RRRaskolnikov
Goldfish
i'd guees Suleiman wins. unless someone gets diplo or something else happens as always.
I guess imperialist AIs will win... unless it's Shaka
i'd guees Suleiman wins. unless someone gets diplo or something else happens as always.
And sooner or later, Monty is going to declare on Peter.
This one is wildly unpredictable. It depends which AIs get the religion. If monty opts to blow right by peter to attack someone else Peter has a very good chance (he himself will also want to DoW on pericles and lincoln and has the positioning to do that effectively). IMO peter being there and starting with metal hurts monty's chances...peter has a mere 5 less unitprob than the featherhead and techs far better (and is equally untrustworthy).
Sully is stuck between protectives but otherwise powerful. I nevertheless give him a minus thanks to his positioning, rating him #2 on the map.
Ranked predictions by likelihood:
1. Peter - Military (conquest, diplomation, or domination)
2. Peter - Space
3. Sully - Space
4. Pacal - peacevassal culture
5. Sully - military
Pericles is a reasonably strong leader but he's too likely to be harassed (monty and peter are both likely to target him), however he's the dark horse (if they somehow leave him alone, he could become very dangerous as a techer and win culture or space).
Lincoln is toast on this map. Churchill will not be liked due to peaceweight except by lincoln. While less of a punching bag it's hard to see him winning. It *is* possible if something weird happens and he gets some cities via dogpiling (his unitprob is also 30 IIRC), but I can hardly predict such an upset.
Wang doing culture is also possible but similarly unlikely. I can see it happening if he monopolizes religions though.
Overall, this one is far more difficult to predict than the last map, which was almost instantly obvious to me.
What an interesting read! More!
(Wait, we could easily do this ourselves! That should be interesting as well! I'm off!)
Game 2 punditry:
Wang's starting area is very nice but I don't see him winning it, I just think he's a weak AI. If Pacal was there it would be a different story as being tucked away at the end of the world would suit his supertech peacemongery. Or Pericles.
Pericles as it is has good land nearby but his success is highly dependent on which way both Peter and Abe expand at the start. Unfortunately Peter starts with mining so I expect he will settle the nice copper site towards Pericles. Bad for Peri, good for Monty.
The most eyecatching feature is of course Monty v Peter on the western lobe of the peanut, and you have to think how that turns out is going to be a major factor determining the result. It's a big wildcard and I have no guesses.
It seems fairly well balanced map (good tweaking DMOC) so it's hard not to go with the percentages and predict the civs best known for winning games to take it somehow. Peter or Sully. I go with Suieman just because he has a less complicated neighbour situation. It will take him a while to clear the jungle but will finish strongly.
(Edit: Lincoln and Pacal have some of the best land around them - lots of gold and floodplains - but you still really can't pick them to win because they're such milquetoasts. Maybe Pacal by culture if he's really lucky and stays out of trouble).
i'd guees Suleiman wins. unless someone gets diplo or something else happens as always.
This is a great idea, i'll be watching closely and might do this myself
I guess imperialist AIs will win... unless it's Shaka
Seeing how well imperialistic AI do makes you wonder whether the trait is really as bad as people say it is
I'm going for the blackhorse pick here and choose WK space followed by Pacal space. I don't think the warmongers will get much traction on this map.
I have A LOT of free time atm and could run, say, game 3 and post it after game 2 has been done, unfortunately i cant pm anybody until i make 3 more posts so does that sound like a good idea? also i would need advice on balancing the starts (add a bit of audience participation)
This one will seem to be even more intersting than the one before! I see that Monty wins when he reaches the modern era....
I have a lot of faith in Pacal to win this one. 2 gold + 'nuff floodplains should pull him ahead.
Some thoughts:
Monty: Solid start with double cows, each are 6 yield tiles (Although brown cows are an odd "food" resource imo.) Some solid land to grow into, a bit of rivers, wines, some gems, I can see him getting really out of hand.
Peter: Same deal, only with a few more mediocre seafood cities thrown in, and some conflict with Pericles. Whoever snags that block site first will have the upper hand there. And sooner or later, Monty is going to declare on Peter. Unless some crazy religion hugging goes on, if Peter doesn't get to that narrow spit of land between him and Pericles, it's him against Monty, and Monty seems to have better land.
Peace weights = they are pleased on contact. A DoW on Peter can happen but is decidedly less likely than a target on pericles or lincoln.
I forgot Pacal actually has a low peace weight (while not very aggressive, peace weights technically aren't the same thing as aggression). This means that the people who would DoW him are actually churchill/lincoln. With that in mind, I move his chances up a bit.
Religious distribution is a bit of a wild card on this map.
Wang has excellent land and will out-perform his usual suckage, but he won't be liked probably.
I did my own run of this to post 1500 AD, with some surprises and some things that did not surprise me. I'm not stealing thunder though, nobody gets those results until DMOC does it first .
Also, can anyone explain why the AI is such a big fan of building settlers as their first build in their second city?