Are the Taliban really defeated

Leowind

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...or are they just making a strategic withdrawal to the mountains in the South, where they have more popular support among the people? It all seems way too easy to me. Maybe we can get them out of the way enough to track down Osamma, but I doubt that. He's certainly fleeing with them. Have we just gotten ourselves in the same boat the Soviets did? I greatly fear what may happen when the current euphoria comes crashing back to reality. :(
 
The Taliban had no cuasulty's with withdrawing their troops to the mountain's.And they can better defend in those mountain's ,and also ,the winter is comming.

Meanwhile with the powervacuum there is now, its a bad moment fot the northern Alliance to come to power in Afhanistan ,before any coalition can be constructed to bring democracy to Afhanistan..
 
Hmm, they don't have the people's support, and never really did.

No insurgency has EVER succeded without outside help, and nobody is stepping forward to help those losers.

They ran for the hills, and it's a forlorn hope.

The Taliban is through, El Quidea is next.
 
Originally posted by Alcibiaties of Athenae
Hmm, they don't have the people's support, and never really did.

If they don't have the people's support....how did they get into power? Someone must have supported them, otherwise when they were originally in their basements, smoking pot in a big circle talking about taking over the country, someone would have said don't be so foolish, and it would have ended there. :)

Regardless of how unpopular they are, they have supporters. People with the same goals they do. We obviously don't hear from them, because the last I heard the TTV building was being egged. (TTV = Taliban TV :D)

Anyway....humor aside, they obviously have supporters. They may be a few dozen Afghans but I assume it's a lot more, as well as other countries that promote terriost activities. They support the Tailban, but not publically, for fear of the 21 bomb salute. ;)
 
Originally posted by CornMaster
If they don't have the people's support....how did they get into power?
We are talking about the here and now, corn, not 5 years ago.

Then they did, but they so opressed the people and perverted Islam since that time that they made enemies out of their supporters.

Only the most fanatical stay with them.
 
Originally posted by Alcibiaties of Athenae
We are talking about the here and now, corn, not 5 years ago.

Then they did, but they so opressed the people and perverted Islam since that time that they made enemies out of their supporters.

Only the most fanatical stay with them.

Oh now....well then of course. When ever chunks of you militaly switches size....your losing support.

You made it sound like they NEVER had support....which is obviously wrong. But I'm sure they have silent support from other countries and terriosts orgs. But that's not going to help them. :nuke:
 
Actually, they (the Taliban) where the puppets of elements in Pakistan, and where finaced by OBL for most of their reign.

Like most unpopular govs, they collased at the first real military threat.

There still are thousands of them, but the free Afghanis are millions, and will prevail.

PS: Why do you make me post when you know I have to get home? :p ;)
 
I have seen reports of them being kick out of their home city Khandahar, by local revolts.
 
The wisdespread withdrawal is both strategic and a retreat.

I was going to start a new thread, called "Is it a trick?", but someone beat me to it.;)

They cant hold those cities indefinately, so they are pulling out and hiding. This is both good and bad.

Good point - Fighting in cities is horid on the civilians, so they will be spared getting caught between the NA and Taliban.

Bad point - Now we have to find them. If we pull out now, they could start a insurgency group later.

So its not over yet. The fat lady is warming up, but she aint singing yet...

To answer the question of how they came to power, Al-Quaida helped the Taliban dispose of the rightful Afghan King (President, whatever), who has been in exile. Al-Quaida also has kept them in power by many means, because the Taliban gave them safe harbor.

Thus, here we are.

I dont know anything else yet, havent watched the news. But I would bet heavy that were getting really close now.

PS - They made one miscalculation:

Where we would not have bombed them in the cities because of civilian casualties, we most certainly will hammer their @$$es to the wall if they hide in caves.

Its not WWII in the pacific, we dont have to fight and clear every cave, take every mountain, with ground troops. We'll just bomb the holy hell out of their cave systems, and mop up after.

Because I already anticipate a rebuttle saying ground troops will have to go and dig out the guys in the mountains, I premptively will say no, we dont. It wont be necessary. Human intel combined with our sophisticated arsenal will take care of it quite nicely.

They are through. Good ridance.
 
"To answer the question of how they came to power, Al-Quaida helped the Taliban dispose of the rightful Afghan King (President, whatever), who has been in exile. Al-Quaida also has kept them in power by many means, because the Taliban gave them safe harbor."

The Afghan king was deposed in the 70s, some yrs before the Soviets invaded. After the Soviets withdrew, the mujahidden fell to infighting.
The original core of the Taliban consisted of religious students along the Pakistani-Afghan border. When they swept into Afghanistan, they were welcomed by the ppl who had suffered fr the Soviet invasion and then the infighting amongst the victorious mujahidden.
Thus the Taliban was able to come to power, with support from the war-weary ppl and help fr the Pakistani intelligence service. It was said that Pakistani troops actually participated in the initial fighting.
Anyway, the Taliban drove out the fighters to the north (where they became the NA). They bought over those who could be bought over, destroyed those who won't, drove some to exile outside the country, assassinated some etc.

"They are through. Good ridance."

I wouldn't be so sure. Although all the news reports seem to indicate they are crumbling, I am still keeping my fingers crossed. Nowadays I am way sceptical with news reports. ;)
Of coz if they are really through, good riddance! :goodjob:
 
Stick a fork in them. All their pathetic attempts to rally a jihad against the coalition have failed miserably. They are done. Go sh1t in a cave and live like animals for awhile you sob's. You'll get put out of your misery of knowing youre pathetic failures soon enough.
 
These must be days of great dismay for the pacifists. Remember all their dire warnings? How our bombing was driving up afghan support for the taliban? (Just like how bombing Kosovo was driving Serbs into the hands of Milosovic. He was so popular there, he'd never be overthrown...). Remember how bombing was supposed to be a cowardly tool of the strong used against the weak.

Well the weak will be eating in Afghanistan this winter! (At least in most of it judging from the current situation). And according to the BBC last night streams of refugees are beginning to <gasp> go home! Oh come pacificists, protest now!

A lot of the pacifist comments I've heard and seen on the media seem to presume a great deal of stupidity on the part of the Afghan people. Well the Afghan people haven't proven so stupid after all. A few innocents may have been killed by falling bombs but they know who's the oppressor. They know who brought those bombs upon them....

Start looking for caves Taliban.
 
Originally posted by Heffalump
These must be days of great dismay for the pacifists. Remember all their dire warnings? How our bombing was driving up afghan support for the taliban? (Just like how bombing Kosovo was driving Serbs into the hands of Milosovic. He was so popular there, he'd never be overthrown...). Remember how bombing was supposed to be a cowardly tool of the strong used against the weak.

Well the weak will be eating in Afghanistan this winter! (At least in most of it judging from the current situation). And according to the BBC last night streams of refugees are beginning to <gasp> go home! Oh come pacificists, protest now!

A lot of the pacifist comments I've heard and seen on the media seem to presume a great deal of stupidity on the part of the Afghan people. Well the Afghan people haven't proven so stupid after all. A few innocents may have been killed by falling bombs but they know who's the oppressor. They know who brought those bombs upon them....

Start looking for caves Taliban.

A good comment, but mailed way too early.
Let's see how many refugees can now 'go home' safely after a few years...
 
If all the refugees returned to their homes, and the people stood firm against oppressive regimes in the future, Afghanistan could have quite a bright future.

I just pray for them that they can finally find peace and stability after this is all over. The people need to realize how much power that they truly have and utilize it.
 
I'd like to do a really long post on this subject, but we will see if my computer/browser holds up. Suffice it to say at this point the really hard stuff begins & the Coalition needs to concentrate on OBL & Co.. while the conditions are ripe for it. In 4-6 months.. there is a good possibility that not much of anything can be done in Afganistan.

Dog
 
Not trying to derail the subject, but if Afghanistan or any country over there is to find peace, I think a major overhaul is in order. And that includes the religion. (I just opened a can of worms...:eek: )
 
Haffalump...you must have read the link to the independent newspaper I provided yesterday on the other taliban thread! (the one of doom...) for the similarities our remarkable!

I'll put it in full: Quoting! This was in yesterdays independent newspaper...

Anne McElvoy: So what have the anti-war protesters got to say now?
'I've known minor roadworks that took longer to complete than the fall of Kabul'
14 November 2001
Terrible news from the front: we're winning the war. The capture of Mazar and Kabul is deeply depressing. If the Taliban are depressed, think how much worse it is for the anti-war lobby in the West. How can something that was supposed to go so wrong go so right?

The nature of the anti-war case has taken several contradictory directions to date and events in Afghanistan must surely provoke it to take a new and interesting one. Let's remind ourselves of the thwarted certainties so far. First they told us that America would "lash out" blindly. George Bush inconveniently refused to oblige this stereotype by stopping to do a bit of military planning and delaying a response to give the Taliban time to yield Osama bin Laden – a rather reasonable offer in the circumstances.

They then began to fret about the evidence against Mr bin Laden. Where's the proof that he was behind the 11 September atrocities? He had only tried to blow up the World Trade Centre once before and bombed two American embassies in Africa. People who argued this were unlikely to believe any standard of proof intelligence services could offer. So what they were really saying was that there could be no proof short of Mr bin Laden's confession.

But hold on a minute: here comes news of the latest bout of bin video karaoke. In it, Mr bin Laden says: "If avenging the killing of our people is terrorism then history should be a witness that we are terrorists. Yes, we kill their innocents and this is legal religiously and logically."

As the terrorist-in-chief has never seemed unduly keen to disclaim responsibility, it seemed extraordinarily benign of the "give Osama a chance" crowd here in the West to be so concerned on his behalf. At least he has come out and told it straight about his actions. It's the weasling counter-factuals of the oppositionalists that are more troubling.

Maybe they don't quite understand someone who thinks it's fine to slaughter innocents legally, religiously and morally. Maybe they think that a change in the way the West runs economic and development policies would have made all the difference.

I really do gawp at this one. Do we need to reform world trade? You bet. Do we need to strip away the choosy protectionism of the US and the agricultural closed shop of the EU to help poorer countries sell their produce? Urgently, we do. Should we care about the injustices and poverty in the world and go on looking for better ways to address them? Of course.

Would any of this have made the slightest difference to Osama bin Laden? You must be kidding. This notion that a spoilt child of a festering Saudi regime fleeing into the maw of annihilation has anything to do with a progressive desire to improve the planet is a one-way ticket to the moral mire.

The anti-war case is as flawed practically as it is ethically. The bombing, we have been warned, would "never work" and would only succeed in strengthening the Taliban's support in the population. The events of the past two days do not look like a decisive swing to the Taliban to me.

We were warned that this would be America's Vietnam – along with all the other "America's Vietnams" that have failed to materialise since the last one. The West would get bogged down in a ground war, the bombing campaign was "getting nowhere".

The first time this objection was raised to me was six days after it began and every week thereafter. How fast a war is good enough? I understand the logic of people who say that it's wrong to fight at all – although don't think they can escape the charge of complicity in evil if they take this route. But I'm genuinely perplexed by those who keep saying it wasn't working when it had just started. I've known minor roadworks that took longer to complete than the fall of Kabul.

Bombing is horrible. It should be targeted and used to gain the maximum strategic advance in the shortest possible time. Surely the anti-war party must admit that this is precisely what it has done. If you want these things over quickly and as humanely as possible, that is the best way to go about it.

Let me guess what the new spate of objections will now be. The advancing Northern Alliance, it will be said, is "just as bad" as the Taliban. The Northern Alliance is a motley crew, divided among themselves. We do not get to handpick our allies in war: we work with what is there. The fissiparous conflicts of the region have produced a bloodthirstiness and appetite for vengeance that must be stemmed.

It is hardly surprising that the Alliance took Kabul when it was there to take and I can't think that the West's leaders were not well aware that this was likely to happen.

All the more reason why the diplomatic offensive is now as important as the military one. The international community has a chance of leverage with the Northern Alliance to create a multi-ethnic government and a successor administration that can work. We must not fail to use it.

Even if we succeed, Afghanistan will not look like heaven on earth any time soon. But neither will it look quite so much like hell. No such advance could be achieved while the Taliban were in power, a fact that all but the most bone-headed of the anti-war camp must concede.

I have genuine understanding for those motivated by the humanitarian aspects of this crisis. But they were still wrong to oppose the intervention. What Afghanistan needs is clear routes of safe delivery for aid this winter without a corrupt and brutal government holding sway over the distribution. The quickest route is through Uzbekistan, an access route only possible after the fall of Mazar. Aid will be more, not less, efficiently delivered this winter as a result of this war.

Without his Taliban backers, Mr bin Laden's position is far more vulnerable than it was. To the objection that any fate that befalls him from now on, be it death or capture, will render him a martyr, I can only say that I had rather live with that prospect of his martyrdom, literal or figurative, than him running an extensive terror network under the protection of a rogue state.

Not intervening in Afghanistan would have been the real immoral choice. "First do no harm" may be a sound ethical injunction. But there is also an imperative to prevent the doing of further harm, which is why a campaign against fundamentalist terror must be waged from the start in all seriousness.

If there weren't more setbacks to come, I'd be amazed. We are nowhere near the finishing line of a campaign against fundamentalist terror but we have made a convincing start in a very short time. One of the worst regimes on the planet in modern times is on the retreat. It would be a bit odd if the beleaguered citizens of the Afghan capital were casting off their burqas and brandishing their forbidden radios in celebration, only for Media Workers Against the War and co to go tell us that their liberation is a disaster and should never have happened.

a.mcelvoy@independent.co.uk
 
I didn't get to that article Kitten, but did read this one: Ha ha ha to the pacifists , which is again quite similar.

These highlight the perils of being a pacifist from an indeological viewpoint. Pacifism is merely one method of approaching human conflict. (Violence is at the other end of the spectrum). As a tactic pacifism sometimes works. But an ideology? You're setting yourself up for failure.

First, pacifism relies on the assumption that your opponent will be unwilling to use maximum violence if you counsel only passive resistance. Unfortunately this approach fails as soon as that assumption is put to rest by your adversary. Someone comes along and starts beating up on the Bosnian muslims, the Kosovo muslims, the afghans (insert long list of victims) and says "ha ha what are you going to do about it?" And, well, what does the ideological pacifist do? To persist with pacifism at this point is foolhardy, and of dubious moral value.
 
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