Chapter VI: The Day That Never Comes
Upon this, one has to remark that men ought either to be well treated or crushed, because they can avenge themselves of lighter injuries, of more serious ones they cannot; therefore the injury that is to be done to a man ought to be of such a kind that one does not stand in fear of revenge. Niccoló Machiavelli
Note: Past this point, it is safe to say a sizeable amount of all divergences from our time line will not be described. If you are confused or curious about something simply ask. It is likely I either have an answer for it and have forgotten, neglected, or decided not to include it in the time-line or it is possible I have not thought about it. In that case, I shall get an answer by combing through the time-line to bring you a satisfactory answer based on what seems most plausible.
1300-1309: The war in the northwest of Europe heated up and then finally wound to a conclusion this decade, with some very surprising results on both sides. The battle of Coquelles was perhaps one of the most decisive, particularly owing to the death of Louis X in battle. After suffering continuing defeats against the English and the Flems, and with the interior of France itself in chaos as no clear ruler emerged, the majority of barons in France wanted peace. A coalition of the leading French Dukes agreed to this proposal, owing to the infancy of King Louis X of Frances oldest son. This proposal returned all of Gascony to the English, and as much of Normandy as they held at the conclusion of the treaty. In the north, an altogether surprising finish was reached with the declaration of the United Kingdom of Norway-Scotland, through the marriage of the sole surviving female descendant of the last king of Scotland. The various lords of Scotland have been promised a huge amount of autonomy, and both Bergen and Edinburgh will serve as joint capitals in this new realm. France has fallen into internal disorder, with central power disintegrating back to the stage of a century or more ago.
The Marinid Caliphate has continued to consolidate its power, and is likely the most powerful Muslim state in the world.
War has broken out in Italy again, with the Pope and his supporters fighting against the Capetian King of Naples and his allies in Tuscany. Into the fray joined the Genoese and the Venetians, on the side of the Pope and the King of Naples respectively. Pisa, swayed by the large Papal armies on their border entered the war against Naples. In the initial stages, the predictable naval battles occurred between Venice and Genoa. Most notably, the Venetians and Byzantines staged a joint invasion of the Duchy of Achaea, agreeing to a partition afterwards. The Genoans also managed to seize the remainder of Sardinia from the declining Pisans.
The Teutonic Order has embarked on another crusade, aiming to strike a blow against the Orthodox Rus. They have invaded the Belarussian and their Novgorod allies under the guise of fighting for Catholicism. They have met with some success thus far, allying with Sweden. Poland has also joined in on the conflict seeking to stem the growth of the aggressive Teutonic Knights.
In the Middle-East the Ilkhan is becoming increasingly intertwined with his duties as secular (and to some extent spiritual) head of the Eastern Church. Recent defiance from the Byzantines has infuriated Baghatur, and he has dispatched a massive army to conquer the Greeks. This is a two pronged attack, somewhat by design and also by coincidence. To begin with, it is important to note that the composition of the Ilkhans armies, while still based around the traditional Mongol cavalryman has evolved greatly. Traditional Muslim fashioned infantry hordes, with a large contingent from the loyal subjects in the Caucasus. They often fight under regional commanders. While foreign the Ilkhanate is now generally recognized as the undisputed ruler of the immediate area, and is able to draw up soldiers from across their empire. One can even find contingents of Frankish knights, fighting under the banner of Antioch in Baghaturs hordes. He even has a small navy for the crossing of lesser bodies of water such as the Aegean. The first, and largest force (60,000 men) is crossing through Bulgaria and has not yet quite lain siege to Constantinople. Another more diverse force is striking in Anatolia, using the power and ambition of the Beyliks to strike blows at some of the Greeks most important centers. The most quickly growing and explosive beylik is the Esrofoglu, which has fast emerged as one of the leaders of the various petty Turkish beyliks. Their rise has culminated with the climactic fall of Smyrna in 1309. Earlier in the decade, it conquered the Beylik of Ladik. Several of the other beyliks have advanced into Byzantine Anatolia as well. The Byzantine hierarchy is in a state of panic. Unfortunately for them, the Italians have been particularly distracted by their own war. The King of Jerusalem did attempt to stem, in their own way, the Ilkhans advance against their Byzantine allies, but with disastrous results. They laid siege to Antioch, and were on the verge of receiving a surrender from the prince, but soon an envoy arrived from the Ilkhanate promising aid. Soon, a massive army under the command of Baghaturs brother arrived, fighting the Jerusalemite army surrounding Antioch to a draw broken by the sallying of the Antiochene garrison. The two armies are now embroiled in conflict across Palestine, with the momentous alliance of the Emir of Damascus to Jerusalem. In a more positive note for the Kingdom of Jerusalem, Conrads son Frederick has become the official Duke of Sicily.
The Chagatids have finally begun to gain some ground against the Sultanate of Delhi, scoring several victories this decade. They have also drifted more into the camp of the Yuan Dynasty, who promises them some protection against the Ilkhanate. The Mongolians, though, have begun to drift somewhat more into the camp of the Ilkhanate, distraught by the growing Sinification of the Yuan, as opposed to what they see as the lesser evil of Christianity among the Ilkhans.
The Khmer Empire has invaded the Dai Viet, and subjugated them to a greater extent.
1310-1319: At the beginning of this decade (which coincidentally promises to be far more exciting than the previous one) the Japanese have begun a rebellion against their Chinese-Mongolian overlords. This has initially met with success, and they have scored several victories against the Mongolians. Unfortunately for them, by 1319 it seems that their luck has largely run out as the massive superiority of the Yuan in almost every facet of warfare is coming to bear. For now, an independent Japan seems to have its days numbered. The Khmer have also continued their meteoric rise, defeating a small regional Chinese army that sought to protect the Dai Viet.
The Chagatids have continued their advance into India, even establishing beach-heads on the south-side of the Indus River, albeit not without quite a few setbacks.
Shock rang all over the West as Constantinople fell to the forces of the Ilkhanate. Surprisingly, it was not sacked and its holy places were not dismantled. The city itself was treated with great respect, probably owing to the Christianity of its conquerors. The handling of the capture of Constantinople highlights a stark divide between the Ilkhanate of now and its ancestors. Constantinople avoided the Baghdad treatment, and there was no massive pile of skulls outside its walls and right hands were not collected by its conquerors. Asides from the execution of the reigning emperor and Patriarch (which has obviously drawn an extremely strong reaction from the Serbians, and has also undermined the support of the Serbians to an extent. The Byzantines have also been ravaged in Anatolia, with Prusa the only major port still standing on the Anatolian Coast. All minor Turkish progress in the Aegean, in one of the few bright spots for the Byzantines, has been totally reverse by the vastly superior Byzantine Navy with some limited support from the Venetians. Initially the Genoans supported the Bulgarians and the Mongolians, yet after being threatened with a crusade by a rare joint initiative from the Emperor and the Pope they immediately stopped. As opposed to the situation after the sack of Constantinople in 1204, the Byzantine government has been able to maintain order in the (large) territories they still control, and are ready if the Ilkhan attempts to advance south into Greece. Serbia has allied with the Byzantines amidst support from Venice and the Pope and has invaded Bulgaria making significant progress and coming close to a capture of the capital until a critical defeat against the forces of the Ilkhanate. They are now in a general retreat, but they have managed to do severe infrastructural damage to Bulgaria. In Palestine, the alliance of Damascus and Jerusalem eventually failed, resulting in a terrible sack of Damascus and the general defeated of their forces. Forces from Egypt also invaded in the south of Jerusalem, forcing a partition of Conrads forces. Eventually, forces finally free from Baghaturs Balkan conquests laid siege to Jerusalem itself through sheer numerical superiority. To avoid a sack of his capital and possibly his own death Conrad agreed to humiliating terms, relinquishing his claims to Egypt, and Antioch and naming himself as a mere steward of Jerusalem for Baghatur. These terms are often referred to as the Second Humiliation of the Hohenstaufen, after their removal from Germany and Sicily. Surprisingly, while Conrad was forced to pay some tribute no territory was taken from the Kingdom itself, perhaps because Baghatur was no longer willing to fund an aggressive war in what is supposed to be the confines of his own kingdom. Also in the south, the Ayyubids have Egypt have accepted the protection of the Nubian Kingdom of Makuria in return for large tribute, liberalizing their laws towards Christians and allowing proselytizing by Christian missionaries in their territories (excepting of course Mecca and Medina). Baghaturs massive army has now been deployed north, to deal with the increasing independence and martial nature of the Russian states. The Principality of Tver has been raiding across the Ilkhanates possessions, and its leader Vladimir has denounced the Ilkhan as a heretic and heathen for propagating the superiority of his branch of Christianity, with Baghatur more and more usurping the authority of the rightful patriarch. When Baghaturs massive army arrived, they crushed the forces of Tver in one massive battle at (the Principality of Tvers losses included their particularly anti-Mongol and bellicose leader Vladimir and his first-born son).By 1319 the Tver had been subjugated again as a vassal of the Ilkhanate and Baghatur was making preperations for an invasion of the increasingly revanchist Novgorod Republic.
On the western side of Russia the Teutonic Knights had battled to a standstill with the Novgorod Republic. A Teutonic attempt to take Novgorod itself failed miserably, yet their efforts in Belarus have met with much more success. After the capture of parts of Pomerania by the Swedes, both the Poles and Russians were willing to conclude peace, and the Teutonic Order also was somewhat forced into a peace. This is because, owing to the present circumstances in the Balkans, war between Christians was looked upon quite poorly by both the Pope and the noble volunteers the Teutonic Order depended on to keep it vital. The peace decided upon took no territory from Novgorod, very nearly halved Belarus and gave Sweden a small piece of Pomerania.
The Marinids of North Africa invaded the Kingdom of Tunisia in 1317, scoring major successes against a Kingdom that found it difficult to defend itself against. After peace was concluded with help from the Castilians, Neapolitans, and the Tripolitanians (who fear the expansion of Marinid power across more of North Africa) Tunis has been reduced to nothing more than a collection of coastal fortress along the Mediterranean.
In Italy, the war was concluded as a victory for the Guelphs. Pisa has also been confirmed as a completely inconsequential player in Italian politics. Tuscany has been reduced to a client state of Rome and Naples (and its inherited ambitions from Charles of Anjou) has turned its look to the south, looking to support its brother dynasty in Tunis. Genoa and Venice concluded a peace with Genoa slightly more powerful than before, but this is largely due to the great losses of Venices allies in the Mediterranean.
Things between the English and French have begun to heat up again, as a very junior branch of the Capetian Dynasty has succeeded to power. London disputes the legitimacy of this new kingdom and perhaps will look to pounce on its growingly weak neighbor to the south. In Ireland, English rule continues to weaken. The Norwegian rule in Scotland has strengthened, yet a new law mandates that each election of a new king must be confirmed by a Diet of the leading Scottish barons leading to somewhat of an undermining of traditional primogeniture in Norway.
1320-1329: The war between the English and French has heated up again. This one began when a daughter of the deposed senior Capetian branch came to the English court, asking for aid in reclaiming her throne. She was quickly wedded to John, son of the English king. This gave the English a claim to France, and after a slight border conflict in Normandy which gave them a half-decent reason to invade France in 1323. Unfortunately for the English, they have begun the decade with some reversals, and their progress into France has either been completely stymied or even reversed slightly, particularly in Normandy. By the end of this decade the war had wound down, with the English having to deal with a rebellion in Wales and the French exhausted from this long war on their own soil. The English kings had largely forgotten about further expansion into Ireland, as while there holding in much of the island had already been eroded their settlements in the east especially surrounding Dublin remained very secure and had not been attacked for generations. This opened the door to Scottish expansion, largely sponsored by particularly powerful barons. They begin to marry into purchase land in Northern Ireland. Many lesser free-holders also immigrated there. In other news for the Norse, the settlements in Greenland have been rejuvenated by the Norwegian link through Scotland with new immigrants arriving and more support from Europe.
In the Holy Roman Empire the Habsburgs have lost the kingship in the most recent election. It has passed into the House of Luxembourg relatively peacefully, but the House of Habsburg has already begun posturing among the lesser electors for position in the next election.
The Marinids and their aggressive caliph Battuta al-Haqq have continued their campaign against the Christian Kingdom of Tunisia. Their king Charles II is now limited to a small demesne of land surrounding Tunis. The Christians have been reinforced by the Castilians and the Neapolitans. In return for their support and their invasion of Morocco, Charles IIs son has been forced to give up his claims as the King of Tunisia. King Juan of Castiles second son Sancho married to the daughter of Charles II is now the heir apparent to the Tunisian throne.
The Serbians were completely driven out of Bulgaria this decade, and the Byzantines did not even attempt to retake Constantinople. Instead they have focused on their weaker opponents, the beyliks of Anatolia. They have consolidated the land they do still hold, especially around Bursa. The Esrofeglu beylik is the only one (including the Osmanoglu) that has been able to stand against the Byzantine military, rebuffing all attempts to retake Trebizond, even an extremely ambitious joint effort between the Byzantines and Venetians. Neglecting the relatively lesser outpost of Tunis and perhaps trying to make amends for the affronts of 1204, Pope Pius IV called for a crusade against the Ilkhanate, the Turks and the perfidious Bulgars, aimed at retaking Constantinople and propping up the Byzantines. An army has also departed from the Holy Roman Empire for this 10th crusade. Into this coalition the Serbians and Hungarian have joined the Byzantines, with hostilities restarting on their border. Most of the forces of the Ilkhan are indisposed either in the inner empire or in Russia yet conflict has already erupted in the Balkans and Central Europe.
The Kingdom of Makuria annexed more of the Ayyubid lands in Egypt this year as a commencement of a rabid series of pogroms against Muslims their ultra-pious ruler initiated. Eventually the Ayyubid ruler ransomed himself, his dynasty, and saved Medina and Mecca from being ravaged by paying a massive gold ransom to the King of Makuria. The Ayyubids are now left with the Arabian Holy Land and a sliver of territory in Egypt itself.
Elsewhere in North Africa the Emirate of Cyrenaica and The Khanate of Tripolitania went to war. Despite initial Cyrenaican victories the huge navy and wealth of the Kingdom of Jerusalem managed to drive back the Muslim forces and get a white peace for Tripoli. While not the main cause for the war, afterwards the Khan of Tripoli (Mark I) declared Conrad III the rightful King of Egypt.
The Ilkhanate finally invaded the Republic of Novgorod, with help from their allies in the Principality of Tver. They repeatedly crushed the disunited forces of Novgorod and their allies. Baghatur the Conqueror, as he is know called, annexed the vast majority of these lands (perhaps overambitiously) and left a small tributary state centered around Novgorod. Needless to say, his reign in northern Russia is a little unstable, and he was forced to leave large contingents of his army in Russia, transplanting thousands of Mongols and Persians in the process. He and his main guard have now turned southwards, for an invasion of either Mecca and Medina or Yemen. He has already dispatched one of his premier generals to Constantinople, uninterested in defending territory, for only the glory of new conquests appeals to him. Elsewhere in the Ilkhanate one of Baghaturs similarly opportunistic brothers has invaded the Chagatai Khanate, mostly for their allegiance to the Yuan instead of the Ilkhans. This was tripartite invasion, stemming from Mongolia, Persia, and even allying with the Sultanate of Delhi. Great progress has been made, and it appears the Chagatids days may be numbered especially due to the difficulty for the Yuan allies of the Chagatids to reinforce their friends. The Chagatids are on the verge of collapse, with no strong armies except those veteran ones on their Indian border and one enclosed in a small pocket of land, yet is led by the most experienced and brilliant commander in the whole war, Muhammad, nephew of the Khan. In another theatre of the war, border skirmishes between the Mongolians and the Yuan have heated up.
The Khmer have incorporated Annam into their Empire and have made increasing gains in the South-East of the Yuan Empire at the expense of the less vital Yuan Empire. In the first note on the Indonesian Archipelago in this time-line, Srivijaya has been unable to expand their power into the Malay Peninsula and Singapore further owing to the Khmer support of the local chiefdoms.
Well this is the second-to-last installment. I know its getting shorter, but I'll probably elucidate on some of the holes in the Pre-NES. The maps are in chronological order in ten year installments. I apologize for their ugliness.