Some first thoughts before playing anything:
So I decided to go AH with a commerce emphasis, and then oracle CS and/or chop an army. (Note that using same plan we can also oracle Philosophy, which doesn't waste a scientist on math).
I didn't find any horses in jj's game, so I only bothered to oracle CS. I researched mining but not BW, and got it on turn 69 (1280 bc) without any optimizing (so I bet it can be done by 66 or so).
However, I'm unconvinced that this is all that good. Sure, we can now revolt to bureaucracy, but we have no semblance of an army to start a conquest win, and not a whole lot of use for those multipliers aside the production help. We did get a religion which helps spread our second city borders but we need monuments for happiness anyway (which probably means Stonehenge is very lucrative).
I can't see a way that AH first isn't best. Also, I don't know how to get us any commerce unless we run scientists. So the second time around I decided that I'd still open AH, and get an early writing (either before or after mysticism), but then I would grab BW and chop up an army instead.
Anyway, I didn't bother chopping up an army here because I wasn't able to get the bronze, either. But the second attachment has a turn 83 CS from oracle that utilized an early BW and some chopped settlers. (As well as a pretty lucky late Stonehenge) If bronze is more accessible we can chop an army instead...
I really don't like this commerce-oriented business because I don't actually have any use for CS in this game. So maybe we should aim towards construction instead? At that point if we must, we can attack with archers and catapults...
Bulbing math can still be sensible for grabbing construction our of Oracle...
So, in short:
1. Unless the warrior reveals a wet corn and a fish, I don't really want to think about settles other than 1W. If the warrior does reveal something on that order, we'll need to think again.
2. If settling 1W, no research other than AH makes sense
3. Further research is less clear, but I was unable to achieve any reasonable commerce other than by running library specialists. Something like AH->Writing->Mining->Mysticism->BW seems like a sensible research opening to me. The alternative to investigate would be somehow grabbing BW earlier, but I don't think we have the commerce to justify that trade-off.
I'll start real testing with numbers once we've gotten people on board and moved the warrior.