My in Las Vegas - Game 7

[Fippy]

The house feels strangely generous today and gives everybody old & new 3000 shiny credits.
Who has how many?

Noble Zarkon 32600
Kaitzilla 31500
Nick723 15600
Elliot 14400
Plains-Cow 12400
Ariosto 10100
Saxo 8200
Thrasybulos 6500
Lymond 3500
NickGabben 3000
Pepo 3000
Elite 3000
Elmurcis 3000
+ maybeyournick? 3000

Will Monty ruin himself & other games? Odds
Winner:
Cathy +300
Pacal +400
Lizzy + 500
Freddy +1500
Monty +2500
Hatty +3000

Second place:
Cathy +400
Pacal +500
Hatty +600
Lizzy +800
Freddy +1000
Monty +5000

FTD:
Freddy +300
Monty +400
Lizzy +500
Pacal +700
Hatty +700
Cathy +3000

Special offers:
Culture win +900
Diplo win +4000

 

[Nick723]

At those prices, got to take some speculative punts!

1st:
- Catherine - 3000
- Fred - 2000
- Monty -2000

2nd
- Monty - 2000
- Hatty - 1000

FTD
- Pacal - 1000
- Lizzy - 1000

Victories
- Diplo - 3600

 

[Plains-Cow]

1st:
-Hatty 5000

2nd:
-Lizzy 1000

FTD:
-Frederick 4000

Victories:
-Culture 2400

 

[elmurcis]

One game where I have to pick same for each category in honor of winning IMM Space with Monty as PA ally in my personal last game

1000 for Monty 1st
1000 for Monty 2nd
1000 for Monty FTD

 

[Nick723]

One game where I have to pick same for each category in honor of winning IMM Space with Monty as PA ally in my personal last game

1000 for Monty 1st
1000 for Monty 2nd
1000 for Monty FTD

@Fippy I think we need special odds on Monty culture!

 

[elitetroops]

At those odds I really feel I should be putting all my money on Monty 2nd, but I'll be a (tiny) bit more conservative with my money this time

Cathy 1st: 800
Monty 2nd: 1000
Pacal FTD: 600
Diplo: 600

 

[Fippy]

@Fippy I think we need special odds on Monty culture!

There are already big odds on Monty 2nd & diplo
Monty culture has 0% chance of happening
..but the others are possible.

 

[Gumbolt]

So how does this work? You double your points for correct guesses? Boit late to this party.

 

[Fippy]

Higher numbers give more return, but are also less likely to happen (at least i think so ).
Just spread your 3000 around on picks you like.
Those are american style odds, +500 translates into 5/1 (risk 100 and maybe win 500).

 

[Elliot_Ness]

Cathy 1st - 2000

Pacal 1st - 2000

Freddy 2nd - 4000

Cathy 2nd - 2000

Elizabeth FTD - 2000

My thinking here is Monty and Cathy kill Elizabeth early, Hatty and Cathy war a little later.
Pacal turtles up and goes space, Freddy turtles up and does nothing. So I think Cathy for domination or Pacal space are the likeliest outcomes.

 

[Kaitzilla]

Cathy 1st - 4000
Pacal 1st - 2000
Elizabeth 1st - 2000
Montezuma 1st - 1000

Pacal 2nd - 4000
Catherine 2nd - 2000
Fred 2nd - 1000

Hatty 1st to die - 4000
Elizabeth 1st to die - 2000
Monty 1st to die - 2000
Cathy 1st to die - 1000

Culture win - 1000
Diplo win - 1000

 

[Fippy]

Kai walked in with his bag of gold..and we are all curious what will happen.

 

[lymond]

Monty 1st - 500
Cathy 1st - 200
Hatty 1st - 200
Pacal 1st - 200

Cathy 2nd - 100
Fred 2nd - 300
Monty 2nd - 300

Pacal FTD - 300
Fred FTD - 300
Liz FTD - 100
Cathy FTD - 500

Culture - 200
Diplo - 300

 

[ariosto]

1st Catherine - 2000
1st Pacal - 1100
1st Lizzy - 500

2nd Catherine - 1000
2nd Pacal - 2000
2nd Hatty - 500

FTD Lizzy - 1000
FTD Fred - 1000
FTD Monty- 1000

 

[Thrasybulos]

Alright, time to go big or go bust.


Hatty first - 6500


All in, go go girl !

 

[Fippy]

you just hope for some plains cow magic

 

[Thrasybulos]

I sure do.

That said, while I don't rate her chances very high (10-20% ?), I believe she does have a chance, this time.
As has been mentionned, her land is very poor... which should actually work in her favour.
No commerce means her early teching should be poor.
She loves pumping missionaries... she'll get at most one religion.
She loves building wonders, but they'll be gone by the time she gets the techs for them.
She'll actually be forced to build units because she'll have nothing else to build. And with Cathy next door...

 

[Nick723]

I sure do.

That said, while I don't rate her chances very high (10-20% ?), I believe she does have a chance, this time.
As has been mentionned, her land is very poor... which should actually work in her favour.
No commerce means her early teching should be poor.
She loves pumping missionaries... she'll get at most one religion.
She loves building wonders, but they'll be gone by the time she gets the techs for them.
She'll actually be forced to build units because she'll have nothing else to build. And with Cathy next door...

That’s some phenomenal reverse logic

If this transpires then you are a genius!

 

[Gumbolt]

500 pascal FTD.
500 Hattu FTD
2000 Elizabeth 1st.

Still not worked this out but done the above. English never win but underdogs all the way.

 

[Plains-Cow]

you just hope for some plains cow magic

Hathor bless us.