That is the very essence of Historical research.... Culling through tons of documents looking for the gold flakes and hoping to find large nuggets.Well that is a lot of research to find all the articles of speeches from newspapers and writings that existed at that era to the CW.
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This is a really good article from some time ago about how the Union actually occupied Ft. Sumter from a weaker position. Had Major Anderson not occupied the Fort in December, the first shots probably wouldn't have been fired there in April.
Article
In the second of the three longboats crouched Capt. Abner Doubleday, scanning the moonlit harbor around him. Ahead, in the lead boat, he could make out an unmistakable figure, hawk-like with its beaked nose and enshrouding cloak, clutching something tightly under one arm. This was the garrisons commander, Maj. Robert Anderson. For weeks, as hostile secessionists drew an ever-tighter cordon around their tiny Union force, Doubleday had speculated endlessly about his close-lipped superiors intentions. Did Anderson plan to stay put in their pathetically indefensible little citadel at Fort Moultrie, docilely awaiting orders from Washington, until the enemy overwhelmed him? Was the major, a known apologist for slavery, scheming to betray his loyal men to the rebels? Or could he as Doubleday fervently hoped be plotting somehow to slip the trap and make a run for the far more secure position that Sumter offered?