Battle Odds

[StarWorms]

Some of the battle calculations are clearly not right. The most recent one I had was my warrior with +10% and +25% vs melee fighting a warrior with +10% and who had health of around 1.7/2. It said the chances of me winning were 95.6%. I lost the first battle and reloaded the game (my secondary city would have fallen). I tried again, and I lost again. I tried several times and kept losing.

The chances of me losing all those battles was 0.000000032%

This is not the only case I have had. It happened a while back with my Keshiks predicted around 75% and they lost about a dozen times.

 

[Red Door]

Sometimes it happens, this is not a bug.

 

[MrCynical]

Some of the battle calculations are clearly not right. The most recent one I had was my warrior with +10% and +25% vs melee fighting a warrior with +10% and who had health of around 1.7/2. It said the chances of me winning were 95.6%. I lost the first battle and reloaded the game (my secondary city would have fallen). I tried again, and I lost again. I tried several times and kept losing.

Sounds like you have "preserve random seed" enabled. In that case if you lose it the first time, then no matter how many times you reload and try again you'll get the same result, unless you do something different. The battle odds have been tested in worldbuilder and, averaged over a reasonably large number of combats, are correct.

 

[Karl Townsend]

yes but still seeing a spearman defeting a tank that just isnt right

 

[MrCynical]

yes but still seeing a spearman defeting a tank that just isnt right

This is hardly spearman vs tank. This is a fight between two warriors, which thanks to promotions and damage he has 95.6% (not 100%) chance of winning. (I might point out that in Civ 4 I have never seen a spearman beat a tank, or indeed fight a tank for that matter...).

 

[ggganz]

In you always got the same results in the same battle when you reload. Try the option "New Random Seed on Reload". It should help, if I've got its use right.