here is what i'm thinking:
after palace done, make peace with portugal putting suck city in the deal (we are sure he will take it)
wait 10 turns, take oporto and let jao II live on suck island up to the end of the world...
we can always check if dutch will want suck island while dealing with jaoII but i'm not sure.
for palace, whip it next turn is the way to go. we don't need to whip the warrior for hammer overflow
in lisbon and guirames, a warrior might be more valuable than a barrack at this time
EDIT: for futur techs, we need code of law for CH as we expect in the near fuuture quite a large empire...
I expect oracle not winable. Therefore, writting first then all the way to code of law via priesthood.
btw, we need copper, first settler ust go for a copper in his BFC