And besides, I rarely move the Settler. Why not do something different?
Excuse me??? If my memory serves me correctly, you've moved the Settler in every ALC
except Montezuma, Alexander, Hannibal, Tokugawa & Mansa Musa (and Monty shouldn't count because that predates the ever-famous
"Where to move the settler?" debate.) Perhaps what you meant to say was,
"I've settled in place the last three games, let's play it OLD SCHOOL this time!"
I do think you made the right choice in moving -- forested plains furs are WAY too valuable to settle on. I would not settle on that tile, now or ever. Sucks that you won't be able work the fish, but them's the breaks -- and like you said, Fishing/Sailing would be too big a distraction at this point anyway.
So now you have 3 choices for your capital:
(1) 1S of current location (1W of closest furs.) Pros: Excellent commerce & production; coastal + fresh water; only wastes 1 turn instead of 2; pops goodie hut in 4 turns. Cons: Low food (will need to farm 1-2 grassland); takes corn away from Blue Circle city; grabbing the cows will be tricky.
(2) 1N of original start (between forested furs & lake.) Pros: Excellent food (corn + cows) and great commerce; coastal + fresh water. Cons: Wastes a 2nd turn; production kinda sucks (though not nearly as abyssmal as original start!); can't build at #1 later.
(3) Blue Circle. Pros: Good production, lots of choppable forest, gets elephants. Cons: Not coastal; low food, with fewer grassland for irrigation (and therefore much lower commerce); wastes a 2nd turn; six tiles are a complete mystery.
In my (semi-)humble opinion, option #1 seems the best choice, especially if you're concerned about early production. #2 is better for growth, and not so bad production-wise, at least in the near term. Either choice will give you 2 plains furs immediately (which really do belong in city #1, not city #2.)
I would think very, very,
very carefully about settling Blue Circle right now -- mainly because taking the corn will
greatly diminish the potential of #1 or #2 later on. Six mystery tiles is a HUGE gamble, especially if it means you start two turns behind!! Not that I have anything against elephants, but you don't really need them right now, and it's highly unlikely that you'll lose them to the AI.
Hmm...maybe it's time for someone to check the save and see if there's Horses...and easily rushable neighbors...nearby? A lack of both might necessitate a restart anyway.