Sorry this took so long.
First Thoughts:
Next OEDO years are 1340 and 1420; I think democracy is feasible, but revolution timing might be important for other goals.
Nonnebakken is under threat from a horde of barbarians, and the central stack is not easily accessible. The real problem is that there is a hill next to the city, meaning that Musketeers can heavily damage units attacking them from the city; this will make defending the city costly, either through bribes or through rushing enough cannons to rotate them; I dont really think the city or island are worth it.
We are, for practical purposes, on the verge of bankruptcy; we have little gold, slow research, and only 1 caravan; the wars have drained our economy. We need to shift our economy away from military production enough to get some demanded caravans active and delivered quickly. This leaves the question of what to do with our existing military, at least the part that is not tied up in defending against threats. We can disband them into caravans, keep them around as a standing army waiting for an opportunity, or send them off to do as much fighting as they can for minimal extra costs.
Leaving the units as a standing army is in my opinion a bad idea, because we dont have Leonardos workshop to upgrade them, and if we are unable to take it, we will have to disband them anyway, having paid a lot of support in the meantime. Keeping the units without using them will only work if we get Leos in the age of cavalry.
I dont much like the idea of disbanding our dragoons, especially since I think we still have a window of opportunity to get more territory for minimal additional cost. The question is where? Spain is weakest I think, and spread out over several island, but I dont think there is much to gain from attacking them besides a few mediocre cities that will have no distant foreign city to send caravans to. I dont think we can make an effective assault on the Carthaginians; even if we made some initial gains, we would have to rush buy defences.
India, however, is interesting. Leonardos Workshop, Sun Tzus and Adam Smiths are in un-walled and relatively defensible cities; they also have a couple of good techs. The problem, aside from the fact that we are allies, is that being on unfriendly terms with them will create trade problems, through attacks on shipping and making it more difficult. Re-routing our shipping overland between Antium and Neapolis, and then south of India might reduce some dangers, but then access to Delhi would still be a little difficult. On the plus side, reorganizing our ship chain now will save the trouble of doing it when we actually have things to ship.
(0) 1260: Rush 2 diplomats to investigate Indian cities of Jaipur and Karachi; might give me an indication of how to proceed. Decide not to assault Lugdunum because of the proximity of Hyderabad. Sell off captured colosseums, because they do little at this level, and we need cash. Gold now at 772. Negotiate cease-fire with Spanish, to prevent ironclad from destroying a dragoon. Get gift of 25g from Indians.
(1) 1280: Odense diplomat, Hispalis hides, Neapolis diplomat. Rush several caravans. Hut near Trelleborg gives barbarians.
(2) 1300: Barbs take Trelleborg (no ransom demand), plunder 1 gold. Ribblehead coal, Jarrow Dye, Westness Coal, Nara Gold, Osaka Silver. Lunde grows, disorder. Investigate Jaipur: Defended with 3 musketeers, no costal fortress. Investigate Karachi: 2 musketeers, 1 dragoon, 1 cannon 1 transport. Decide to betray Indians when everything is in place. Odense Gold to Toledo (d) for 312g. Get 25g from Indians, attitude down to Cordial (also refused to declare war or give explosives; I was hoping they would cancel the alliance themselves.
(3) 1320: Carthaginians: Tell us they have electricity. Barb muskets destroy musketeers at Nonnebakken. Aldeigjuborg hides, Viborg Spice. Order in Lunde. Revolution. Decide to cancel Indian alliance directly instead of risking them giving a gift and not cancelling the alliance. Reputation down to dishonourable. Sneak attack Karachi, reputation Despicable. Take Karachi, with Leonardos Workshop, 119g, Take The Corporation. Partisans dispurse, refuse to talk to Indians. Attack Jaipur, Capture it, get Sun Tzu, Adam Smiths, 128g, Communism. More Partisans. Indians: Demand 1000g (out of 1185). Refuse, war continues. Dragoon dies attacking partisan. Rush Walls in Karachi from Scratch. Rescue and Rehome Nonnebakken dragoon. Demand tribute from the Americans, get 50g. Build Kvivik. Carthaginians (uncooperative): demand 950g, refuse, they dont declare war, but refuse to trade techs. Rush Walls in Neapolis in case of Indian counter attacks.
(4) 1340: Spanish develop Leadership. Indians develop Electricity, begin Isaac Newtons College, and switch to Communism. Barbs take Nonnebakken, 2gold. Romans develop Conscription. Mass disorder. Karachi, Neapolis City Walls. Democracy Established, Luxuries to 50%, science 10%. Plan to acquire electricity and Conscription from other civs before increasing science. Kill partisan near Karachi (now unfortified).
(5) 1360: Order restored everywhere. Rush Aqueduct in Jorvik. Kaupang engineers; rehome both engineers supported by the city. Send musketeer from Veii to annoy Romans by staying in their city radius.
(6) 1380: Indians nearly complete Isaac Newtons. Jorvik Aqueduct. Cumae diplomat. Move Anitum musketeer to Veii. Rush Karachi Musketeers. Kill last partisan near Jaipur. Ironclad from Pisa kills Indian Frigate and Ironclad. Rush ironclad in Veii. Rush last Kaupang engineer.
(7) 1400: Bangalore builds Isaac Newtons College, Indians switch another to United Nations. Indians change to Republic. Indians kill severely damaged ironclad. Romans: demand we leave the vicinity of Rome. Birka Silver. Hispalis hides. Uppsala oil. Disband Kaupang. Send dragoons from Karachi to Bombay, am 1 unit short for taking the city. Build Naples.
(8) 1420: Carthaginians begin UN. Indians do not kill stack of 6 dragoons. The Udal Oil. Kill musketeer that moved into Bombay, take city, Michelangelos Chapel, 116g, Electricity. Rush city Walls from scratch.
Notes:
There is a gold freight from Nara beside Antium; this can go to Lahore. All other freight have been destined to Neapolis. I havent established a shipchain leaving Neapolis because I was afraid of the Indian Navy.
At 10% science, I dont think you will discover the next tech next turn. I would recommend steel so that we can employ cruisers against the Indian Navy (and make it safe enough to start a shipchain). I would then recommend trying to get conscription from the Romans, and researching tactics.
I decided to bite the bullet and attack the Indians. The result is that we have Leos and Sun Tzu, and, despite what I wrote in my First Thoughts, I think more military action might be called for, so we can press this advantage. We are in a position to get Tactics (with the added bonus of easy vet status from Sun Tzu) before conscription is widely known, but we should remember to devote enough resources to caravans so that we dont end up in the position we were at the start of my turns (without being able to sell off the colosseums I wouldnt have been able to accomplish as much as I have). Most Carthaginian cities are lacking in walls, but if we start to attack them that will probably change.
I dont think there is much else to say.
Merry Christmas
audience is still there, and maybe just maybe one day I'll join one of these succession games. 
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