Cromagnus
Deity
- Joined
- Sep 11, 2012
- Messages
- 2,272
Yeah, I'm in agreement about Aesthetics. Looking at the vanilla social policy chart (which might be out of date for BNW) I see the following. Let's assume a typical growth and policy pattern: 1 tradition+3 liberty with one city. (free settler)
4 policies with one city:
25+45+90+160: 320
Then let's assume you get 4 more policies with only 2 cities (because you capture 2 capitals but don't annex until after you have 4 more tradition policies)
4 policies with 2 cities:
320+450+605+775: 2150
Then let's say you annex those two (to plant universities) somewhere around t120.
4 policies with 4 cities:
1190+1445+1725+2020: 6380
(This would give you all of Liberty + Tradition + 1 Commerce from Oracle)
Then let's assume you capture 4 more capitals. (Total = 2 built, 6 annexed)
4 policies with 8 cities:
4530+5180+5865+6585: 22160
(This gives you 2 more Commerce IE Mercantilism + 4 Freedom from Modern)
Let's assume you get 4 more policies free from the games, the fair, statue of liberty, and Sydney opera house, getting you 3 exploration policies, and 1 more Freedom policy.
So in total you got 4 free policies and earned 16.
Total culture requirement: 31010
So, what's the total culture yield from 4 policies investment in Aesthetics?
Let's assume the happiness culture is trivial. So +33% from world wonders.
Culture in most cities is +20% from Sistine Chapel.
1.53/1.2 = 27.5% more culture.
Improved building speed makes it much easier to get Broadcast Towers in every city by World's Fair. But total benefit is roughly +28%. At an investment of 4 policies.
6 GW = 2100 pts:
Default rate is 7pts/turn, so 300 turns.
With National Epic, Garden & Pisa: +75%
12.25/turn = 171 turns
With Aesthetics: 14/turn = 150 turns. (from the time you complete Writer's Guild)
This yields almost, but not quite, one extra GW.
Getting a 6th Great Writer is unlikely by t250 World's Fair without Aesthetics, but by then it's not quite worth one extra GW, really only 1/2 an extra GW.
So, let's assume you hit world's fair with your 8 cities and roughly base 200 culture/turn. 2x = 400/turn. x8 = 3200.
However, you've got a ton of bonuses in there, from Sistine to Alhambra, etc. etc.
So, in reality, the bonuses from the +33% diminish to more like +20%.
So, instead of 200/turn, you're at 240/turn. 40 x 2 x 20 = 1600 (for 20 turns WF)
40 x 2 x 8 x 6 (6 GW) = 3840. Total extra culture = 5440. In order for those 4 policies to break even, however, you need 32000 extra culture. Even if you had 400/turn base, it wouldn't come close. You'd need at least 1000/turn *base* culture not counting bonuses, for it to break even *in time for an early World's Fair*.
So, it's not worth it for a T2xx world's fair.
However, it probably IS worth it for a t350ish world's fair... by then aesthetics gives you at least 2 free GW, and the total culture bonus from 30 cities with a wonder + broadcast tower is probably massive. But IMHO, you can't get away with a T350ish World's Fair on a Standard Map. There are too many cities to still be placing cities that late. Maybe there's some scenario that works, like 50 cities all kept small enough to break even on happiness, but all with broadcast towers, with all landmarks worked, etc..
By then it works out, because your base culture/turn is well over 2000! So the extra policies you got for 32000 don't seem so bad. But how much is a new policy with 50 cities and 20 policies (you'd have 20 by then)
...
well, if that chart is to be believed, it's 58000 culture roughly. For ONE new policy. So, how much would our World's Fair have to generate to generate even 4 extra policies? Well, 2k/turn with bonuses is roughly 3k... x2 = 6k/turn. x20 turns = 120k. *8 per GW * 10 GW: 480,000. So, the total bonus is 600k, which at that point buys 8 more policies.
This late World's Fair might net you a few more policies, but I think that really only works on a Small Map. (Where you can make up the difference with cargo ships when you plant cities between t350 and t410)
With a Standard map there are just two many cities to play catch-up. It's IMHO better to be missing a few happiness policies at the end and have peak population in every city.
Maybe.
4 policies with one city:
25+45+90+160: 320
Then let's assume you get 4 more policies with only 2 cities (because you capture 2 capitals but don't annex until after you have 4 more tradition policies)
4 policies with 2 cities:
320+450+605+775: 2150
Then let's say you annex those two (to plant universities) somewhere around t120.
4 policies with 4 cities:
1190+1445+1725+2020: 6380
(This would give you all of Liberty + Tradition + 1 Commerce from Oracle)
Then let's assume you capture 4 more capitals. (Total = 2 built, 6 annexed)
4 policies with 8 cities:
4530+5180+5865+6585: 22160
(This gives you 2 more Commerce IE Mercantilism + 4 Freedom from Modern)
Let's assume you get 4 more policies free from the games, the fair, statue of liberty, and Sydney opera house, getting you 3 exploration policies, and 1 more Freedom policy.
So in total you got 4 free policies and earned 16.
Total culture requirement: 31010
So, what's the total culture yield from 4 policies investment in Aesthetics?
Let's assume the happiness culture is trivial. So +33% from world wonders.
Culture in most cities is +20% from Sistine Chapel.
1.53/1.2 = 27.5% more culture.
Improved building speed makes it much easier to get Broadcast Towers in every city by World's Fair. But total benefit is roughly +28%. At an investment of 4 policies.
6 GW = 2100 pts:
Default rate is 7pts/turn, so 300 turns.
With National Epic, Garden & Pisa: +75%
12.25/turn = 171 turns
With Aesthetics: 14/turn = 150 turns. (from the time you complete Writer's Guild)
This yields almost, but not quite, one extra GW.
Getting a 6th Great Writer is unlikely by t250 World's Fair without Aesthetics, but by then it's not quite worth one extra GW, really only 1/2 an extra GW.
So, let's assume you hit world's fair with your 8 cities and roughly base 200 culture/turn. 2x = 400/turn. x8 = 3200.
However, you've got a ton of bonuses in there, from Sistine to Alhambra, etc. etc.
So, in reality, the bonuses from the +33% diminish to more like +20%.
So, instead of 200/turn, you're at 240/turn. 40 x 2 x 20 = 1600 (for 20 turns WF)
40 x 2 x 8 x 6 (6 GW) = 3840. Total extra culture = 5440. In order for those 4 policies to break even, however, you need 32000 extra culture. Even if you had 400/turn base, it wouldn't come close. You'd need at least 1000/turn *base* culture not counting bonuses, for it to break even *in time for an early World's Fair*.
So, it's not worth it for a T2xx world's fair.
However, it probably IS worth it for a t350ish world's fair... by then aesthetics gives you at least 2 free GW, and the total culture bonus from 30 cities with a wonder + broadcast tower is probably massive. But IMHO, you can't get away with a T350ish World's Fair on a Standard Map. There are too many cities to still be placing cities that late. Maybe there's some scenario that works, like 50 cities all kept small enough to break even on happiness, but all with broadcast towers, with all landmarks worked, etc..
By then it works out, because your base culture/turn is well over 2000! So the extra policies you got for 32000 don't seem so bad. But how much is a new policy with 50 cities and 20 policies (you'd have 20 by then)
...
well, if that chart is to be believed, it's 58000 culture roughly. For ONE new policy. So, how much would our World's Fair have to generate to generate even 4 extra policies? Well, 2k/turn with bonuses is roughly 3k... x2 = 6k/turn. x20 turns = 120k. *8 per GW * 10 GW: 480,000. So, the total bonus is 600k, which at that point buys 8 more policies.
This late World's Fair might net you a few more policies, but I think that really only works on a Small Map. (Where you can make up the difference with cargo ships when you plant cities between t350 and t410)
With a Standard map there are just two many cities to play catch-up. It's IMHO better to be missing a few happiness policies at the end and have peak population in every city.
Maybe.
