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Chieftain
- Joined
- Nov 29, 2005
- Messages
- 2
Probability
Several posters to this thread have shown both mathematical aptitude and made some excellent observations. I miss one comment on probability though. When your odds to win a battle is better than 50%, it is more telling to look at the odds of losing than the odds of winning. At least if the unit is valuable. For example, the 5% from 90% to 95% is more valuable than the 5% from 50% to 55%. In the first case, you cut the risk of losing your unit in half, while in the other case the risk is all but unchanged. This means that higher end bonuses is very useful for your most valuable units. If all your units are the same all percentages are equal (heh).
First strikes are useful for:
-defending against several units in a single round. If you disallow your opponents to attack your city defences, a drill IV longbowman could singlehandedly defend against a large number of attackers. This allows for more counterattacking units instead of purely defending ones.
-(possibly) blitzing.
It certainly seems like the samurais are underpowered. They are only good for defence, and knights totally rip them up as they have +50% against melee and are immune to first strikes.
Several posters to this thread have shown both mathematical aptitude and made some excellent observations. I miss one comment on probability though. When your odds to win a battle is better than 50%, it is more telling to look at the odds of losing than the odds of winning. At least if the unit is valuable. For example, the 5% from 90% to 95% is more valuable than the 5% from 50% to 55%. In the first case, you cut the risk of losing your unit in half, while in the other case the risk is all but unchanged. This means that higher end bonuses is very useful for your most valuable units. If all your units are the same all percentages are equal (heh).
First strikes are useful for:
-defending against several units in a single round. If you disallow your opponents to attack your city defences, a drill IV longbowman could singlehandedly defend against a large number of attackers. This allows for more counterattacking units instead of purely defending ones.
-(possibly) blitzing.
It certainly seems like the samurais are underpowered. They are only good for defence, and knights totally rip them up as they have +50% against melee and are immune to first strikes.