So a lot of people have been complaining about warfare in the game, especially early on due to lack of gold, too much unhappiness, etc. Then there is also the problem of a warmonger penalty during all eras, which can get really annoying mid to late game when trying to keep friendships.
So...
Do you have an ideology? Because "random" unhappiness can occur via public opinion, which can be viewed at the ideology tenet menu.
If your empire is content, you shouldn't have a problem, but if you are in a revolutionary wave where you can switch ideology, then you may end up with -29...
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