How Axis could have won the war!

Fayadi

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Yeah lets recount the facts together,what significant event caused the destruction of Axis?

To me the most important thing that caused the fall is Hitler stupidity to attack USSR .A-bomb played significant role too in my opinion ,if wasnt for that Japan wont surrender.Hitler helped Italy,which causes much delayance for the allies to be more prepared.well i dont remember all......Whats all ur opinion?
 
The attack on USSR is indeed the greatest mistake

But the first one was Operation Sealion(Invasion of Britain)

:p
 
The Axis had a multitude of opportunities to win the war. They blew every single one of them. Hitler was the Allies' greatest asset.

The invasion of the Soviet Union was not a mistake. The timing was a mistake (waiting so late in the season to begin because of the need to invade the Balkans), but even then it could have been won. The Soviets were VERY lucky; Hitler changed the invasion's goals repeatedly throughout the campaign, forcing the Wehrmacht & Luftwaffe to switch resources hundreds - thousands - of kilometers repeatedly. Moscow would have fallen easily; the oil fields of Baku could have been secured, the Ukrainian harvests could have been shipped to Berlin, and Leningrad could have been "Sankt Petersburg" again.

Another problem with Operation Barbarossa was the Germans' behavior; if they had only behaved with some sense of humanity in the Soviet territories! Unfortunately Nazi docterine had convinced them that Slavs were sub-human, but Soviet rule was so terrible that nearly everywhere they captured initially welcomed them as liberators - Russian areas too. By treating the locals as animals the Germans forced themselves to keep large amounts of forces in their rear dealing with "irregular warfare". The Wehrmacht commander in Ukraine argued passionately to Berlin that if he were allowed to at least pretend to the Ukrainians that Germany was a liberator and would establish an independent Ukraine after the war, then he could get large numbers of anti-Soviet and anti-Russian Ukrainians to fight on the German side or at least cooperate domestically. However, Berlin didn't want even the facade of recognition of an "üntermensch" people.

:rocket2:

Hitler did a million things that undermined the Nazi and German war effort.
 
I concur with Vrylakas in everything said. Not taking winter clothing along on an invasion of Russia was a pretty bad move too. The halt of the panzers before Dunkirk is also an inexplicable blunder. Had most of those troops been captured instead of rescued, England may have sued for peace. Maybe not, but their efforts in other theatres would have been severely hurt.

Vrylakas is right about the switching of objectives too. Hitler got fixated on Stalingrad because of the name. The city was not that strategically valuable. Moscow should have been the primary objective at all times. It was the rail hub for the entire country and also the political center point. If moscow had fallen the war would have shaped up a lot differently.

As far as the war in the Pacific goes, the Japanese made many mistakes, but none of them as critical or as fundamental as attacking the U.S. in the first place. The japanese were overmatched in almost every way by the U.S.'s industrial power. This is true even after you take into account the Europe First policy that had the pacific war fought on a shoestring.

I don't really feel that the A-bombs were why Japan lost. They did hasten the surrender, and quite possibly saved lives in a cruel calculus, but the war in the pacific was won by that point, it was just a question of getting Japan to surrender or having to invade.
 
Originally posted by knowltok

As far as the war in the Pacific goes, the Japanese made many mistakes, but none of them as critical or as fundamental as attacking the U.S. in the first place. The japanese were overmatched in almost every way by the U.S.'s industrial power. This is true even after you take into account the Europe First policy that had the pacific war fought on a shoestring.

Not really, they did lots of planning prior to Pearl Harbour. Is it a mistake? Hard to tell, caues we can't forsee what didn't happen. Just image if Japan achieved its goal in PH - sinking the US carrier fleet. Like Admiral Yamamoto said, Japan only got a chance if the war is fought on US soil and winning in 6 months. Well, sinking the US carriers fleet will will made it somewhat possible. Imaging bomber launched from Japanese carriers(I remember they had like 14) from Califronia coast line againts US cities and industry....

But then again, they failed in PH, too bad:p
 
According to the book "What if" written by the war historian Kennedy. Hitlers best bet to win was to keep Molotov (Russian Foreign Minister) happy and invade the near East offering a good source of oil, a vital resource for the running of the famous Panzer tanks. He could of done this three ways

1) Strengthening Rommel's army in Egypt.
2) Invading through Cyprus on to the Levant coastline.
3) Or the easiest, through Turkey thus giving a safe route away from the British Navy

He would then have the resources to fight a successful war from both from the south through Azerbaijan, Georgia etc. (Taking away the only source of oil for the Russians); and the Eastern front as he did so badly.

My own idea
Or even he could of invaded India using the same route as Alexander the (not so) Great, thus meeting Japan halfway; and taking a vital part of the British Empire and then conscripting a thankful large Indian population to fight a long hard war against, a now numerically, inferior Russian foe.

I agree with knowltok about Hitlers obsession with Stalingrad was his greatest mistake, but it did have one vital stragedic advantage - the crossing of the Volga river. Controlling the entire side of the river would not allow the Russians to counter attack
Secondly Hitlers aim for "Lebensraum" ended at the Volga river

Re: Vrylakas

Hitler may have not encouraged the slavs to believe he was there liberator but many chose to fight for the Nazis anyway beleving they would be better of under the Nazis then the Soviet domination. Many thousands were shot for betraying "Mother Russia".
 
The Axis would have won the war if like the Allies the worked together.

And if Axis invaded and conquer Britain before the attack USSR.

Finally if the Axis all attacked USSR together (Japan, did not)!
 
Even if the Japanese had gotton the carriers at Pearl, the end result would not have been different. It may actually have been a lot worse. I don't think the Japanese could have done anything effective by bombing the West Coast, other than further pissing off America. A naval base that many people had not heard about was one thing. Droping a bomb on the Golden Gate Bridge would have been in a whole new order.

Unless you believe that somehow the Japanese would have been able to force America out of the war in some way (perposterous in my opinion) the sinking of the carriers wouldn't have helped them win.

The only possibility I can see is if it would have caused the U.S. to divert more resources to the pacific, which may have somehow allowed Germany to defeat Russia. In this case we would have had America and the U.K. staring across the English Channel at an opponent with too much manpower to beat. Conventionally. Japan would have been defeated, possibly sooner, and then it would be anyone's guess where the first atomic bomb would have fallen. My bet would have been Berlin.
 
The main drive of the Japanese was for resources. The Japanese military was actually split on how to go about this. The army wanted to capture the Soviet Far East and China while the navy wanted to drive towards SE Asia. Sort of logical since each service would want the war to revolve around itself mainly.

Originally the army got the upper hand and they invaded the mainland. Then the Japanese attked Outer Mongolia where they got whipped badly by Soviet armor (Hitler shld have paid attention to this). So the navy now got a bigger say although the army would cont rampaging thru China (to no purpose). Now the biggest threat to the way to the south was the US. Hence the attk on Pearl Harbour (they used the same tactic against Tsarist Russia with great success during the Russo-Jap War). Attked the fleet, then sent in the army.

Plus the fact that actually the Japanese military was pretty much out of control (the civilian govt lost control after a series of munity and assassinations by fervently nationalistic junior military officers) with nobody really in chg of overall strategy and the army and navy at loggerheads, so you have this haphazard Japanese invasion of China, then SE Asia and attk on the USA.
 
Originally posted by knowltok
Even if the Japanese had gotton the carriers at Pearl, the end result would not have been different. It may actually have been a lot worse. I don't think the Japanese could have done anything effective by bombing the West Coast, other than further pissing off America. A naval base that many people had not heard about was one thing. Droping a bomb on the Golden Gate Bridge would have been in a whole new order.

Bombing the west Coast? My point is, if they got the carriers, they can get their own carriers all the way to Carlifornia. From there, they could launch sweeping air raid all over American, even Washington(um... maybe). It's not about pissing, it's call terrorizing. It's a lot more serious than what you think it would be.

Unless you believe that somehow the Japanese would have been able to force America out of the war in some way (perposterous in my opinion) the sinking of the carriers wouldn't have helped them win.

Air raid. I agree that chance is dim, but if America lost the Pacific coast defense, it has to route ships all the way from Atlantic to engage Japanese fleet. The whole point is, bring the war over to American soil.


The only possibility I can see is if it would have caused the U.S. to divert more resources to the pacific, which may have somehow allowed Germany to defeat Russia. In this case we would have had America and the U.K. staring across the English Channel at an opponent with too much manpower to beat. Conventionally. Japan would have been defeated, possibly sooner, and then it would be anyone's guess where the first atomic bomb would have fallen. My bet would have been Berlin.

Resrouce will have no use if Japan has the control over Pacific coast line(where can you build ships when there are no shipyards?) Carriers are that important. US can launch airplanes from inland air base, but then again they are bombing targets too.... And if Japanese bombed the Mahatten Project facility, then A-bomb might not enter the war at all.

I'm not saying Japan will win for sure, but there is that possibility out there. It indeed need some consideration instead of "blah, Japan will lose no matter what";)
 
Allow me to rebut:

From there, they could launch sweeping air raid all over American, even Washington

I think you far overestimate the range of carrier based aircraft.

it has to route ships all the way from Atlantic to engage Japanese fleet

Even if the Japanese would have been able to neutralize the Panama Canal, the US would have dealt with this. This would have been something that made the war harder, not unwinnable.

where can you build ships when there are no shipyards?

I think you are forgetting about the entire East and South coasts. You are also overestimating bombing's effect on production. Allied bombing never halted Axis production and they were usings four engine bombers in massive raids that the Japanese wouldn't have been able to sustain, even if they could have pulled them off.

And if Japanese bombed the Mahatten Project facility

There is no indication that they knew where it was. It would also likely that it would have been moved if the Japanese were coming that close to the coast.

Partdon me for saying so, but I think you have the same misconception that many Americans do about air power. Air power has never won a war on its own. It can help when there is you have air superiority, but you still need to be able to take and hold ground to win.

I don't believe that there is any way the Japanese could have forced the U.S. to surrender militarily. The only way for them to win was the way that they went after, to scare the "weak" Americans into a peace the way they had forced Tzarist Russia into a peace. There is simply no evidence that the American people would have given up under any circumstance. Further Japanese success may well have further hardened U.S. resolve.
 
redtom wrote:Re: Vrylakas

Hitler may have not encouraged the slavs to believe he was there liberator but many chose to fight for the Nazis anyway beleving they would be better of under the Nazis then the Soviet domination. Many thousands were shot for betraying "Mother Russia".

A few thousand Slavs did serve with the Nazis, almost all of them disaffected and anti-Soviet Eastern Slavs (Russians, Ukrainians, Belarussians). The most famous unit was the Vlassov division that committed some attrocities in Ukraine that sickened even the Germans, was partially disbanded, and ended up fighting during most of the Nazi retreat across Eastern Europe. They tried to redeem themselves by capturing Prague from the Germans in 1945 and turning it over to the approaching Soviets, but that only pissed Stalin off more because he wanted the Soviets to get credit for "liberating" Prague. The Slavic volunteers never amounted to any great numbers, being outnumbered for instance by the number of Flemish recruits.

The Polish historian Jan Gross reports that after the Nazis and Soviets conquered and partitioned Poland in 1939 (but before June 1941), many Jews actually fled westward from the Soviet zone to the German zone because the Germans treated them better, despite the Nuremburg laws. This was before the Holocaust of course...

As for being shot for betraying Mother Russia; well, that was parr for the course. After the war the British transported liberated Soviet POWs from Nazi camps back to the USSR, usually to Murmansk, knowing fully that these poor souls were doomed. Some were even shot right on the docks in full view of the Brit ships, but the Western Allies had signed an agreement with Stalin that forced them to repatriate all POWs and former citizens. The Soviet soldiers had orders to fight to the death, which meant that someone who surrendered (including Stalin's own son, who was captured in the opening month of Operation Barbarossa) had "betrayed Mother Russia". Less than one-fifth of all Soviet POWs captured by the Germans survived til the end of the war because of particularly cruel German treatment, but the one-fifth that did survive were in turn largely exterminated by their own government when they were returned to the USSR.
 
Originally posted by redtom

My own idea
Or even he could of invaded India using the same route as Alexander the (not so) Great, thus meeting Japan halfway; and taking a vital part of the British Empire and then conscripting a thankful large Indian population to fight a long hard war against, a now numerically, inferior Russian foe.


The Germans would look at the Indian's as inferiors and treat them just as harshly.
Also, after 1941, the Soviets were going to just get stronger because of new tanks such as T-34's and better training and adoption of lessons learned after the disaster in Finland the successes against the Japanese + time to recover the purge.
 
Why do you think so many SS either had exclusively slav or partially slav troops: XXIII Wgdb der SS for example.

Admittedly many of them were Hungarians, therefore, Finno-Ugric people rather than slavs, but the argument was about eastern European people rather than a specific ethnic group.


P.S.Vrylakas, despite your many historical inaccurancies, you sound like a smart person, but not necessily infallible with your (lack of) historical knowledge.

Redtom

:p
 
The Axis could have won the war in Europe if Italy had done it's job. And Hitler had not attached Britian. The attack on Britian was a bad move....

Had the Italians done their job, the Germans would have gotten the Russian invasion underway earlier and probably would have been victorious. While this was going on they would want to fortify the coast of France a little better, so help deter a British invasion. Although a combine British/US force could have probably broke through France....they probably would have gotten much farther because more German troops would be sitting behind them. Now freed up from the successful Russian Invasion.

Of course....at the time...Hitler throught Germans were invincible or something....but anyway...
 
Yes, I totally agree with that. If the Italians had helped Germany with France and Russia a little more, that would have helped. The Japanese should not have attacked the United States, they were the descisive Factor in the ridding of the Axis. If Japan hadnt attacked, the Americans would have probably entered the war, but MUCH later, allowing the Axis the troops and money to conquer the Soviets. The Axis, if they had the Soviets, could pay full attention to the British and Americans. The Japanese could have attacked India and the Middle East to ease pressure on Rommel in Africa.

All Im saying is Germany could have picked some better allys, maybe the Soviets would have been nice firends, they did have good relations until Hitler declared war.
 
Originally posted by knowltok
Allow me to rebut:


I think you far overestimate the range of carrier based aircraft.

I'm not exactly sure about that, I can't remember the exact location of the Japanese carriers when they attacked Pearl Harbour.

Even if the Japanese would have been able to neutralize the Panama Canal, the US would have dealt with this. This would have been something that made the war harder, not unwinnable.

I never said US could not win, but yes it will be harder, a lot harder.

I think you are forgetting about the entire East and South coasts. You are also overestimating bombing's effect on production. Allied bombing never halted Axis production and they were usings four engine bombers in massive raids that the Japanese wouldn't have been able to sustain, even if they could have pulled them off.

my quesiton was refer to one of you earilier statement. It's just saying that it actually takes US a lot harder to win the war if the war is fought on their soil

There is no indication that they knew where it was. It would also likely that it would have been moved if the Japanese were coming that close to the coast.

Ok, but it wouldn't matter anyways. If Japan can't gain a distinct advantage within 6 months of the attack, it will lose anyways.

Partdon me for saying so, but I think you have the same misconception that many Americans do about air power. Air power has never won a war on its own. It can help when there is you have air superiority, but you still need to be able to take and hold ground to win.

Air supermarcy isn't the way to win a war, but is the first step to win the war. What if the German airforce got all the British airfield in WWII? Interesting could happen. Although I'm not drawing equal sign between Britain and US, my point is, air power means a lot sometimes.


I don't believe that there is any way the Japanese could have forced the U.S. to surrender militarily. The only way for them to win was the way that they went after, to scare the "weak" Americans into a peace the way they had forced Tzarist Russia into a peace. There is simply no evidence that the American people would have given up under any circumstance. Further Japanese success may well have further hardened U.S. resolve.

I agree with the term peace. Remember if Japan ever got a chance, it need to get the peace treaty signed within 6 months;)
 
redtom wrote:

Why do you think so many SS either had exclusively slav or partially slav troops: XXIII Wgdb der SS for example.

When you say "Slav", what you mean is mostly Russian, Ukrainian and Belarussian recruits. Of a total of 45 SS divisions between 1933 and 1945, 27 were formed outside of Germany, and of those 5 were Volksdeutsch units. Of the 22 remaining foreign SS divisions, 5 were "Slavic"; XIV WGD der SS "Galizien" (Galician western Ukrainians), XXIII WGbD der SS "Kama/Kroatische No. 2 (Croatians), XXIX WGD der SS "Russische 1/Kaminsky Brigade" (Soviet POWs), XXX WGD der SS Russische No. 2 (Soviet POWs), and the XXXI SS-FPgD "Bohmen-Mahren" (Czech). The remaining 17 foreign SS divisions were Baltic (Latvian, Cour and Estonian: 4), Dutch (2.5), Scandinavian (Norwegian, Finnish and Danish: 1.5), Hungarian (2.5), Belgian (2.5), French (2), Moslem (Bosnian and Albanian: 2), and Italian (2). (The ".5"'s represent significant numbers in the V SS-PD division that was a mish-mash of Danes, Dutch, Finns, Norwegians, and Flemish.)

Looking at these numbers, I don't see "so many SS...exclusively Slav or partially Slav troops"; 2% of all SS divisions were Slav, 23% of the foreign SS divisions (non-Volksdeutsch. Large numbers of Russians and Ukrainians in particular joined (Vlasov's army stood at its height at about 1 million strong) but their inducement was obvious. Poles, Serbs, Bulgarians, Slovenes, Slovaks, Sorbs, Macedonians, etc. had little reason to join - they'd little to gain from a Nazi victory. The Russian POWs and Ukrainian nationalists had much to lose from a Soviet victory, as did the Baltic peoples (especially Latvians). Almost every nationality is represented among SS volunteers (including Brits and North Americans), but the real question about SS composition is who joined when. Large numbers of Flemish, Latvians and Ukrainians joined the SS before it became apparent Hitler would lose the war; other groups had to be coerced. Soviet POWs were given a choice between starvation or joining, and as POWs they couldn't go back to the USSR anyway. But again, I would hardly characterize the foreign SS divisions as overwhelmingly Slavic. You'll also note that the first Slavic SS division was formed in 1943, 3 years after the first Western European SS division. The Nazis were only willing to recruit among the Eastern Slavs when their manpower situation was critical.

Admittedly many of them were Hungarians, therefore, Finno-Ugric people rather than slavs, but the argument was about eastern European people rather than a specific ethnic group.

You've switched gears a bit here. You used the term "Slavs" in both your original post and your reply to me, but now you're revealing you included Hungarians in that group - and the Hungarians are certainly not Slavs, as you admit above. (In 4 years of residence in Hungary, a friend used to call me "the Slav in a sea of Hungarians", refering to the common Hungarian expression of Hungary being an island in a sea of Slavs.) The argument - and I rather thought this was a discussion, not an argument - was not about Eastern Europeans; it was about what I thought to be the area Hitler blundered most in his many war foibles, in Operation Barbarossa. The point was Hitler's mistakes, not the Eastern Europeans. My initial reply to your first post was more an elaboration than a disagreement.

P.S.Vrylakas, despite your many historical inaccurancies, you sound like a smart person, but not necessily infallible with your (lack of) historical knowledge.

redtom, there are many intelligent and well-read people in this forum who bring a variety of opinions and experiences to the discussions. I've learned much by participating or just reading. It does no one any good to display condescension or arrogance. I'm quite happy to continue any discussion with anyone, so long as it is civil and worth it for both parties. I do not recall ever claiming to be a Pope or infallible; I would appreciate it therefore if you would refrain from the personal digressions.
 
I love history.....WWII in particular.

IMHO, whatever the other causes and effects, I believe the single biggest decision/mistake made was Hitler's attack of the Soviets. Maybe starting earlier, or sticking with one goal/plan, would have given them victory, it is still this act that cuased the Axis' overall defeat. IMHO....

A couple of questions, as most of you sound like you know WTH you're talking about. Just looking for your opinions.....

Was Japan defeated as of the evening of Dec. 7, 1941? Did their failure to completely wipe out the US carrier/fleet make the US victory a forgone conclusion? Was Japan ever actually 'in the game'?

How big of an impact on the outcome did Midway truly have?

What would have happened...eventually....had Barbarosa not happened? What if Hitler had listened to some of his Generals begging him NOT to attack the USSR? I think, given their ideologies, they would have gone at it eventually, but could Hitler have waited until he had defeated Britain?

Would he have defeated Britain had he not attacked Russia? When?

Would the US have become involved without Pearl Harbor?

What if Germany had been able to force an unconditional surrender of Britain prior to either the US or USSR becoming involved?

Or, what if Germany had won, despite attacking the USSR and the USA becoming involved? In other words, what if Hitler had been able to defeat Britain, the USA and the USSR?
 
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