Quildavyr
Man of sick jokes!
I would say,yes
Rik,
Of the numerous reasons why the savings rate (however it is computed) has gone down the most important one is that Americans (as almost every one else in the world) has come to expect more of life in general and pay for it by the same earnings that they may obtain from a 40 hour work week.
Admittedly, owing to productivity gains a 40 hour work week does pay more (in real terms) than it did say 40 years ago. But the average expectation of what is a good life has far exceeded that productivity gain in 40 years.
So you spend a bigger proportion of your earnings today just to be an ordinary guy than you did before.
Perhaps this article today in the Washington Post will clarify more.
Hey! You're back!
Saving money IS really good for the economy, because if you're saving money then you're probably trying to invest it wisely (or you're giving it to someone who's investing. Spending money wisely is also good for the economy. Spending it foolishly is almost the broken window fallacy, and is not very good for the economy at all (unless you're giving it to a wise spender)
Not quite.
Saving your money is maybe good for some economy even if it is spent and invested wisely; not necessarily your economy. e.g. say you are a Chinese citizen. You save your money and put it in a national bank. The government takes that money and invests it in US T-bills (the best investment at that point in time) to fund the US federal deficit.
It is good for the US economy - maybe {if the US government takes that money and spends it in a war then it is not good for them either}. It is good for Chinese foreign policy -maybe {if Chinese sovereign wealth funds can buy US assets at some time with it}.
But it is definitely bad for Chinese economy.
There are lots of nuances that you have to take care of in economics. Hence it is an art and not a science!
I totally get what you're saying. I was mostly talking about the American economy. [more pedantic] Though I think it's very possible to save & invest in China, to China's benefit. Any USD investment is available to be spun into a local business, as soon as a good one rears its head. And it's better to have more USD available, than less. China is chock full of opportunity if you have money.[/] Though I know what you mean, it's perfectly easy for an (say) African warlord to stripmine his economy and build a nest egg elsewhere.Saving your money is maybe good for some economy even if it is spent and invested wisely; not necessarily your economy.
The problem is what you're spending on. Chances are, a lot of the (consumer) goods you are buying are imported from countries that have a real advantage in producing them.
Purchasing goods from countries that have a real advantage producing them is a great idea, as long as the purchases are wise. If the good is an actual asset (i.e., appreciates over time, holds its value, or generates income) then it is very much in everyone's interest that it be purchased by you.
The real problem with the trade imbalance with China is that we purchase too many non-assets (or even liabilities). They're paying the ecological cost, and we're having our purchasing power diluted.
I guess it's time to demand more raises in our paycheck!
Some monetarists think it's only a matter of time for the USD to be devalued as a currency (for instance disconnected from the oil-price etc.). Are you saying that, if the monetarists are right, the US will lose the postion you paint and can't afford to "not save" any longer ?
And what other consequences do you see ?
Welcome back Betazed.[off topic]
Thx. Nice to see that nothing much has changed on CFC during the time I was gone.
We still have a global warming thread, the babe thread and a thread on a physics question all on the first page.
[/off topic]
Chazumi
No debt except for mortgage.
Way too much generalization about Americans here, as per usual. I for one save well over 70% of my gross pay, and invest fairly aggressively. I'm very thrifty; I've had the same (fully paid for since I got it) small car for a decade, I buy about 2 or 3 'outifts' of clothing a year, and I drive as little as possible. Etc. For me, it's all about long term. I dare say that no European on this board is as efficient with their finances, as I am. I.e., how much you are paid -- and how far you can make it go / grow.
But, these stereotypes are always entertaining.
Maybe checking the current account debt would help. IIRC, America beats any developed country.