Backwards Logic
Emperor Palpatine
You'd be sadly misguided.
Vote:Legato Endless for this, for the buddying overall, and other things as well.
Unvote
Read through Legato, and eh
Anyways, considering I've been consistently wrong at every turn. I'll step back and let someone else lead the charge today.
also interesting that there was only one kill again. probably the third doctor's work
Glossy
Cass
Choxorn
Lohr
So I've reviewed everyone's votes thus far, and I've noticed that choxorn and Zack have been on every single bandwagon (except for choxorn on the lassie-mat93 tie), and landlubber, cass, and BL have been on absolutely none, although landlubber's not voted since day 2. I think vote:cass is one of our scum, and at least one of choxorn and legato is a scum buddy of his.
The consistent accusation in my experience is a good way to not give useful voting data to others if/when you die, and by including one of his buddies in there, he looks more cleared if they die, and they look more cleared if he dies.
You can be town, along with Cuth.
Zack is still town.
Backwards Logic's vote on me (OMGUS), lack of content, complaining about the thread speed, and all of the above seem to be mere excuses for what he's been doing (not much), and seem to be lazy. What is wrong with following a town read, especially since every town Visor's defended has been town? (1)
The Kennigit v.2 is less okay than v.1. Take a look at his trying to use NK logic to determine who may or may not be teamed. That is often WIFOM, and those who were killed were obvious townies. Reading too much into why they were killed may not be useful. What is also interesting is his focus on me, just because I was voted by those who were NKed. That is a pretty weak accusation. (2)
I dislike choxorn's tone and early game play/lack thereof. What he has been doing has been looking a lot better, but certain things he's been saying make me feel like he is trying to say the easy things to say - pointing out obvious weak reasoning and buddying people against his scum reads. It seems that he is tailoring what he's saying towards a specific audience each time that he replies to someone. (3)
Cass's post yesterday about needing to take a look at me today is extremely scummy. Maybe I'm reading too much into it, but why would she know that I'd be alive today to be looked at? I have made that kind of post before as scum, and this seems like a slip. Relying on her recent game with me to cloud her thoughts about my alignment, allowing her the margin of error to read me incorrectly because of how well I played is a very easy thing to do for scum, and does not look good with her low activity. As town, she will try to be more present, cares more about the game, and makes excuses for not being here. (4)
In conjunction with that post, KingMorgan's reasoning for thinking that both Cass and I are scum is extremely weak - that we're both alive. A lot of his reads seem to be for different reasons compared to his earlier play - for which he flipped town. (5)
Lohrenswald has not been doing anything recently. Besides his scum reads of Visor and me, he has said that he knows nothing else. Though he may be a new player, that is no excuse for now not having any idea, especially with the amount of information that has already flipped. Not knowing what reads to have is often more scummy than townie, especially because scum will know everything, and making things up will ring a little false, especially for newer players, and be especially hard to pull off.
Edse has not done anything that I can remember of. He would have been in the same category as Autolycus and BSmith, but they actually showed up and started to put in work. Lo and behold, BSmith was NKed.
WTL: Cass> Backwards Logic > Kenniget > KingMorgan > Lohrenswald > choxorn > edse
Disagree. Makes no sense for scum to make such a concerted, in-depth case against me. Why would scum want to lynch Zack? They obviously want me alive, I keep lynching townies. I really doubt a scumbag comes after me like that, when they're under no pressure and I haven't given them any heat. A (misguided) townie frustrated with leadership made post #2177.Okay. Right now I'm looking at a scum team of Legato, BL, and Cass. Thoughts?
Which outcome?/Why?I'm kind of scared of this outcome
That Cass post didn't trip me up quite as much as it tripped you two up, but considering the things that have been pinging me this game (Al and Lassie, mostly), maybe my scumdar needs to be rechecked.
I'm still more suspicious of Kennigit, BL, and Cuthillius, though. Call it gut feeling, but Kennigit just seems off, BL is acting exactly like I'd expect scum BL to act, and Cuthillius's votes yesterday were pretty odd, like, why would a townie keep switching around seemingly just to follow whatever the dominant opinion in the thread was?
Gah, I really don't know what to do.
Vote: Kennigit
I'm fairly certain that Day 5 is the only day I've missed. Correct me if I'm wrong.
'
Vote:Cuth's responses to Zack are really really flinchy to me. I have a hard time believing that Cass, arguably the most helpful townie in this entire game, could be scum. If she is, it's been a hell of a performance so far.
This at least is true, that claim was nonsensical and I'm still lost on how it works. We're missing something, although the complete reversal over yesterday's reaction is...noted.
Glossy still confuses me as a scum, and Lohr might be a good policy lynch depending on breathing room. The other two are fine...although Chox being essentially night kill immune thanks to background emission suspicion is something to consider.
Why follow at all? Backwards is pretty damn pathetic for this to be a long term ploy, although given the state of affairs, it's meh for a medium term gambit. He's come in, given a brief activity as he cared, and he certainly hasn't lurked or poked up at suspicious times. If he's floating, it's a very dedicated job against his meta as I understand it. Then again, I'm confused by everyone who has strong reads on the posters with less than double digit numbers in the game.
Zack is scum. The way his wagon steered out of the way despite a pretty strong scum read which was then deemphasized and BL was offered instead before the doctor claim sealed Al is not natural. That doesn't happen without external manipulation. The hive mind is never that elegant.
Vote: Zack
This is either wrong or bussing. I'm kind of sympathetic to the latter...but the ease with which this comes off is giving me hesitation.
Well, she certainly couldn't win the least helpful town still alive award, for all her weird reaction earlier...
WE ARE NOT LYNCHING ZACK TODAY.
Feel free to go for Cass, Legato Endless, Backwards Logic, Kennigit.
Choxorn looking better because of his post #2149.
Don't understand landlubber's comment on how Cass has been the most helpful townie, ever. To be correct, the reason she's been more helpful than some of the rest of us is that she has stayed out of the way and not helped lynch townies. XD
Is that really something townie?
Where have you seen Cuth question and prod as scum? A relatively high level of questioning and prodding is what I saw both Town games I've seen of his. And I felt like that dropped off the past two phases TBH.Ah, landlubber's vote on Cuth is kind of weird too. It seems to be based off of earlier interactions than what is going on in thread.
Maybe we can kill landlubber too.
Revised WTL list: Cass, BL, Kenniget, KM, Lohrenswald, Legato, landlubber
People who need to speak up: edse, Xym
Cuth is town. His waffling about and his inherent scumminess is much in line with his town meta, and he's been less questioning and prodding than he is as scum.
Pretty easy lynch, removal of town leader...Disagree. Makes no sense for scum to make such a concerted, in-depth case against me. Why would scum want to lynch Zack? They obviously want me alive, I keep lynching townies. I really doubt a scumbag comes after me like that, when they're under no pressure and I haven't given them any heat. A (misguided) townie frustrated with leadership made post #2177.
Some other people seemed to take issue with this too. I thought the reasoning would be self-evident, but I'll explain. I've been off with my reads and cases so far, to an astounding degree. I pushed my incorrect cases over others, and the result was a lynched townie every time. So I decided to take a backseat for at least this round, and let other people advance their cases.WRT the bold, why? Being wrong doesn't make you scummy in itself. What advantage is there to holding back your opinions other than keeping yourself out of the way?
I guess, but it seems like scum have been content to let me lead so far, considering how crummy a job I've done.Pretty easy lynch, removal of town leader...
If I'm correct right now for the most part the scum have not been the talkers, but rather the people who have been slithering on.
I'm aware that I fall into this category. But that is where we should be looking.
And I think a concerted push on you would not be out of the question when you've been being shaded for days and we're nearing endgame.
I guess, but it seems like scum have been content to let me lead so far, considering how crummy a job I've done.
I don't like that choxorn considered Al Sips a better lynch than Zack although he was unsure about the claim.
I don't like the Al Sips lynch at all, it was driven by the mafia in some form.
For now, Vote: Cass.
Personally i think cass and legato have completely bogus arguments between today/yesterday, which makes me lean town on them. Clearly at least 1 scum is tryharding innight kill selection (at least night 1) and I don't expect scum to make such sloppy mistakes (eg my own cases, legato saying some reversal of opinion occurred, cass quoting zack yesterday but posing a question to me as if I made that post)
Choxorn feels incredibly non-genuine inthe deciding votes yesterday but I still refuse to believr cuthillius and glossy are both town
To appeal to Zack directly, remember day 1 how you howled about how arakhor had such an incredibly scummy claim and response?
Yet here is glossy presenting himself as if he is some harbringer of sorting good power role claims and that's why on day 1 he had to lead a heroic but failed CFD away from the righteous Arakhor
I cannot look at votes too much on mobile but yea, probably the al sipclar voters were townies going "gee, IMPOSSIBLE to have 2 doctors!!!"
Maybe it is just choxorn though. Al sipclar had a line earlier that only scum ever accuse him of being scum, and I remember some specific game when i was a double voter and scum/takhisis howled and shouted that I couldn't be
Scum love to scream at truthful townies for no reason very often
So i am torn b/w glossy vs choxorn
Spoiler :Thoughts from quick, bleary-eyed catch up of this and previous phase:
Agreed with Sooh that Sushi-Lassie interactions seemed like distancing, am backtracking now slightly on my read of Sushi after Lassie's flip - need to re-read DM games but the flippant 'bored' attitude and several of her questions yesterday stood out as does refusing to try and make her own reads at this point in the game. Need to look closer at Sooh's last reads.
@Glossy
1) All my thoughts on Legato were given earlier, why did you ask me for them now?
2) Why were you so quick to defend my absence as null?
Zack - I have some issue with his increase in aggression, explanation of switch to Mat and Lassie push gave me slightly bad vibes. I don't think there's been a reads for quite a while? Just get the feeling he's pushing everyone down?
Bsmith's
Kenningit seems to actually be analysing/doing some decent search work/active in the conversations going on. Case on me is strange, as was the misunderstanding wrt Sushi at the beginning of the round.
Cuth's hammer/today's voting pattern/sheeping Murska is weird.
Cuth - Why follow anyone/Murska? What are your own reads and thoughts right now?
Choxorn's vote on 'narrowly more scummy' Kenningit - without push/questioning of his other suspects (Al Sips, Cuth) bothers me.
I like that Al Sips posted reads but still don't feel like he's playing the same sort of game as in Snakes.
You're wrong on me, probably why it's difficult to put your finger on it
IIRC Pouter ended up looking at my case and swapping to Chox, not sure if that makes a difference in your analysis at all.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kennigit View Post
what a hilariously ridiculous question. Why wouldn't I be suspicious of them? I mean I know we can't follow what everyone says this game because of the volume of posts, but Zack has lynched a townie every single day (post 1489 last vote day 2, on visor, as far as I can tell) and Cass_ I have way wayy back voted my immediate suspicion of him for being extremely slow to make an updated vote despite posting a lot (worded here) and more easily traced here
BUT, the actually ridiculousness of this question is why did you ask about Zack and Cass? Why not ask "Kennigit, please list your reasons" because I literally have not given anything about why Lohr or why choxorn, or autolycus for that matter [though no one is going to debate that autolycus hasn't done much].
That's independent of whether you are town or scum glossy, why even ask about a subset of my list?
from the votes I forgot choxorn had a wagon on him day 1 [attempted CFD]. IIRC glossy and lassie and cuthillius were posting around then. So it would be pretty gutsy to try a CFD on a teammate, given a power role claim of arakhor, so it is unlikely the 5-man list i posted could be together. I think that list working ALL together mutually is too unlikely.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zack View Post
Idk, no strong feelings either way. I'm not feeling very confident in any reads atm, considering how egregiously wrong I've been every time. Beginning to suspect that a significant portion of the mafia are lurkers - all lynches and attention have been on people who were pretty active in the thread, which the mafia seem to be content with (judging by who they've left alive).
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Kennigit, can you give a list of current leans?; and
explain what you mean by the bold pls? Seems like PIS to me - how else do you know who's be 'left alive' v who's scum?
Spoiler :
Bsmith - how sure are you of BL's scum meta? If you think he's scum, why is Choxorn a better vote?
I put that vote down to pure RVS, especially since he moved off to vote Chox later and Visor's flipped Town. Still possible I guess, but I think it would be more likely to be scummy as a joke vote if Visor had flipped scum.Most of the posts early on are from dead townies, but here are Murska's first two posts. I have no idea with the first one, but the second one is sort of a bad look.
I agree with you that the prolonged joking is suspicious, and will maintain that I think Newyn was the scummiest in the whole interaction. At the time, I took your vote as RVS and possibly Townie in the whole situation. Not really willing to make that call right now. Although FWIW these last two posts are more along the lines of what I associate with you as Town.These posts are also a little suspicious especially since they're interacting with two townies. I hold with the reasoning that joking you're a wolf is a wolf thing to do. I dunno.
Why?I'd eat a boot if sushi is scum.
Geh. That's not how it felt yesterday, although vote analysis isn't my best subject I'll admit. As I'm like, completely alone in this conclusion, I'll do a re-read, but I know something is off.
That is absurdly large. First, there aren't 7 mafia. Not with double kills per night. And regardless, placing half the entire listing of remaining players as acceptable isn't sensible in the slightest.
Agreed.
Sigh.
You know, I could go for either. Chox needs to flip simply because at this point it's outright astonishing he hasn't been lynched with the degree of suspicion he's gotten from everyone.
Vote: Choxorn
I could maybe support flipping Glossy, if mostly because I'm fairly uncertain what to make of the game. I'll take a look through the reams of posts and see if anything changes. Cuth I can't go along with though, if I'm wrong then, blah, I'm wrong, but there's nothing making me think he's scum in all this.
If Glossy is scum, then Cass is actually probably town IMO.
I'm back and forth on BL, though I really liked his most recent post especially WRT Sushi. Legato still seems scummy to me, his shift off me after the big push and his pulling away from BL after the earlier push/spam vote on him is weird.Okay. Right now I'm looking at a scum team of Legato, BL, and Cass. Thoughts?
Some other people seemed to take issue with this too. I thought the reasoning would be self-evident, but I'll explain. I've been off with my reads and cases so far, to an astounding degree. I pushed my incorrect cases over others, and the result was a lynched townie every time. So I decided to take a backseat for at least this round, and let other people advance their cases.
For the record, I did pretty much the same in Pirate Ship Mafia II, where I was town. I made my big cases, used everything I had to get those people killed, and I was totally wrong. I went for other lynches ahead of people who turned out to be scum, and I was wrong. I was consistently wrong, so I stepped back and let Visor and co. run the show, while I diverted my focus elsewhere. It was humiliating, but we won.
So this is me, eating crow.
I guess, but it seems like scum have been content to let me lead so far, considering how crummy a job I've done.
Okay. Right now I'm looking at a scum team of Legato, BL, and Cass. Thoughts?
Generally the pool gets small enough that anybody with any brains would find the scum eventually
Pretty easy lynch, removal of town leader...
If I'm correct right now for the most part the scum have not been the talkers, but rather the people who have been slithering on.
So this is me, eating crow.
I guess, but it seems like scum have been content to let me lead so far, considering how crummy a job I've done.
Cuth,I'm a girl/Identify with she/her
1. IIRC BL was largely pushed by Bsmith for meta reasons. What is your understanding of BL's meta and who would you say is likely to read him better?
2. Your push on me was considerable D2, what work have you done/conclusions have you gathered wrt me since?
What do you mean by this? That one scum being a lurker is indicative of the other scum also being lurkers? Because that seems like a strange thought to me, I don't understand why you'd think one wolf's level of activity has any bearing on the activity levels of other wolves.Activity based arguments are terrible this long in the game when we've no known scum to base the formulation on.
My read on BL goes to two factors. He's a mastermind type player, and while sitting back might be a safe bet normally, it seems a really poor strategy in a game where the activity was so high in the early going. If so, I'd except him to have a better contingency in place. Slack maybe, but not just vanish for days. He's got no good end game because the staggering lack of activity makes him a great policy lynch. Unless BL just went into this knowing he'd clean sweep this, it feels less planned than I'd expect from him.
Second, BL like Murska, excepting some weird notations in the last phase as previously pointed out, has posted mostly things I can find no fault with. His early frustration about the massive tempo dissonance to his preferred game reads completely sincerely to me. His initial apathy to gaining interest as the game slows down and field narrows also just fits to me as a passionate competitive townie who's nevertheless unafraid to go against the crowd when it suits him. Maybe I'm putting far too much of myself in here, since I massively empathize with his reactions this game, but the whole mild alteration as things happen feels like a natural town evolution. Zack's quitting (minor hyperbole) and following the rest of the town to 'salvation' on the other hand stinks to all hell as artifice.
2. I'll post thoughts later and note any dramatic changes based on my archive scrawling, But you're up-ticking as I'm seeing Zack and maybe Glossy as scum. You and Glossy as a scum team is bizarre to me, I think if one flips one way, there's a notable chance of the other not being the same alignment. Zack's current ease of pushing you though makes me really question the day 2 vote I made. Neutral-ish, I'd push Glossy over you, but I'm not comfortable with either yet. Whereas I'd vig Zack or Chox if I could.
Spoiler :Full disclosure, I was a bit irked with a reaction from you and that's kind of tainted my read. Unlike Lassie and all the other new players I've rather enjoyed, you kind of left a bad taste initially. My initial question about you being another poster I was familiar with was completely OOG, but you treating it as some kind of potential ploy was just baffling to me. It makes vaguely more sense in light of such things a poster saying how they were thinking about the game while doing real life stuff, but it was a major disconnect.
I treat mafia as a fun experience but I play within certain restrictions. I wouldn't whine about life sucking to sucker people into a win. That's pathetic. Similarly, my being sick is legitimate. It means nothing one way or the other alignment wise, but I was most certainly ill. So you're questioning me as asking the question being some kind of ploy really set me through a loop, and then the passionate reaction when my meta appraisal was off left me wondering how neutrally I was appraising the situation.
So I consciously backed off because I wasn't sure I'd treat the situation with grace and decorum, and I was worried I was voting you for out of game reasons, which is something I deplore. Anyway, this is probably not helpful, but that's the reason I just up and quit on my case on you.
Stating a hesitance is not being contradictory