Well, made another dotmap with the available scouting info. It's still rough until our scout can finish his business across the lake, but here's how I see our future empire.
Still favoring red dot, but settling after that is up for debate. Purple cities I see as being pretty good post IW. I am thinking we will prioritize Calendar, so these cities should be pretty useful. However, it depends on whether we want to try for 4th city Pink Dots. Any path we choose has some implications on how we want to scout next turn.
Pink Dot #1: I'm favoring this one personally. We grab marble with city #3 (SW Purple Dot) and we have a pretty good position to block off the south with our Pink dot #1 as our 4th.
Pink Dot #2: The really safe option, it'll keep our marble safe from cultural pressure from Izzy and guarantee we get all purple dots. Also saves us from trying to block off a portion of continent that already has a civ in it.
Pink Dot #3: Gold and cows, but who knows what else. Would probably then sweep back east from there for Yellow and Orange dots. Definitely could use some scout info.
I also planted yellow and orange dots. Orange would be a good city, but it doesn't necessarily block off any good land. Yellow is definitely a sweet city post-CS, but doesn't have much going for it before then.
TW sounds good, my above settling ideas would require a decent road network. Of course, usual disclaimer that revealed strategic resources could render all this moot.