General discussion for civics

Yes, you're all correct, the only problem is if we'll survive the next couple decades - and perhaps even more importantly, who will survive. After that, things should start getting better again.
The doomsday clock is at its closest to midnight, the potential for mutual destruction has never been this high. Even a very localized conflict like the Ukraine one (when has a US president ever visited a country at war before?) has put a significant dent in our progress and required a shift in priorities.

As for AI... current AIs are very complex model trained algorythms, they're not actually "intelligent" though. They're a computer program, not an entity. When I see a general purpose, self aware AI, then I'll be impressed, and terrified. Then again, we could argue that humans are also trained algorythms and that no one ever invents anything new but merely rearranges existing stuff in a different pattern. Or, we could argue that this level of AI is more than enough to mimic us, replace us in various applications, and overall change the way we think of life... and I find this even more terryfing than self-aware AI entities. An army of computer programs replacing humans and mimicking our behaviour like hollow husks, ages into the future.
 
has put a significant dent in our progress and required a shift in priorities.
I'm not sure I agree with this - I think we've been seeing this coming for decades so has been what we were preparing for for quite some time. That it's coming in so... impotent... is the main thing that's surprising to me, but then this is likely the pool hustle phase of things. It's drawn out so much longer in a stalemate than I could've possibly imagined.

As for AI... current AIs are very complex model trained algorythms, they're not actually "intelligent" though. They're a computer program, not an entity. When I see a general purpose, self aware AI, then I'll be impressed, and terrified. Then again, we could argue that humans are also trained algorythms and that no one ever invents anything new but merely rearranges existing stuff in a different pattern. Or, we could argue that this level of AI is more than enough to mimic us, replace us in various applications, and overall change the way we think of life... and I find this even more terryfing than self-aware AI entities. An army of computer programs replacing humans and mimicking our behaviour like hollow husks, ages into the future.
I don't think that's all a Human mind is, but it's MOSTLY what we operate under and although true awareness is the final thing that makes us different, it's not all that effectively a difference. I often think of the Angel's lament that man was given 'free will' and think yeah, that's the difference, honest self-awareness and an ability for that true self to override the 'program'.

So long as we can keep the use of AI focused on task resolution within constrained operatives, we should be fine, as long as we keep those tasks in the range of things they should be operating within. Unfortunately, we're probably too idiotic to realize what that range is but hey, we've avoided nuking the world so far so maybe we'll avoid the obvious black-ball potential here too.

We just finally mapped an entire insect brain - I'm sure our own is hundreds or thousands of times more complex but with the kind of processing power we're growing to have with these AI systems helping, it won't be long now before we understand how it works entirely, and how every chemical interacts in our biological systems, and how every bit of our DNA can be converted to programming and vice versa... we're learning to hack ourselves. "Let him not also understand the fruit of the tree of life lest he become immortal as we."

Such immortality and mind bending control (for better or worse) will dramatically and rapidly change our entire modus operandi as a species. What's out there could only be out there because they've experienced that shift and survived it. Therefore, they watch with amused anticipation to see how we will surf this wave of great change, perhaps rather unconcerned regarding the outcome because in truth, we don't really mean much in the big picture, but it is certainly a fascinating thing to watch a society hit puberty and experience a dramatic shift to adulthood.
 
Even in a deflation money is still spent - people are not going to starve while they wait for their money to get more and more valuable. This alone should prevent a "runaway deflation".

But FIAT money mostly seems to have advantages for certain powerful parties, who can (and will) get their way no matter if it better for everyone (or anyone) else.

But if you think FIAT money is generally better, do you think the call to "mint the coin" is a good idea? Should they mint this coin to avoid the debt ceiling, or perhaps mint 30 coins and get rid of the national debt altogether? Should they mint 40 coins and lower the taxes? What would the effect be?

I can understand the proponents of the gold standard rejecting this idea, but for a proponent of FIAT this should look a lot better.

I don't see how any of this is relevant to the issue of balancing the game, but I'm assuming by "mint the coin" you mean the joke idea someone had of minting a coin worth several trillion dollars in order to pay off the debt? That's the same as paying off debt by printing more money - you're basically just converting debt to inflation. One problem for another.
(Also, why are you capitalizing "FIAT" like that, it looks really weird.)

@Maltazard ,
Good post. Good summation.
@Somebody613
Civics were Never meant to be " Balanced". Get over that presumption.
@Typical_Name ,
Precious metals (ie Gold, Silver, etc) have Always been the solid economic trade model thru out History. Any time a civilization gets away from it, that Civilization eventually fails because the elite manipulate their form of "currency" to rob everyone else but themselves.
I don't know which form of "economics" you got your degree in, and it really is irrelevant anyway to this.
Yes, Sid did base the game model on Gold. So why do you want it changed? And do you think your idea/concern is new to this Mod or Civ IV BtS? Albeit the current scam of bitcoin and the insidious and enslaving CBDC idea are not included. Both of these evils will be exposed for what they really are. Have you heard about Sam Fried and his Billion dollar bitcoin scam called FTX? Perhaps you are a Yuval Noah Harari/Klaus Schwab fan and want a digital chip put under your skin so that you can never really own anything again? Digital slavery anyone?!
Back to gameplay, actually Metals or Coin are as viable an option as Gold Standard in the Currency Civic category. The rest are situational Civics.
Many Civic groups have situational Civics as well. It's how you choose your Civics to mesh together that constitutes your Game play Model for that particular game. Along with Leaders/Civilizations/etc that you make choices over. There will Always be a Best Civic in each Category per your own playstyle. How you interact and mesh these choices is totally up to you. Game play style. Don't try to remove other players game play style.
There will always be a Bad Civic choice in each category too. Maybe several. :)
If this comes across as dismissive to you, then all I can say is this: longevity at testing, modding, and Years of gameplay experience trumps your case. Nothing is new under the sun, and much the same for this Epic Mod.
There is an Old Old rule to Modding, sometimes you just have to tell the player no.
@raxo2222 ,
Hmmm....what is your point?
You really need to go back and fix some of the building problems you created by stripping out or reducing to irrelevance the yields they used to give.
As gatekeeper to Pepper's Mod, it should have been evaluated much much longer than it was before it was included into this Mod. It still has glaring problems.

Because of the recent Cultural changes @Blazenclaw has made to the Mod, there will be tweaks to many Civics accordingly. Will they get finished before the soon coming New version? Probably not. I am Play testing thru the Industrial era right now. Many more eras to go.

Jesus christ dude, calm down. Why are you talking about irrelevant nonsense like bitcoin and digital chips? Bitcoin is a horrible idea that combines the flaws of both gold and fiat into one dysfunctional currency primarily used by libertarian cultists (ironically the same people who often like the gold standard) and criminals. (Also, bitcoin would probably go under the "digital" currency civic, which currently isn't very representative of what such a currency would be like.)
Anyways, you clearly don't know economic history if you think the gold standard has always been solid.

The Declaration of Independence Listed all the reasons for the Declaration of Independence. The Constitution lays out, with the Bill of Rights, How this Independence will be instituted and maintained. Especially when the Gov't is no longer for the People or by the People. We have reached that point. The current Admin is in fact a coup and they are selling America to the Chinese. Have been selling America to them since 1971 when Nixon visited them back then. Deals were made and the US Gov't has been funneling money to China for decades. Pres Trump put a choke hold on that while he was in office. The current Admin is deeply in bed with XI.

Are you American? Natural Born?
... Are you even listening to yourself? How could you believe that the government is "deeply in bed with Xi" while they push through this insane expansion of government power (supposedly to "ban tiktok") explicitly for the purpose of combating China? I sure WISH our administration was collaborating with China, the PRC is one of the biggest forces for good in the world (admittedly, this is more because the world is terrible than the PRC being good), that'd be a lot better than our current regime.
And wtf is it with you asking if someone is "American", especially "Natural Born"? That sounds racist as hell.

The US is a Constitutional Republic period. But the ones that want the USA destroyed add in the words Democracy and Federal. The USA will return to the Constitution Republic it is supposed to be. Not what the Bidenites/socialists want it to be.

Wtf are you on about, socialists HATE Biden, and Biden hates us, as has almost every president in the past. (The only president I can think of who wasn't explicitly anti-socialist in some way was Lincoln, who apparently exchanged letters with Marx. You could also argue that FDR took some ideas from the socialists, but that was more to stabilize capitalism and prevent communists from further growing political support.)

Anyway I think we went a little off topic. Wasn't this because someone on Discord disagreed that Gold Standard ought to be the best currency civic?

I mean I think I kinda agree because honestly gold would lose it's value if we began asteroid mining and mined out massive tonnage worths of the substance. Only through possible supply and price manipulation by government forces, the very same forces @JosEPh_II distrusts and trusts the gold over, could keep it stable for use as currency. Which is why I believe the whole insistence on gold being the best currency is mostly right wing paranoia at play, a paranoia that doesn't understand that gold is susceptible to the same price and supply fluctuations as the oil market (the so called basis of the dreaded "petro-dollar" which the right fears so much).

Only if people started buying and selling goods directly under the table with gold coins they bought could it actually work without government intervention so long as all parties involved in a transaction just all agree to how much it's worth in relation to the good to be bought or sold. You know peer to peer, everything is worth what it's purchaser will pay for. Unfortunately like all things under the table such parallel currencies are illegal as they allow one to easily dodge taxation, long prison sentences through the state's monopolization of violence would prevent any merchant from ever daring to accept the risk of adopting such a parallel currency.
Yup, that's me. Wow things got derailed, maybe it's a good thing I didn't get email notifications for responses on this thread, jeesh. :o

Like, there's reasons that countries stopped using the gold standard, and that should be reflected in the civic balancing. Even if someone thinks that this is some evil conspiracy, we have other "evil" civics like totalitarianism, so if we want to design a currency civic around microchipping all of our people, I don't see why that shouldn't be an option.

While that's true, it's hard for humans not to just innately value gold, silver and copper. I think we're hardwired psychologically to do so because, well, that's our primary intended purpose is to derive gold from this planet for those that created us. Yes, lol... maybe. It has a great deal of technological uses, much like many other rare(r) earth metals and perhaps throughout the galaxy it's not greatly common anywhere because it forms at a very specific and thin layer in the gravitational spectrum of a planet. Quite possibly, Earth is very strong with gold relatively due to some unusual geological histories involved in our planetary formation (as in a nearby exploded planet that sent asteroids into our surface and upheavals of our continental drifts bringing the 'planet core' layers of gold to the surface) and given it's unique properties... Anyhow, something has always made us appreciate it flatly on sight. Almost all cultures give it an elevated position for sometimes very mysterious rationales.


Explains why rice is the basis of most asian meals I suppose.

Sure, unless space exploration technologies continue to find it more and more useful with nearly every new technology finding new ways to use its unique electrical, light, and radiation interactive properties.
The metals made for good currencies because they're relatively rare and don't rot, so their value didn't fluctuate as much as, say, grain, the supply of which could fluctuate wildly depending on how the harvest went this year (and which decays, making it a poor store of value). It also has the advantage of being standard across different societies (a pound of gold will always be a pound of gold wherever you take it). In modern times, currency valuation comes from faith (usually in a government), which has the advantage of not being chained to the value of metal - this would have been difficult to do before, since central governments strong enough to control currency creation weren't very common back in the ancient era (a lot of technology goes into preventing counterfeiting today, which wouldn't have existed back then).

You're probably, actually quite obviously, not alone. Though I must wonder why you feel this way.
Having higher beings might be interesting for a civilization-style game, but I think it would be very out of place on in this one, given that it's meant to at least roughly model human history, or possible alternatives thereof. Having gods or aliens deus ex machina themselves into the game would be difficult to work in.

Then you will be sorely disappointed. I'm rather surprised you said this.
People have been predicting the imminent demise of China for decades. I don't see it happening soon. To be fair, many people, such as both of us (albeit for very different reasons), have been predicting the imminent demise of the United States for a while too, which also has not come to pass. And hindsight is 20/20, so who knows - but right now it looks like the anti-China crowd is crying wolf.

Once we have asteroid mining and O'Neill Cylinders, it will be. They often say that we need 3 or 4 Earths to support everyone living like people in the West, but they don't tell you that there are billions of Earth's worth in the solar system, mostly in the sun itself.
The difficulty is in getting those billions of earths over here where we can actually use them. This also assumes that there will be a technological solution to climate change, which also has not been forthcoming. True, we might get lucky yet, and from the looks of it, that might be our only hope. Decisively suboptimal. :/

I think with the recent 'quantum foam' discovery, we may not actually be that far from ZPE if you want the truth. With AI in the state it's in now, a rather large amount of our future tech tree may well come to pass and very quickly from here as a result. Is this being an optimist? I'm not actually sure... it will be interesting to see if we can handle the speed of the changes to take place in the next few decades and moreso next few generations.

What is this discovery? I have not heard of "quantum foam".




... is it over? Did I finally reach the end of the thread? Phew. :o
 
Well they are magic like this mod tech tree.
Universe full of wonders and terrors is domain of science fiction, fantasy, religion, spirituality and random internet copy pasta.

If someone feels creative they can draw inspiration from here and make cool descriptions in tech and building descriptions.
 
the PRC is one of the biggest forces for good in the world (admittedly, this is more because the world is terrible than the PRC being good)
Show me one group of people the USA treats as badly as the PRC treats the Uyghurs.

This also assumes that there will be a technological solution to climate change, which also has not been forthcoming.
Not necessarily. We are rather close to the technology necessary to really get into space - if we don't solve climate change, the pressure for this would only increase. Unlike the physically impossible Dyson Sphere, a Dyson Swarm can be built one O'Neill Cylinder at a time, so once we have built the first few, humanity as a whole is out of danger. We might want to have fusion power first, but even that is not an absolute necessity.
 
Having higher beings might be interesting for a civilization-style game, but I think it would be very out of place on in this one, given that it's meant to at least roughly model human history, or possible alternatives thereof. Having gods or aliens deus ex machina themselves into the game would be difficult to work in.
I always figured it would be better to just let that dog lie sleeping for the sake of the mod and try instead to work on the less logical but more plain model of one of a lack of interaction with outside forces. Maybe down the road once the mod has all its kinks sorted out, it would make more sense from a perspective of how one may start a new game based on what happened in a previous one.
What is this discovery? I have not heard of "quantum foam".
Physicists messing with observations of attempts to achieve absolute vacuums are apparently finding that they are literally manifesting energy and matter from nothing in something of an unstable quantum foam that vanishes as soon as vacuum pressure returns to 0 rather than into negatives, where this slowly begins happening on a subatomic basis (not perceptible to most equipment). That's what the articles going around are claiming at least. I'm sure it has yet to be fully verified. Yes yes... we all know that this would mean a violation of what we've come to believe we can rely on which is that you cannot create energy or matter from nothing, nor truly destroy energy or matter, and perhaps that's not at all what's even taking place, only that there's some kind of observable phenomenon that could be suggesting that there's really no such thing as any given expanse of nothing.
We might want to have fusion power first, but even that is not an absolute necessity.
From what I have been reading, this is also cracked already as of earlier this year. Repeating the process is also yet to be fully confirmed but it sounded to me like it was a fairly miniature process which would be so damned handy its unimaginable.


The group these things go around in are usually pretty up to date on more accurate scientific specifics and one can often find doubtful commentary by those types if its not worthy of consideration. Obviously, I'm not making any of these things as 'claims' that it took place for any certainty.
 
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The metals made for good currencies because they're relatively rare and don't rot, so their value didn't fluctuate as much as, say, grain, the supply of which could fluctuate wildly depending on how the harvest went this year (and which decays, making it a poor store of value). It also has the advantage of being standard across different societies (a pound of gold will always be a pound of gold wherever you take it). In modern times, currency valuation comes from faith (usually in a government), which has the advantage of not being chained to the value of metal - this would have been difficult to do before, since central governments strong enough to control currency creation weren't very common back in the ancient era (a lot of technology goes into preventing counterfeiting today, which wouldn't have existed back then).
As for why they are a very good way to establish a currency value, this makes great sense, though you'd think other metals might've been just as good at the job with only these arguments. On the world of Krynn, (Dragonlance from original TSR days), Steel was used as a currency because its value was much higher as a result of the need for it to use in making weapons and armors and post their apocalyptic event, it had become quite rare.

What gets me about gold and silver in particular, which is something even platinum dodges based on its great rarity, is that almost every single ancient culture settled on it BEING valuable, even where it was quite common. They related it to their religions and hoarded it. The Incans didn't even treat it with great respect but hoarded it for offerings to their gods nevertheless (it was the 'sh**' of the gods or the tears of the gods... basically the physical excrement of the gods to them). It's the universal reverence that makes it a bit quirky. Of course, some cultures, still revering it, also felt it was best to just leave it where it was found.
 
admittedly, this is more because the world is terrible than the PRC being good

Mmmm, that's debatable. One must be reminded of the camps, though one could counter by bringing up Gitmo. I would say it's more foreign policy that one could respect China, the United States over the past 80 years has been more interventionist in a way that is hypocritical to it's own values. The Chinese tend to leverage more economic power and less military power when it comes to foreign policy, they are actually willing to invest in the third world, which in turn grants them more respect from third worlders. While they are becoming more militaristic, that militarism does not come at the cost of being hypocritical since China has never at any time proclaimed itself to be the embodiment of democratic and egalitarian values.

I do agree that the whole TikTok ban is ridiculous, (not to mention against the First Amendment) it's a product, people have freedom of will not to consume said product. The pork that comes with the bill is what's more problematic, such as banning VPNs, expanding the security apparatus further, etc.

People have been predicting the imminent demise of China for decades. I don't see it happening soon. To be fair, many people, such as both of us (albeit for very different reasons), have been predicting the imminent demise of the United States for a while too, which also has not come to pass. And hindsight is 20/20, so who knows - but right now it looks like the anti-China crowd is crying wolf.

The anti-US crowd be crying wolf too. It's very difficult for large nuclear armed nations to just collapse over night. The world is also far different then it was during the time of the Romans, there were unknown hinterlands filled with unknown peoples who could migrate in and invade your territory, the world has globalized since then so there are no barbarians who can just come out of nowhere and not be predicted nor hide.
 
I do agree that the whole TikTok ban is ridiculous, (not to mention against the First Amendment) it's a product, people have freedom of will not to consume said product. The pork that comes with the bill is what's more problematic, such as banning VPNs, expanding the security apparatus further, etc.
The issue here is that they can follow, track and record, every keystroke you make after going to a site linked from TikTok. AND they are pushing to get shopping experiences linked to them. So basically looking to be ready to drain as many accounts in one sudden hit as they can among many other serious hidden security breaches on the day they decide to pull the trigger to unleash chaos.
 
The issue here is that they can follow, track and record, every keystroke you make after going to a site linked from TikTok. AND they are pushing to get shopping experiences linked to them. So basically looking to be ready to drain as many accounts in one sudden hit as they can among many other serious hidden security breaches on the day they decide to pull the trigger to unleash chaos.

What do you mean by "draining accounts"? As in they can just drain online banking?
 
@Typical_Name
Who are you and why are you attacking my opinion. Especially since this thread is Full of other people's opinions as well.
Please, get over yourself and don't bother to reply. I won't be reading it.
Have a Great Day
Bye
 
What do you mean by "draining accounts"? As in they can just drain online banking?
Since they can track every keystroke on any system after you go to any linked to site from tiktok, you are literally putting your bank info on file with them with any transaction you make, or handing them your passwords anywhere you login from there. All they then need to do is log that data and hoard it and maintain it and then yeah, charge your accounts, hack every critical place you log in to, etc... Their bot programming skills are such they could launch an attack on the entire infrastructure of foreign users and within a day cause more chaos in our economy and systems that one could possibly imagine thanks to how much our people have incidentally handed over to them as a result of just operating as normal for a while through their platform.
 
Since they can track every keystroke on any system after you go to any linked to site from tiktok, you are literally putting your bank info on file with them with any transaction you make, or handing them your passwords anywhere you login from there. All they then need to do is log that data and hoard it and maintain it and then yeah, charge your accounts, hack every critical place you log in to, etc... Their bot programming skills are such they could launch an attack on the entire infrastructure of foreign users and within a day cause more chaos in our economy and systems that one could possibly imagine thanks to how much our people have incidentally handed over to them as a result of just operating as normal for a while through their platform.

Yes well if we go to war with China money would be the least of our problems. Almost all our industry is dependent on them, as soon as it starts we'll be cut off and incapable of waging war if it drags on into one of attrition (which of course it would considering the sheer mass of people they can muster up for war)

Taiwan would be lost period, their anti-ship missiles guarantee we can't relieve the island. And with that a loss of computer chips would be our next immediate challenge after losing all the other cheap industry. Our society would be brought to the brink of total collapse requiring a push toward military autocracy, a war perhaps taking more than a decade and even then China could fire their thermonuclear missiles in spite if they feel they will lose the war and can't keep the CCP alive. There would be no path to de-escalation, only escalation until annihilation.

Honestly we should just abandon our guarantees of protection for the Taiwanese. They are simply not worth the struggle, we no longer have the capability, and Taiwanese defense was only pragmatic in the 1950s. Ever since Nixon recognized the reds as the true Chinese, Taiwan lost all legitimacy under the one China policy. No formal treaty exists either, merely a protocol anyway.
 
Honestly we should just abandon our guarantees of protection for the Taiwanese
Yeah well somehow the US considers the Pacific as their main area of interest. In a way it makes sense, since it's simply unimaginable that an attack could come from the Atlantic whereas in theory the Pacific could become a hostile front. Yet, instead of accepting a "dualist" defense strategy with one front on the defensive and another secure, they want to be the ones right on the border of their potential enemies on both fronts. Not only that but they expect the vassals to be ready to face the consequences of this tension with nothing in exchange.
It used to be a bit of carrot and a bit of stick, now it's all stick - that stick is gonna break if it's used too much.
 
Yes well if we go to war with China money would be the least of our problems. Almost all our industry is dependent on them, as soon as it starts we'll be cut off and incapable of waging war if it drags on into one of attrition (which of course it would considering the sheer mass of people they can muster up for war)

Taiwan would be lost period, their anti-ship missiles guarantee we can't relieve the island. And with that a loss of computer chips would be our next immediate challenge after losing all the other cheap industry. Our society would be brought to the brink of total collapse requiring a push toward military autocracy, a war perhaps taking more than a decade and even then China could fire their thermonuclear missiles in spite if they feel they will lose the war and can't keep the CCP alive. There would be no path to de-escalation, only escalation until annihilation.

Honestly we should just abandon our guarantees of protection for the Taiwanese. They are simply not worth the struggle, we no longer have the capability, and Taiwanese defense was only pragmatic in the 1950s. Ever since Nixon recognized the reds as the true Chinese, Taiwan lost all legitimacy under the one China policy. No formal treaty exists either, merely a protocol anyway.
Two points about that:
  • China doesn't have enough transport ships to invade
  • China has this nice big dam wall (Three Gorges Dam) - it would be a pity if anything happened to it
Not to mention that their armed forces have not fought a war in decades, and their entire leadership has shown their collective capabilities during the Covid crisis.
 
Yeah well somehow the US considers the Pacific as their main area of interest. In a way it makes sense, since it's simply unimaginable that an attack could come from the Atlantic whereas in theory the Pacific could become a hostile front. Yet, instead of accepting a "dualist" defense strategy with one front on the defensive and another secure, they want to be the ones right on the border of their potential enemies on both fronts. Not only that but they expect the vassals to be ready to face the consequences of this tension with nothing in exchange.
It used to be a bit of carrot and a bit of stick, now it's all stick - that stick is gonna break if it's used too much.

The only reason I believe we still make promises to defend Taiwan is because for awhile unification was assumed to go along the lines of Hong Kong. One nation, two systems. But after China forcibly changed Hong Kong into a one nation, one system there has been a fundamental distrust.

Mostly because it has been assumed from the American corporate perspective that places such as Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan are to operate as free market city states or semi-independent city states whereby they are to have full carte blanche abilities to operate within without having to worry about more centralized regulations of a larger government reigning them in.

A bunch mini Tokyos but like in the 1980s when Tokyo was booming at unbelievable levels and not suffering from stagflation. That is the corporatist dream.
 
China doesn't have enough transport ships to invade

They could probably solve that by commandeering all the container ships that service Shanghai every day and retrofit them to carry troops. That or slowly purchase old container ships over time and place them under bizarre shell corporations that are actually under the control of the PLA but disguised as legitimate shipping companies to not alarm the Americans as to when exactly a crossing would begin.

China has this nice big dam wall (Three Gorges Dam) - it would be a pity if anything happened to it

That would be a war crime and only give them an excuse to use nuclear weapons. Plus only the interior part in the South of the country would be damaged, a lot of their other industrial zones would still be operable.

More economic damage would be done by simply "port bombing" all their ports and shipping terminal infrastructure along their coastal cities. That way they'd be unable to ship their goods to neutral or friendly nations to generate revenue as well as struggle to import certain goods. A blockade of the Malacca Straight would also prevent any goods from either coming from or to Europe/Middle East/Africa. Only the unreliable rail and road networks of Central Asia or Russia could be relied on, and I say unreliable because Central Asia has already been successfully destabilized by the United States and Russia has become increasingly isolated from having trade relations with the rest of Europe because of the invasion of Ukraine.

Not to mention that their armed forces have not fought a war in decades

This is true, but I feel they'll simply rely more on throwing as much human mass as possible at the wall.
 
Hmm, well, Taiwan is not a city state though, neither is Japan,'s Tokyo. Singapore and Honk Kong are two very unique examples, where it's not so much a matter of fast growth as it was a matter of unrestrained capitalism to its fullest extents. Fraud, tax evasion, insider trading, financial crimes, whatever else all done in the comfort of some of the safest, most luxurious cities in the world, without any government accountability. Not even the US government.

Taiwan IS replaceable - all the US has to do is stop drugrolling south america a little bit and let it develop just a smidge, then they can move from low level manufacturing to hi tech industry pretty quick. You'd even save on shipping costs.
Problem is, there is an ideological motive which is basically a modern "Carthago delenda est": China must be opposed, boxed in and left alone. Biden only knows why they decided to throw Russia in their arms over "democracy" in Ukraine though.
I've said before that a geopolitical entity with the manufacturing capabilities of europe and the resources of Russia would be dominating - well, imagine a geopolitical entity with the manufacturing capabilties AND the manpower of China and the resources of Russia.
 
Also there's a concept where if you allow your pie to dwindle to someone else, by not fighting over the pie, you invite them to steal the rest of it. Then you get no more pie. 🥧 ❌
 
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