To land first in the north and then come in later in the south. Would that really work against human opposition. Will they immediately dispatch their defenses north and leave the core weakened? Wouldn't it more likely make them change to a warfooting giving every location a couple of turns of producing military before we land with our main forces? maybe even position units on coastal tiles like the mountains to deny them to us?
Also taking out 4-6 units from the SoD will leave it with 14-16 units. with one or two pikes included that will leave 12-15 MWs while committing a third of that number to act as decoys in the north. An area with little production value to SABER. If I were them I would be jubilant we divide our forces. With 12-15 MWs and no real grasp of what they might have defending their core it is impossible to say whether we will be able to take out the core. But adding the decoys to the stack will definitely make it possible for us to fan out in two or three directions after establishing our bridgehead. If they have a core similar to ours there should be roughly 6-7 productive towns in the core, say we lose 1 MW in each attack and wound another 2, we could possibly take out the whole core with the full SoD. With a group moving in the north we will be a couple of productive town short. So are we really willing to divide the forces and exchange a couple of core towns for a couple of low value northern towns?
the passage from SW to their north is also longer and takes four or maybe even five turns to sail. Longer to reinforce and if we do not reinforce we will soon have a few scattered units with no real purpose. They only need to lose one or two MWs to make it worthless as an offensive tool.
Robi, addressing each bullet in turn.
One, would agree on the two pronged attack if the two routes had equal value for teh defenders. Now the core is worth 90% of SABER.
Two, I would ignore the northern forces if I were SABER. The war is lost or won by controlling the core.
Three, Losing their production capacity is what would fill them with fear not losing territory. Think Russia in WW2.
Four, Our numerical advantage is best used in massing units to take out their core ASAP. Not by destroying perimeter towns. Each production town we take out reduce their defensive capabilities so much more than losing northern towns. If we would act to protect our core in case of an attack what suggest SABER will act like headless chickens and run chasing a small party in the north? A single town with 2 Spear might finish off the offensive capability of the detachment in the north leaving the wounded survivors with no chance to recover. The northern decoys risk becoming a sacrifice without real benefits.
Five, yes to a point, might I suggest we do as I think we talked about at the end of the last discussion we had on this topic. After having shipped off the strike force we continue building MWs and galleys as planned. The idea was to gather a group in the area of LF and ship them to the northern coast the help mop up the island. I think I remember this as the final idea in the last discussion.
And my final words is actually something Graf von Moltke once said about military planning. "Planning is good but we have yet to experience a plan that actually survived contact with the enemy"