For better or worse I'm going to post on what I am thinking about everyone. It will give people a chance to respond if they want to, or for others to chime in. At the end of it I will vote. I have used a colour system for
very suspicious,
mildly suspicious, or
unknown.
Slaze: His idea of voting for people based solely on activity level under the guise of solidifying an active player base seems ill-conceived. Who cares that the players are active if they are active mafia? This is a simple and glaringly obvious point. I would have dismissed it but I know slaze from his work on these forums and he is a smart guy. I don't see him making such an obvious tactical error.
Slaze was inactive here but active elsewhere on the forums; he was purposefully inactive. Someone called him on it and suddenly he became active. He felt the need to change his posting habits based on feedback on this forum.
Slaze voted for landlubber and then unvoted him under the idea that he became "active." With the mafia actively working together this could have easily been a diversion. "Hey, landlubber, I'm going to vote with you because you are inactive, then you become active, then I will change my vote." His vote for landlubber seems particularly odd as there were people less active at the time he voted for landlubber.
So this is also a strategic vote: if Slaze is mafia then I would be inclined to believe that landlubber is mafia. (If slaze is innocent it says nothing about landlubber).
In a way this vote bites me in the rear because slaze has said his voting strategy is to vote for less active players - so I personally wouldn't be voted out by slaze as long as he stuck with this. That said, I feel that the mafia is going to take me out sooner then later because I talk too much.
Caledorn: Did he unwittingly become the center of attention? Or is he mafia trying to throw off the trail? The biggest point for his innocence is that I can see myself exasperated in the same way if people were voting for me. The biggest point towards his guilt is that after I purposefully told him he wasn't on my radar his posts to me became ridiculously agreeable (when compared to his previous argument, and far more so then you expect on an internet forum). That said, I'm curious about what he is going to say now
Caledorn also voted for Hercules90, and although Hercules90 survived he was killed that night by the mafia. This is more likely to indicate Caledorn is not mafia; the mafia picked Hercules90 to raise suspicion on Caledorn. Caledorn if a mafia is not likely to pick the same person both in the day and night as that seems like a tactical error.
mgsmuhammad: He has posted a half dozen times, and every single one of his posts has been frivolous - no content, no questions, no theories, nothing to add to the discussion - except one where he wondered about the number of mafia and suspected it was 2 total. The only reason I don't suspect him is because of that mafia post - he was the first one to bring up the number of mafia and come to a reasonable conclusion. If he was mafia this wouldn't have been a good thing to bring to our attention. Granted, he could have done this intentionally to throw us off the track, but the question was so out of the blue and early in the game that I am inclined to believe it was genuine.
landlubber: Not at all on my radar unless Slaze is found to be mafia, even though I voted for him yesterday (sorry landlubber!).
Tboy: Took the time to post about how slaze was busy elsewhere to explain his lack of activity - so if Tboy is found to be mafia then slaze is more likely (and vice versa). He voted for Caledorn because of his odd behaviour, which is reasonable but if Caledorn is found to be innocent then it casts suspicion on TBoy (and, by extension, Slaze). He also voted to kill Tic0 - an innocent.
Tegvtec: He has only posted twice. He has given absolutely no content in those posts... That said, he hasn't really posted elsewhere in the Team Merlot threads either, and on May 10th, in an unrelated (non-mafia) thread he mentioned he was being slammed with work. Still, that was May 10th - has he been busy all this time? As the most inactive person in our thread Is he a casual/busy player or trying to stay under the radar?
Umarth: First drew attention to slazes inactivity so if Slaze is innocent then I suspect Umarth. He voted for Tic0 because he "didn't like the sound of a stalemate" (not sure why he would care one way or the other as we had no idea what a stalemate would mean at that point).
Ash88: Sure, I will include myself... because if I don't it looks suspicous
. I voted for landlubber after Tic0 last turn. Tic0 later changed his vote, but having no preference at that point I just stayed with landlubber. If landlubber is found to be innocent I suppose it casts some doubt on me - but does it really? I mean, I was voting with Tic0 (who is a confirmed innocent) and didn't change my vote which would obviously fail afterwards. So either I'm innocent or I figured that all out with the intent to use it by drawing attention to it in the future and become less suspected. Besides that I'm really chatty in this thread - which can be construed either way. So I leave it to the mob to decide.
Conclusion:
Vote: Slaze
A vote for slaze helps figure this out whether or not he is innocent. There are a number of ties back to slaze, so if he is innocent then I know who to suspect, and if he is guilty I know who to suspect. It seems like the best strategy. If you are innocent - slaze - I apologize beforehand, but I need to know what you are!
Of course my vote will be for nothing unless a few other people see the merit in this.
I'm curious to see whose posting and interaction is different as a result of this post. Of course, but pointing out that I'm interested in it it is more likely that the mafia will retain similar personality. But by saying that maybe they won't? Or will they?
If the mafia kills me on their next night does that mean that I am hitting on something? Or not?
<insert dramtic music>