's passed, and it would require a number of unusual and unforeseeable changes for those stars to realign.